Ligue 1 // Friday, 10th April 2026
MAR
Marseille
L L W W L
VS
MET
Metz
D D L L L
Data-Backed Primary Pick
1
Prediction: Marseille to win
1.28
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
Low Value (-EV)
Implied: 78% | Model: 44%
🔥 Goal Volatility
Moderate (Balanced)
Avg 2.85 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Mixed Form
No active dominant streaks
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes25%
Home Win & BTTS No37%
Draw & BTTS Yes15%
Draw & BTTS No23%
Away Win & BTTS Yes0%
Away Win & BTTS No0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.537%
Home Win & Under 2.525%
Draw & Over 2.523%
Draw & Under 2.515%
Away Win & Over 2.50%
Away Win & Under 2.50%
Head to HeadRecord
4
Marseille
6
Draws
0
Metz
Against Pick Marseille won 4 of the last 10 meetings (6 draws).
Key Stats DuelComparison
MAR
Metric
MET
1.4
Goals For
0.6
1.7
Goals Against
2
30%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-2-4
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate Comparison
40%
0%
Team RatingsGrades
Marseille
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
Metz
Overall
0.9
Scoring
2.0
Defence
3.3
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
04.10.25
Ligue 1: Metz
0
Marseille
3
09.02.24
Ligue 1: Marseille
1
Metz
1
18.08.23
Ligue 1: Metz
2
Marseille
2
13.02.22
Ligue 1: Metz
1
Marseille
2
07.11.21
Ligue 1: Marseille
0
Metz
0
23.05.21
Ligue 1: Metz
1
Marseille
1
26.09.20
Ligue 1: Marseille
1
Metz
1
14.12.19
Ligue 1: Metz
1
Marseille
1
02.02.18
Ligue 1: Marseille
6
Metz
3
29.11.17
Ligue 1: Metz
0
Marseille
3
Recent Matches
Marseille
05.04.26
Ligue 1: AS Monaco
2
Marseille
1
L
22.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
1
LOSC Lille
2
L
13.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
1
AJ Auxerre
0
W
07.03.26
Ligue 1: Toulouse FC
0
Marseille
1
W
04.03.26
Coupe de France: Marseille
2
Toulouse FC - L (4-5 pens)
2
01.03.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
3
Lyon
2
W
20.02.26
Ligue 1: Brest
2
Marseille
0
L
14.02.26
Ligue 1: Marseille
2
Strasbourg
2
D
08.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
5
Marseille
0
L
03.02.26
Coupe de France: Marseille
3
Rennes
0
W
Metz
05.04.26
Ligue 1: Metz
0
FC Nantes
0
D
22.03.26
Ligue 1: Stade Rennais
0
Metz
0
D
15.03.26
Ligue 1: Metz
3
Toulouse FC
4
L
08.03.26
Ligue 1: RC Lens
3
Metz
0
L
01.03.26
Ligue 1: Metz
0
Stade Brestois
1
L
21.02.26
Ligue 1: PSG
3
Metz
0
L
15.02.26
Ligue 1: Metz
1
AJ Auxerre
3
L
06.02.26
Ligue 1: Metz
0
LOSC Lille
0
D
01.02.26
Ligue 1: Angers SCO
1
Metz
0
L
25.01.26
Ligue 1: Metz
2
Olympique Lyonnais
5
L
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Friday, 10th April 2026, Marseille host Metz in Ligue 1. We recommend Marseille to win as the standout selection.

Marseille arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Metz are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Marseille, who lead the head-to-head with 4 wins to Metz's 0, with 6 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 70% of those meetings.

Our verdict: marseille to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Getting the better of the bookies means you have to be willing to dig into the facts. This Ligue 1 match is a great place to start your betting day. You have to put your feelings aside and look strictly at what the numbers say.

The home team’s season record gives us the starting odds, but their latest games are what really matter the most. Those recent matches show us exactly how well they are scoring and defending right now, not three months ago. The away team brings a completely different set of stats to the table.

We have to see if their long-term form matches up with how they played last week to find any hidden value that the public missed. Plus, past games between these two teams always tell a unique story. Looking at their head-to-head history often highlights who normally controls the pace of the game.

Adding those past trends to how they are playing today makes picking the outcome much easier and way less stressful. Taking all of this into account, 1 is the absolute best bet, especially since it is paying out at @1.28. Once the match begins, we just sit back and relax.

The final score will show if our math was on point. Take a look at the rest of our daily tips to keep winning.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Marseille vs Metz? +
Our selection is 1 — Marseille to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 44%.
What is Marseille's current form? +
Marseille have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Metz been performing recently? +
Metz have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Marseille lead with 4 wins versus Metz's 0, with 6 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 70%.
More PredictionsExplore