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Sure Win Teams



Today's Tips Ranked
Fri 14 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Almere vs Jong PSV
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Galatasaray vs Corum
1 Turkey Super Lig 7:30 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Haukar vs Hviti
1 Iceland Division 2 7:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1 Liga Portugal 8:15 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Waterford vs Athlone
1 Ireland FAI Cup 7:45 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Fiorentina vs Benevento
1 Coppa Italia 8:15 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
1 China Super League 12:35 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Ekranas vs FK Minija
2 Lithuania I Lyga 5:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Friday • site avg 77.5% • evidence-based
Almere vs Jong PSV
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (70.1%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Galatasaray vs Corum
1 Turkey Super Lig 7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Haukar vs Hviti
1 Iceland Division 2 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
1 Liga Portugal 8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Waterford vs Athlone
1 Ireland FAI Cup 7:45 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Fiorentina vs Benevento
1 Coppa Italia 8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
1 China Super League 12:35 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Ekranas vs FK Minija
2 Lithuania I Lyga 5:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.8%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Almere vs Jong PSV Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.1% over the last 90 days (67 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.1% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 67 settled tips (70.1%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.5%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Galatasaray vs Corum 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.3% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.3% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 202 wins from 258 settled tips (78.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Haukar vs Hviti 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.3% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.3% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 202 wins from 258 settled tips (78.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.3% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 202 wins from 258 settled tips (78.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Waterford vs Athlone 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.3% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 202 wins from 258 settled tips (78.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Fiorentina vs Benevento 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.3% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 202 wins from 258 settled tips (78.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.3% over the last 90 days (258 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 202 wins from 258 settled tips (78.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ekranas vs FK Minija 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.8% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.8% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 43 wins from 56 settled tips (76.8%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

12 Aug 2026 • UEFA Super Cup PSG vs Aston Villa Over 1.5 @1.20
2-1
12 Aug 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W 1 @1.35
1-0
12 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 1.5 @1.29
2-1
12 Aug 2026 • Finland Kansallilen Women Gnistan W vs HJK W 2 @1.15
1-3
12 Aug 2026 • Sweden Div 2 Norrland Gotten vs IFK Ostersund Over 2.5 @1.38
4-0
12 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen Over 2.5 @79.97
5-1
11 Aug 2026 • Copa Sudamericana Boca Juniors vs Recoleta 1 @1.28
3-1
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 @1.17
1-2
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union Over 2.5 @1.44
3-2
11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Yarmouk vs Burgan Over 1.5 @1.27
3-1
11 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia 1 @1.31
2-1
11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty 1 @1.12
3-0
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sabah Baku vs Aarhus Over 1.5 @1.20
4-0
10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong PSV vs FC Volendam Over 2.5 @1.53
3-2
10 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Alashkert vs BKMA 1 @1.25
3-0
10 Aug 2026 • Norway Div 3 G1 Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 1 @1.24
5-1
10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong AZ vs Eindhoven Over 2.5 @1.39
3-2
10 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands Premier League NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag 1 @1.38
4-0
10 Aug 2026 • Latvia Virsliga RFS vs Grobina Over 2.5 @1.34
6-1
08 Aug 2026 • Lithuania TOPLYGA Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann 1 @1.25
2-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 173 settled tips
77.5%
Excellent
Won (134) 77.5%
Lost (39) 22.5%
134W
39L
134
Won
39
Lost
173
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
20W / 5L • 25 tips
80%
1 Top market
76W / 21L • 97 tips
78.4%
2 Top market
14W / 4L • 18 tips
77.8%
Over 2.5 Top market
20W / 6L • 26 tips
76.9%
1X Solid
4W / 3L • 7 tips
57.1%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 75% 73% 74% 74% 77%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 81% 58% 67% 72% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 75% 80% 73% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 72% 72% 68% 65% 71% 70% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 55.6%100%
55.6%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.7%100%
73.7%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 88.9%100%
88.9%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 258 tips
Accuracy 78.3%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 202W / 56L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 67 tips
Accuracy 70.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 47W / 20L
3
Over 1.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 81%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 47W / 11L
4
2
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 76.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
80%
Accuracy
24
Won
6
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
12 Aug 2026PSG vs Aston Villa
UEFA Super Cup
Over 1.5✓ Won
12 Aug 2026Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W
Iceland Besta deild Women
1✓ Won
12 Aug 2026GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Conference League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
12 Aug 2026Gnistan W vs HJK W
Finland Kansallilen Women
2✓ Won
12 Aug 2026Arsenal vs Como
Club Friendly
Over 2.5✗ Lost
12 Aug 2026Gotten vs IFK Ostersund
Sweden Div 2 Norrland
Over 2.5✓ Won
12 Aug 2026FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen
Champions League Qualifier
Over 2.5✓ Won
12 Aug 2026Dep A Coruna vs Real Madrid
Club Friendly
Over 2.5✗ Lost
11 Aug 2026Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
Brazil Paulista U20
1✗ Lost
11 Aug 2026Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
Copa Sudamericana
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 76.7% • range ±1.4%
Steady
77.8%
0-30d
77.3%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 78.6% • range ±2.8%
Steady
78.4%
0-30d
75.9%
30-60d
81.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 70.9% • range ±6%
Steady
76.9%
0-30d
70.8%
30-60d
65%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 81% • range ±11.5%
Variable
80%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 74.4% • range ±15.2%
Volatile
57.1%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


77.5%
30-day win rate
173 verified tips
78.1%
7-Day Rate
134
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
173
Settled
Full Results →



Welcome to the Premier football prediction site where you get daily access to various forms of free betting tips that would suffice in your quest to make ends meet from the round leather game.

At Sure Wins For Today, we pride ourselves in a work ethic that ensures that folks who visit us get access to carefully researched football predictions that they can leverage daily.

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Sure Straight Win For Today Predictions

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Regardless, we carry out thorough research to ensure that you are only exposed to sure win teams on this page. 

These teams are arguably the best in the Premier League such as Manchester City, Arsenal Liverpool, and the likes, La Liga with Real Madrid, Barcelona, and Atletico Madrid; 

The German Bundesliga with Bayern Munich, Bayern Leverkusen, and Borussia Dortmund, Eredivisie with PSV Eindhoven, Ajax, Feyenoord, Ligue 1 with PSG, Monaco, and Lille; And the Portuguese League with FC Porto, Benfica, Sporting CP, Braga, amongst others. 

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