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Sure Win Teams


19th Aug 2026

5:00 pm Iran Pro League
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
4-1
1 1.27 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm La Liga
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga
2-0
1 1.34 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm Champions League Qualifier
Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
1-1
1X 1.17 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Denmark A Liga Women
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W
3-0
1 1.22 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm Champions League Qualifier
Celtic vs LASK
3-0
Over 1.5 1.20 Stats Analysis
6:30 pm South Africa Premiership
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
2-0
1 1.24 Stats Analysis
5:30 pm Germany Regionalliga North
Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08
1-2
Over 2.5 1.34 Stats Analysis
11:30 am Australia NPL Victoria
Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21
4-0
1 1.23 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 20 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Twente vs Qarabag
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Lech Poznan vs Thun
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 6:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Benfica vs Aarhus
1 Europa League Qualifier 8:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999
1 Europa League Qualifier 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1 Conference League Qualifier 7:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Braga vs Austria Vienna
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Al Fayha vs Al Hilal
2 Saudi Professional League 7:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 76% • evidence-based
Twente vs Qarabag
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Lech Poznan vs Thun
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Benfica vs Aarhus
1 Europa League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999
1 Europa League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1 Conference League Qualifier 7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Braga vs Austria Vienna
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Al Fayha vs Al Hilal
2 Saudi Professional League 7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.7%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Twente vs Qarabag Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.3% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 72% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
79.3% on Over 1.5 90% probability 72% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 46 wins from 58 settled tips (79.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lech Poznan vs Thun Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.4% over the last 90 days (76 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability 71.4% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 55 wins from 76 settled tips (72.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Benfica vs Aarhus 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 60% probability 71.4% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability 71.4% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 72% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability 72% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability 85.7% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Braga vs Austria Vienna 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 72% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability 72% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Fayha vs Al Hilal 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.7% over the last 90 days (60 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.7% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 46 wins from 60 settled tips (76.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

19 Aug 2026 • Iran Pro League Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan 1 @1.27
4-1
19 Aug 2026 • La Liga Atletico Madrid vs Malaga 1 @1.34
2-0
19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Slovan Bratislava vs Celje 1X @1.17
1-1
19 Aug 2026 • Denmark A Liga Women Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W 1 @1.22
3-0
19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Celtic vs LASK Over 1.5 @1.20
3-0
19 Aug 2026 • South Africa Premiership Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants 1 @1.24
2-0
19 Aug 2026 • Germany Regionalliga North Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08 Over 2.5 @1.34
1-2
19 Aug 2026 • Australia NPL Victoria Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21 1 @1.23
4-0
18 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 2 @1.35
1-3
18 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Wexford W 1 @1.42
1-0
18 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Over 1.5 @1.16
2-2
18 Aug 2026 • Sweden Div 2 Sodra Gotaland Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg Over 2.5 @1.40
0-3
18 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Over 2.5 @1.38
0-3
18 Aug 2026 • Saudi King Cup Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr 2 @1.32
1-4
18 Aug 2026 • National League Cup Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U21 1 @1.35
5-2
17 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Over 2.5 @1.51
3-3
17 Aug 2026 • Latvian Cup Auda vs Grobina 1 @1.40
3-2
17 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik Over 2.5 @1.47
3-1
17 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Arda vs Lok Sofia 1X @1.18
3-1
17 Aug 2026 • Denmark Superliga Brondby vs Sonderjyske 1 @1.36
3-2

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 200 settled tips
76%
Excellent
Won (152) 76%
Lost (48) 24%
152W
48L
152
Won
48
Lost
200
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
21W / 5L • 26 tips
80.8%
1 Top market
87W / 26L • 113 tips
77%
2 Top market
15W / 5L • 20 tips
75%
Over 2.5 Top market
24W / 8L • 32 tips
75%
1X Solid
5W / 4L • 9 tips
55.6%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 87% 76% 74% 73% 72% 77%
1X 72% 92% 73% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 69% 81% 54% 69% 72% 83% 74%
BTTS
Over 1.5 69% 81% 75% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 71% 74% 69% 64% 73% 73% 83% 71%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
75%
recent
+6.6pp
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 278 tips
Accuracy 77.7%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 216W / 62L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 76 tips
Accuracy 72.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 55W / 21L
3
2
Volume 60 tips
Accuracy 76.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 46W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 79.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 46W / 12L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 75.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 9L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
83.3%
Accuracy
25
Won
5
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
19 Aug 2026Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
Iran Pro League
1✓ Won
19 Aug 2026Atletico Madrid vs Malaga
La Liga
1✓ Won
19 Aug 2026Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
Champions League Qualifier
1X✓ Won
19 Aug 2026Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W
Denmark A Liga Women
1✓ Won
19 Aug 2026Celtic vs LASK
Champions League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
19 Aug 2026Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
South Africa Premiership
1✓ Won
19 Aug 2026Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08
Germany Regionalliga North
Over 2.5✓ Won
19 Aug 2026Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21
Australia NPL Victoria
1✓ Won
18 Aug 2026Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20
Brazil Paulista U20
2✓ Won
18 Aug 2026Shelbourne W vs Wexford W
Ireland N'League Women
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78% • range ±2.2%
Steady
77%
0-30d
76.3%
30-60d
80.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 76.6% • range ±3.6%
Steady
75%
0-30d
73.7%
30-60d
81%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 71.3% • range ±8.3%
Variable
75%
0-30d
77.8%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.7% • range ±9.5%
Variable
80.8%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
91.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 73.3% • range ±15.1%
Volatile
55.6%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


76%
30-day win rate
200 verified tips
76.8%
7-Day Rate
152
Tips Won
48
Tips Lost
200
Settled
Full Results →



Welcome to the Premier football prediction site where you get daily access to various forms of free betting tips that would suffice in your quest to make ends meet from the round leather game.

At Sure Wins For Today, we pride ourselves in a work ethic that ensures that folks who visit us get access to carefully researched football predictions that they can leverage daily.

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