254 Sure Tips
254 Sure Tips
4th Feb 2023
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Fri 31 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Friday • site avg 73.8% • evidence-based
Wil vs Xamax
Over 2.5
Swiss Challenge League
6:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
1
Croatia HNL
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City
1
Australia Victoria PL 2
11:30 am
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom
1
Norway Eliteserien
8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
KTP vs SJK Akatemia
1
Finland Ykkosliiga
4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
2
Australia NSW League One
11:00 am
Marginal
Score: 55/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons
2
Australia NPL Victoria
10:30 am
Marginal
Score: 55/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20
2
Brazil Paulista U20
7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 55/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Wil vs Xamax
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.4% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.4% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 40 wins from 56 settled tips (71.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.8%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
KTP vs SJK Akatemia
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (51 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 51 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (51 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 51 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (51 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 51 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Ajax vs Vojvodina | 1 @1.17 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau | 1 @1.29 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo | 1 @1.15 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol | 1 @1.37 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Twente | Over 1.5 @1.13 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 29 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 29 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Thor/KA W | 1 @1.16 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 29 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel | Over 2.5 @1.42 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 29 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Bayern Leverkusen vs Genk | Over 2.5 @1.42 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 29 Jul 2026 • Indonesia President Cup Persebaya vs PSMS Medan | 1 @1.22 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 28 Jul 2026 • Lebanon Premier League Jwayya vs Al Ansar | 2 @1.33 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 28 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Apollon vs Dila Gori | 1 @1.35 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 27 Jul 2026 • Kazakhstan Women League Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W | 1 @1.20 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 27 Jul 2026 • Romania Super Liga CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari | 1X @1.16 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 27 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Valmiera vs Riga FC 2 | Over 2.5 @1.34 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 27 Jul 2026 • Brasileiro Women Bahia W vs Botafogo W | 1 @1.31 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 27 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets | 2 @1.28 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 25 Jul 2026 • Russia Premier League Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow | 1 @1.34 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 25 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense 2 Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC | 1 @1.38 |
3-0 ✔
|
73.8%
Excellent
Won (121)
73.8%
Lost (43)
26.2%
121W
43L
121
Won
43
Lost
164
Settled
X2
Top market
2W
/
0L
• 2 tips
100%
Over 2.5
Top market
19W
/
5L
• 24 tips
79.2%
Over 1.5
Top market
18W
/
5L
• 23 tips
78.3%
2
Top market
11W
/
4L
• 15 tips
73.3%
1
Top market
65W
/
24L
• 89 tips
73%
1X
Average
6W
/
5L
• 11 tips
54.5%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 67% | 80% | 85% | 74% | 71% | 74% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 86% | 100% | — | 82% |
| 2 | 92% | 70% | 80% | 58% | 60% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 70% | 73% | 85% | 75% | 100% | — | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 70% | 75% | 68% | 69% | 75% | 75% | 71% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+4.2pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90.9%100%
90.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 83.3%100%
83.3%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.3%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-6.6pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 42.9%100%
0%
recent
⬇
-42.9pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
235 tips
Accuracy
77%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
181W / 54L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
56 tips
Accuracy
71.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
40W / 16L
3
2
Volume
51 tips
Accuracy
76.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
39W / 12L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
44 tips
Accuracy
81.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
36W / 8L
5
1X
Volume
35 tips
Accuracy
80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
28W / 7L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
63.3%
Accuracy
19
Won
11
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul 2026 | Panathinaikos vs Paks Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Gyor vs Bissen Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Ajax vs Vojvodina Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Ferencvaros vs Twente Europa League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 29 Jul 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr Conference League Qualifiers | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Lech Poznan vs Aarhus UCL Qualifiers | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Slovan Bratislava vs Iberia 1999 UCL Qualifiers | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Breidablik W vs Thor/KA W Iceland Besta deild Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Bayern Leverkusen vs Genk Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 29 Jul 2026 | Persebaya vs PSMS Medan Indonesia President Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Dainava Alytus vs Transinvest 2 Lithuania I Lyga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun UCL Qualifiers | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Riga vs Vardar Conference League Qualifiers | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija Lithuania I Lyga | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Nigeria W vs Malawi W ACN Women | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Jwayya vs Al Ansar Lebanon Premier League | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 28 Jul 2026 | Apollon vs Dila Gori Conference League Qualifiers | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W Kazakhstan Women League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 27 Jul 2026 | South Africa W vs Tanzania W ACN Women | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Tukums 2000 vs RFS Latvia Virsliga | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 27 Jul 2026 | CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari Romania Super Liga | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Valmiera vs Riga FC 2 Latvia Nakotnes Liga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Bahia W vs Botafogo W Brasileiro Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 27 Jul 2026 | Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets Bulgaria EFBET League | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 25 Jul 2026 | Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow Russia Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 77.8% • range ±4.3%
Steady
73%
0-30d
78.8%
30-60d
81.5%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 68.4% • range ±8.4%
Variable
79.2%
0-30d
62.5%
30-60d
63.6%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
2
avg 72.9% • range ±10.1%
Variable
73.3%
0-30d
82.8%
30-60d
62.5%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 86.9% • range ±10.9%
Variable
78.3%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
100%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 81.1% • range ±22.8%
Volatile
54.5%
0-30d
88.9%
30-60d
100%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
73.8%
30-day win rate
164 verified tips
68.2%
7-Day Rate
121
Tips Won
43
Tips Lost
164
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
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- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
Regarding sports betting, everyone wants one thing: to win. But winning is not just about luck. It takes information, strategy, and trusted tips.
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Our Tip: Both Teams to Score (BTTS) – High Confidence.
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You might ignore this match, but smart punters know this is where value lies.
Our analysts notice:
- Girona has scored in 8 of their last 9 away matches.
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Our Tip: Over 2.5 Goals – Medium to High Confidence.
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| Betting Goal | Use 254 Sure Tips For... |
|---|---|
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