The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80%). No significant deviation either way. Champions League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.4%). No significant deviation either way. China Super League has been a difficult competition in the historical record (60%). Factor this into your assessment.
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.4%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way.
A stated probability of 30% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.9%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip.
A stated probability of 30% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Dinamo Zagreb vs VikingOver 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80% over the last 90 days (55 tips graded). In Champions League Qualifier, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
80% on Over 1.590% probability100% in Champions League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 44 wins from 55 settled tips (80%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (34 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 1X90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 26 wins from 34 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing GuoanOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.4% over the last 90 days (70 tips graded). In China Super League, our record stands at 60% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.4% on Over 2.580% probability60% in China Super League
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 70 settled tips (71.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Nosaby vs IFK TrelleborgOver 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.4% over the last 90 days (70 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.4% on Over 2.580% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 70 settled tips (71.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U211
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (268 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 268 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shelbourne W vs Wexford W1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (268 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 150% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 207 wins from 268 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U202
Our model assigns a win probability of 30% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.9% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.9% on 230% probability83.3% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 58 settled tips (75.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr2
Our model assigns a win probability of 30% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.9% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.9% on 230% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 58 settled tips (75.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PLHB Torshavn vs Toftir
1@1.25
2-0 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Turkey Super LigBesiktas vs Eyupspor
1@1.35
1-0 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PLNSI Runavik vs Streymur
1@1.24
4-2 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Estonia MeistriliigaKalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus
Over 2.5@1.38
3-1 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Brasileiro WomenBotafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W
2@1.28
1-5 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Hungary NB 1Puskas Academy vs Paks
Over 2.5@1.42
3-2 ✔
15 Aug 2026 • Costa Rica Primera DivisionAlajulense vs Puntarenas FC
1@1.37
2-1 ✔
15 Aug 2026 • EredivisieExcelsior vs PSV
Over 2.5@1.36
1-2 ✔
15 Aug 2026 • Kazakhstan Premier LeagueOrdabasy vs Altai
1@1.20
3-1 ✔
15 Aug 2026 • Finland YkkosliigaKTP vs KaPa
1@1.21
2-1 ✔
15 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier LeagueArarat Armenia vs Van
1@1.21
2-0 ✔
14 Aug 2026 • Liga PortugalSporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1@1.26
3-2 ✔
14 Aug 2026 • China Super LeagueShandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
1@1.40
3-1 ✔
14 Aug 2026 • Coppa ItaliaFiorentina vs Benevento
1@1.23
4-1 ✔
14 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I LygaEkranas vs FK Minija
2@1.22
0-5 ✔
14 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 2Haukar vs Hviti
1@1.27
3-1 ✔
14 Aug 2026 • Ireland FAI CupWaterford vs Athlone
1@1.40
2-1 ✔
14 Aug 2026 • Eerste DivisieAlmere vs Jong PSV
Over 2.5@1.33
3-1 ✔
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League QualifierHajduk Split vs Zalgiris
1@1.27
4-0 ✔
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League QualifierTromso vs CFR Cluj
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume268 tips
Accuracy77.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG207W / 61L
2
Over 2.5
Volume70 tips
Accuracy71.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG50W / 20L
3
2
Volume58 tips
Accuracy75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume55 tips
Accuracy80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG44W / 11L
5
1X
Volume34 tips
Accuracy76.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG26W / 8L
6
X2
Volume5 tips
Accuracy60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1avg 77.4% • range ±2.4%
Steady
75.7%0-30d
75.9%30-60d
80.5%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2avg 75.8% • range ±3.4%
Steady
72.2%0-30d
76.2%30-60d
78.9%60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5avg 70.4% • range ±7.9%
Variable
73.1%0-30d
76.9%30-60d
61.1%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5avg 81.4% • range ±10.9%
Variable
82.6%0-30d
70%30-60d
91.7%60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1Xavg 71.4% • range ±17.9%
Volatile
50%0-30d
78.6%30-60d
85.7%60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
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Sure Straight Win For Today Predictions
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