254 Sure Tips
254 Sure Tips
21st Mar 2022
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 18 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 75% • evidence-based
Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking
Over 1.5
Champions League Qualifier
8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 87/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80%). No significant deviation either way. Champions League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
1X
Russian Cup
4:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Over 2.5
China Super League
12:35 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.4%). No significant deviation either way. China Super League has been a difficult competition in the historical record (60%). Factor this into your assessment.
Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg
Over 2.5
Sweden Div 2 Sodra Gotaland
5:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U21
1
National League Cup
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Shelbourne W vs Wexford W
1
Ireland N'League Women
7:45 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20
2
Brazil Paulista U20
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 62/100
A stated probability of 30% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.9%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr
2
Saudi King Cup
7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 60/100
A stated probability of 30% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). In Champions League Qualifier, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
80% on Over 1.5
90% probability
100% in Champions League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 44 wins from 55 settled tips (80%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (34 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 1X
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 26 wins from 34 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.4% over the last 90 days (70 tips graded). In China Super League, our record stands at 60% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.4% on Over 2.5
80% probability
60% in China Super League
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 70 settled tips (71.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.4% over the last 90 days (70 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.4% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 70 settled tips (71.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U21
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (268 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 268 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shelbourne W vs Wexford W
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (268 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 268 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 30% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.9% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.9% on 2
30% probability
83.3% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 58 settled tips (75.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 30% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.9% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.9% on 2
30% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 58 settled tips (75.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL HB Torshavn vs Toftir | 1 @1.25 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 16 Aug 2026 • Turkey Super Lig Besiktas vs Eyupspor | 1 @1.35 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL NSI Runavik vs Streymur | 1 @1.24 |
4-2 ✔
|
| 16 Aug 2026 • Estonia Meistriliiga Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus | Over 2.5 @1.38 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 16 Aug 2026 • Brasileiro Women Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W | 2 @1.28 |
1-5 ✔
|
| 16 Aug 2026 • Hungary NB 1 Puskas Academy vs Paks | Over 2.5 @1.42 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 15 Aug 2026 • Costa Rica Primera Division Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC | 1 @1.37 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 15 Aug 2026 • Eredivisie Excelsior vs PSV | Over 2.5 @1.36 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 15 Aug 2026 • Kazakhstan Premier League Ordabasy vs Altai | 1 @1.20 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 15 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga KTP vs KaPa | 1 @1.21 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 15 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Ararat Armenia vs Van | 1 @1.21 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 @1.26 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu | 1 @1.40 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Coppa Italia Fiorentina vs Benevento | 1 @1.23 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Ekranas vs FK Minija | 2 @1.22 |
0-5 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Hviti | 1 @1.27 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Ireland FAI Cup Waterford vs Athlone | 1 @1.40 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Almere vs Jong PSV | Over 2.5 @1.33 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris | 1 @1.27 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Tromso vs CFR Cluj | 1 @1.43 |
2-1 ✔
|
75%
Excellent
Won (132)
75%
Lost (44)
25%
132W
44L
132
Won
44
Lost
176
Settled
Over 1.5
Top market
19W
/
4L
• 23 tips
82.6%
1
Top market
78W
/
25L
• 103 tips
75.7%
Over 2.5
Top market
19W
/
7L
• 26 tips
73.1%
2
Top market
13W
/
5L
• 18 tips
72.2%
1X
Average
3W
/
3L
• 6 tips
50%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 86% | 76% | 74% | 73% | 72% | 76% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 71% | 80% | 86% | 100% | — | 81% |
| 2 | 88% | 64% | 81% | 54% | 69% | 72% | 83% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% | 73% | 82% | 75% | 100% | — | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 72% | 68% | 64% | 73% | 73% | 83% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
80%
recent
⬆
+11.6pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
268 tips
Accuracy
77.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
207W / 61L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
70 tips
Accuracy
71.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
50W / 20L
3
2
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
55 tips
Accuracy
80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
44W / 11L
5
1X
Volume
34 tips
Accuracy
76.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
26W / 8L
6
X2
Volume
5 tips
Accuracy
60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 2L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | HB Torshavn vs Toftir Faroe Islands PL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Flora vs Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Besiktas vs Eyupspor Turkey Super Lig | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | NSI Runavik vs Streymur Faroe Islands PL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W Brasileiro Women | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Lazio vs Mantova Coppa Italia | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Puskas Academy vs Paks Hungary NB 1 | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC Costa Rica Primera Division | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Excelsior vs PSV Eredivisie | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Ordabasy vs Altai Kazakhstan Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Aug 2026 | KTP vs KaPa Finland Ykkosliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Ararat Armenia vs Van Armenia Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Jippo vs SJK Akatemia Finland Ykkosliiga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 15 Aug 2026 | HJS vs GrIFK Finland Kakkonen B | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Etar vs Rilski Sportist Bulgaria Vtora Liga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes Liga Portugal | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Galatasaray vs Corum Turkey Super Lig | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu China Super League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Fiorentina vs Benevento Coppa Italia | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Ekranas vs FK Minija Lithuania I Lyga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Haukar vs Hviti Iceland Division 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Waterford vs Athlone Ireland FAI Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Almere vs Jong PSV Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Hearts vs Benfica Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3 | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Tromso vs CFR Cluj Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi Georgia Liga 3 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Midtjylland vs Bohemians Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 77.4% • range ±2.4%
Steady
75.7%
0-30d
75.9%
30-60d
80.5%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 75.8% • range ±3.4%
Steady
72.2%
0-30d
76.2%
30-60d
78.9%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 70.4% • range ±7.9%
Variable
73.1%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 81.4% • range ±10.9%
Variable
82.6%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
91.7%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 71.4% • range ±17.9%
Volatile
50%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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Our analysts notice:
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Our Tip: Over 2.5 Goals – Medium to High Confidence.
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