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Sure Win Teams


8th Aug 2026

5:00 pm Lithuania TOPLYGA
Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
VS
1 1.25 Stats Analysis
6:30 pm Israel Toto Cup
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa
VS
2 1.42 Stats Analysis
4:00 pm Ireland N'League Women
Shelbourne W vs Peamount W
VS
1 1.30 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Eredivisie
PSV vs Sittard
VS
1 1.20 Stats Analysis
10:15 pm Bolivia Division Profesional
The Strongest vs Independiente
VS
1 1.16 Stats Analysis
3:00 pm Kansallinen Liiga Women
Aland Utd W vs Ilves W
VS
1 1.36 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina
VS
1 1.34 Stats Analysis
3:00 pm Uzbekistan Super League
Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum
VS
1 1.18 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 8 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Solid Pick
The Strongest vs Independiente
1 Bolivia Division Profesional 10:15 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
PSV vs Sittard
1 Eredivisie 7:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Aland Utd W vs Ilves W
1 Kansallinen Liiga Women 3:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina
1 Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH 8:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum
1 Uzbekistan Super League 3:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
1 Lithuania TOPLYGA 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Shelbourne W vs Peamount W
1 Ireland N'League Women 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa
2 Israel Toto Cup 6:30 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 75.7% • evidence-based
The Strongest vs Independiente
1 Bolivia Division Profesional 10:15 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.8%). No significant deviation either way.
PSV vs Sittard
1 Eredivisie 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Aland Utd W vs Ilves W
1 Kansallinen Liiga Women 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.8%). No significant deviation either way.
FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina
1 Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum
1 Uzbekistan Super League 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
1 Lithuania TOPLYGA 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Shelbourne W vs Peamount W
1 Ireland N'League Women 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa
2 Israel Toto Cup 6:30 pm
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
The Strongest vs Independiente 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.8% over the last 90 days (259 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.8% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 204 wins from 259 settled tips (78.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
PSV vs Sittard 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.8% over the last 90 days (259 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.8% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 204 wins from 259 settled tips (78.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Aland Utd W vs Ilves W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.8% over the last 90 days (259 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.8% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 204 wins from 259 settled tips (78.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.8% over the last 90 days (259 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.8% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 204 wins from 259 settled tips (78.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.8% over the last 90 days (259 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.8% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 204 wins from 259 settled tips (78.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.8% over the last 90 days (259 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.8% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 204 wins from 259 settled tips (78.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shelbourne W vs Peamount W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.8% over the last 90 days (259 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.8% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 204 wins from 259 settled tips (78.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 43 wins from 57 settled tips (75.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Salzburg vs Pafos 1X @1.15
1-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Twente vs Dun Streda 1 @1.20
6-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Lugano vs NSI Runavik 1 @1.13
2-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Debrecen vs Copenhagen Over 1.5 @1.20
0-3
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Benfica vs Hearts 1 @1.14
6-1
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik 1 @1.16
1-0
05 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Aarhus vs Sabah Baku Over 1.5 @1.23
2-1
05 Aug 2026 • Copa Betano Do Brasil Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC 1 @1.36
2-0
05 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola 1 @1.15
6-0
05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny 1X @1.19
1-1
05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg 1 @1.38
5-1
04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II 1 @1.19
2-0
04 Aug 2026 • Luxembourg BGL Ligue UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport 1 @1.42
4-0
04 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional Independiente vs Aurora Over 1.5 @1.12
1-1
04 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sparta Prague vs Lyon Over 1.5 @1.19
2-1
04 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris 1 @1.19
5-0
04 Aug 2026 • Club Friendly Bournemouth vs Genoa Over 2.5 @1.42
10-1
04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga FarDU vs TerDU 1 @1.23
5-1
03 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas 2 @1.20
0-1
03 Aug 2026 • Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka 1 @1.15
5-1

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 169 settled tips
75.7%
Excellent
Won (128) 75.7%
Lost (41) 24.3%
128W
41L
128
Won
41
Lost
169
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
17W / 5L • 22 tips
77.3%
2 Top market
13W / 4L • 17 tips
76.5%
1 Top market
73W / 23L • 96 tips
76%
1X Top market
8W / 3L • 11 tips
72.7%
Over 2.5 Top market
16W / 6L • 22 tips
72.7%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 75% 73% 74% 74% 77%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 80% 58% 67% 71% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 82% 75% 69% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 67% 71% 71% 65% 71% 70% 75% 69%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
60%
recent
-8.4pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 75%100%
33.3%
recent
-41.7pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 259 tips
Accuracy 78.8%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 204W / 55L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 62 tips
Accuracy 69.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 19L
3
2
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 52 tips
Accuracy 80.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 42W / 10L
5
1X
Volume 38 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
6 Aug 2026Salzburg vs Pafos
Europa League Qualifier
1X✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Twente vs Dun Streda
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Rakow vs Hammarby
Conference League Qualifier
Over 1.5✗ Lost
6 Aug 2026Lugano vs NSI Runavik
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Debrecen vs Copenhagen
Conference League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Braga vs Din Minsk
Conference League Qualifier
Over 2.5✗ Lost
6 Aug 2026Benfica vs Hearts
Europa League Qualifier
1✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik
Europa League Qualifier
1✓ Won
5 Aug 2026Chelsea vs Juventus
Club Friendly
Over 2.5✗ Lost
5 Aug 2026Aarhus vs Sabah Baku
Champions League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78.6% • range ±2.1%
Steady
76%
0-30d
79.6%
30-60d
80.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 70.3% • range ±3%
Steady
72.7%
0-30d
71.4%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 76.6% • range ±4.6%
Steady
76.5%
0-30d
72%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 78.6% • range ±5.9%
Steady
72.7%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
84.6%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 80.6% • range ±10%
Variable
77.3%
0-30d
72.2%
30-60d
92.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75.7%
30-day win rate
169 verified tips
77.5%
7-Day Rate
128
Tips Won
41
Tips Lost
169
Settled
Full Results →



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