Lithuania Toplyga // Saturday, 11th July 2026 //
KAU
Kauno Zalgiris
D D W W L
VS
FK
FK Panevezys
D L L W L
Data-Backed Primary Pick
1
Prediction: Kauno Zalgiris to win
1.33
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
Low Value (-EV)
Implied: 75% | Model: 52%
🔥 Goal Volatility
Moderate (Balanced)
Avg 2.45 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Mixed Form
No active dominant streaks
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes17%
Home Win & BTTS No21%
Draw & BTTS Yes11%
Draw & BTTS No13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes17%
Away Win & BTTS No21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.523%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.514%
Draw & Under 2.510%
Away Win & Over 2.523%
Away Win & Under 2.515%
Head to HeadRecord
7
Kauno Zalgiris
2
Draws
1
FK Panevezys
Supports Pick Kauno Zalgiris won 7 of the last 10 meetings (2 draws).
Key Stats DuelComparison
KAU
Metric
FK
1.3
Goals For
1.4
0.6
Goals Against
1.6
50%
Clean Sheets
30%
4-4-2
W — D — L
4-1-5
Win Rate Comparison
40%
40%
Team RatingsGrades
Kauno Zalgiris
Overall
5.2
Scoring
4.3
Defence
8.0
FK Panevezys
Overall
4.3
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.7
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
10.05.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Kauno Zalgiris
1
10.03.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
4
FK Panevezys
0
16.02.26SC
Kauno Zalgiris
1
FK Panevezys
0
02.11.25TL
Kauno Zalgiris
3
FK Panevezys
2
24.08.25TL
FK Panevezys
1
Kauno Zalgiris
0
24.06.25TL
Kauno Zalgiris
3
FK Panevezys
0
19.04.25TL
FK Panevezys
0
Kauno Zalgiris
2
18.01.25CF
Kauno Zalgiris
2
FK Panevezys
0
05.10.24TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
FK Panevezys
0
20.07.24TL
FK Panevezys
1
Kauno Zalgiris
2
Recent Matches
Kauno Zalgiris
07.07.26CL
Kauno Zalgiris
1
Drita
1
D
03.07.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai
0
Kauno Zalgiris
0
D
23.06.26CUP
BFA Vilnius
0
Kauno Zalgiris
3
W
20.06.26TL
Transinvest
1
Kauno Zalgiris
2
W
17.06.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Banga
1
L
14.06.26TL
Hegelmann
1
Kauno Zalgiris
1
D
31.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
Zalgiris
1
L
23.05.26TL
Suduva
2
Kauno Zalgiris
1
L
19.05.26CUP
Riteriai
0
Kauno Zalgiris
4
W
16.05.26TL
Kauno Zalgiris
0
FA Siauliai
0
D
FK Panevezys
04.07.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Hegelmann
1
D
29.06.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Suduva
2
L
23.06.26CUP
FK Minija
2
FK Panevezys
1
L
20.06.26TL
FK Panevezys
3
FA Siauliai
2
W
16.06.26TL
Zalgiris
3
FK Panevezys
0
L
12.06.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Transinvest
2
L
30.05.26TL
Dziugas Telsiai
4
FK Panevezys
0
L
24.05.26TL
FK Panevezys
1
Banga
0
W
20.05.26CUP
Atmosfera
0
FK Panevezys
3
W
15.05.26TL
Riteriai
0
FK Panevezys
3
W
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Saturday, 11th July 2026, Kauno Zalgiris host FK Panevezys at Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) in Lithuania Toplyga. We recommend Kauno Zalgiris to win as the standout selection.

Kauno Zalgiris arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 4 draws and 2 defeats from their last 10 outings.

FK Panevezys are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 1D 5L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Kauno Zalgiris, who lead the head-to-head with 7 wins to FK Panevezys's 1, with 2 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 30% of those meetings.

Our verdict: kauno zalgiris to win at odds of 1.33 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Football is unpredictable, but it is not random — and confusing those two ideas is how most people lose money. Beneath the upsets there are patterns: in-form teams beat out-of-form ones more often than not, home advantage is real but varies wildly by club, and certain styles simply trouble certain opponents. Spotting those patterns before kick-off is the entire job. Here is what we found in this Lithuania Toplyga match.

The home side carries 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss from their last 5 games into this one. We note it without leaning on it too heavily, because what carries real weight is the character of those recent home games. Are the forwards in a confident groove? Is the midfield dictating play or being run ragged? Is the defence giving the keeper a calm platform to work from? Five recent matches, studied closely, answer that far better than any league table can, and Darius and Girėnas Stadium (Kaunas) will amplify whichever version shows up.

The visitors bring 1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses from their last 5 games, and that recent travelling record paints the truest picture of their current mentality on the road. Some teams hit a purple patch away from home for a spell; others lose their nerve the moment they leave familiar surroundings. The recent away form is the tell.

Once both pictures are clear, the smart position stands out. We are backing 1 at @1.33, which our model rates near 50,20,30%. Kick-off is 5:00 pm.

That is the read, patterns and all. Take a look at everything else we have previewed today before you lock in a final bet — the strongest tickets are rarely a single line.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys? +
Our selection is 1 — Kauno Zalgiris to win, priced at approximately 1.33. Tip confidence rating: 52%.
What is Kauno Zalgiris's current form? +
Kauno Zalgiris have won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches.
How has FK Panevezys been performing recently? +
FK Panevezys have recorded 4 wins, 1 draws and 5 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Kauno Zalgiris lead with 7 wins versus FK Panevezys's 1, with 2 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 30%.
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