Boom Football Prediction

Boom Football Predictions



Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 15 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Excelsior vs PSV
Over 2.5 Eredivisie 7:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
KTP vs KaPa
1 Finland Ykkosliiga 6:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Ordabasy vs Altai
1 Kazakhstan Premier League 4:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Ararat Armenia vs Van
1 Armenia Premier League 1:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Etar vs Rilski Sportist
1 Bulgaria Vtora Liga 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Jippo vs SJK Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkosliiga 2:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC
1 Costa Rica Primera Division 11:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
HJS vs GrIFK
1 Finland Kakkonen B 3:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 76.9% • evidence-based
Excelsior vs PSV
Over 2.5 Eredivisie 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (69.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
KTP vs KaPa
1 Finland Ykkosliiga 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Ordabasy vs Altai
1 Kazakhstan Premier League 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Ararat Armenia vs Van
1 Armenia Premier League 1:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Etar vs Rilski Sportist
1 Bulgaria Vtora Liga 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Jippo vs SJK Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkosliiga 2:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC
1 Costa Rica Primera Division 11:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
HJS vs GrIFK
1 Finland Kakkonen B 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Excelsior vs PSV Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (69 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 69 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 76.9%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
KTP vs KaPa 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ordabasy vs Altai 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ararat Armenia vs Van 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Etar vs Rilski Sportist 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Jippo vs SJK Akatemia 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
HJS vs GrIFK 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

14 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes 1 @1.26
3-2
14 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu 1 @1.40
3-1
14 Aug 2026 • Coppa Italia Fiorentina vs Benevento 1 @1.23
4-1
14 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Ekranas vs FK Minija 2 @1.22
0-5
14 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Hviti 1 @1.27
3-1
14 Aug 2026 • Ireland FAI Cup Waterford vs Athlone 1 @1.40
2-1
14 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Almere vs Jong PSV Over 2.5 @1.33
3-1
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris 1 @1.27
4-0
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Tromso vs CFR Cluj 1 @1.43
2-1
13 Aug 2026 • Georgia Liga 3 Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi 1 @1.19
4-0
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Midtjylland vs Bohemians 1 @1.18
3-2
13 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun Over 2.5 @1.45
3-2
12 Aug 2026 • UEFA Super Cup PSG vs Aston Villa Over 1.5 @1.20
2-1
12 Aug 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W 1 @1.35
1-0
12 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 1.5 @1.29
2-1
12 Aug 2026 • Finland Kansallilen Women Gnistan W vs HJK W 2 @1.15
1-3
12 Aug 2026 • Sweden Div 2 Norrland Gotten vs IFK Ostersund Over 2.5 @1.38
4-0
12 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen Over 2.5 @79.97
5-1
11 Aug 2026 • Copa Sudamericana Boca Juniors vs Recoleta 1 @1.28
3-1
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 @1.17
1-2

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 182 settled tips
76.9%
Excellent
Won (140) 76.9%
Lost (42) 23.1%
140W
42L
140
Won
42
Lost
182
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
20W / 4L • 24 tips
83.3%
1 Top market
82W / 23L • 105 tips
78.1%
2 Top market
15W / 5L • 20 tips
75%
Over 2.5 Top market
19W / 7L • 26 tips
73.1%
1X Solid
4W / 3L • 7 tips
57.1%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 76% 74% 74% 74% 77%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 81% 54% 69% 72% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 75% 80% 73% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 72% 72% 68% 64% 73% 70% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.9%100%
80%
recent
+6.1pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 81.8%100%
81.8%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 262 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 206W / 56L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 69 tips
Accuracy 69.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 48W / 21L
3
Over 1.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 81%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 47W / 11L
4
2
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 14L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
14 Aug 2026Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Liga Portugal
1✓ Won
14 Aug 2026Galatasaray vs Corum
Turkey Super Lig
1✗ Lost
14 Aug 2026Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu
China Super League
1✓ Won
14 Aug 2026Fiorentina vs Benevento
Coppa Italia
1✓ Won
14 Aug 2026Ekranas vs FK Minija
Lithuania I Lyga
2✓ Won
14 Aug 2026Haukar vs Hviti
Iceland Division 2
1✓ Won
14 Aug 2026Waterford vs Athlone
Ireland FAI Cup
1✓ Won
14 Aug 2026Almere vs Jong PSV
Eerste Divisie
Over 2.5✓ Won
13 Aug 2026Hearts vs Benfica
Europa League Qualifier
Over 2.5✗ Lost
13 Aug 2026Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 76.3% • range ±1.1%
Steady
75%
0-30d
77.3%
30-60d
76.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 79.4% • range ±2.6%
Steady
78.1%
0-30d
77.5%
30-60d
82.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 68.4% • range ±6.5%
Variable
73.1%
0-30d
72%
30-60d
60%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 82.7% • range ±10.9%
Variable
83.3%
0-30d
71.4%
30-60d
93.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 74.6% • range ±15.6%
Volatile
57.1%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


76.9%
30-day win rate
182 verified tips
77.1%
7-Day Rate
140
Tips Won
42
Tips Lost
182
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.