Boom Football Prediction

Boom Football Predictions



Today's Tips Ranked
Mon 10 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
RFS vs Grobina
Over 2.5 Latvia Virsliga 5:30 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
Over 1.5 Russia Premier League 5:30 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Jong PSV vs FC Volendam
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Jong AZ vs Eindhoven
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Metallurg Bekabad vs Yaypan
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 3:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2
1 Norway Div 3 G1 6:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Alashkert vs BKMA
1 Armenia Premier League 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag
1 Faroe Islands Premier League 7:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Monday • site avg 77.3% • evidence-based
RFS vs Grobina
Over 2.5 Latvia Virsliga 5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (69.4%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Latvia Virsliga has been a difficult competition in the historical record (42.9%). Factor this into your assessment.
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
Over 1.5 Russia Premier League 5:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Jong PSV vs FC Volendam
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (69.4%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Jong AZ vs Eindhoven
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (69.4%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Metallurg Bekabad vs Yaypan
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2
1 Norway Div 3 G1 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Alashkert vs BKMA
1 Armenia Premier League 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag
1 Faroe Islands Premier League 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
RFS vs Grobina Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (62 tips graded). In Latvia Virsliga, our record stands at 42.9% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.5 90% probability 42.9% in Latvia Virsliga
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 43 wins from 62 settled tips (69.4%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.8% over the last 90 days (52 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 52 settled tips (80.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Jong PSV vs FC Volendam Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (62 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 43 wins from 62 settled tips (69.4%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Jong AZ vs Eindhoven Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (62 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 43 wins from 62 settled tips (69.4%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Metallurg Bekabad vs Yaypan 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Alashkert vs BKMA 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

08 Aug 2026 • Lithuania TOPLYGA Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann 1 @1.25
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa 2 @1.42
0-1
08 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Peamount W 1 @1.30
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Independiente 1 @1.16
1-2
08 Aug 2026 • Kansallinen Liiga Women Aland Utd W vs Ilves W 1 @1.36
3-0
08 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum 1 @1.18
5-0
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Salzburg vs Pafos 1X @1.15
1-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Twente vs Dun Streda 1 @1.20
6-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Lugano vs NSI Runavik 1 @1.13
2-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Debrecen vs Copenhagen Over 1.5 @1.20
0-3
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Benfica vs Hearts 1 @1.14
6-1
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik 1 @1.16
1-0
05 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Aarhus vs Sabah Baku Over 1.5 @1.23
2-1
05 Aug 2026 • Copa Betano Do Brasil Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC 1 @1.36
2-0
05 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola 1 @1.15
6-0
05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny 1X @1.19
1-1
05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg 1 @1.38
5-1
04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II 1 @1.19
2-0
04 Aug 2026 • Luxembourg BGL Ligue UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport 1 @1.42
4-0
04 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional Independiente vs Aurora Over 1.5 @1.12
1-1

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 163 settled tips
77.3%
Excellent
Won (126) 77.3%
Lost (37) 22.7%
126W
37L
126
Won
37
Lost
163
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
17W / 4L • 21 tips
81%
Over 2.5 Top market
14W / 4L • 18 tips
77.8%
1 Top market
75W / 22L • 97 tips
77.3%
2 Top market
13W / 4L • 17 tips
76.5%
1X Top market
7W / 3L • 10 tips
70%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 75% 73% 74% 74% 77%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 80% 58% 67% 72% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 82% 75% 69% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 67% 71% 71% 65% 71% 70% 75% 69%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 72.2%100%
60%
recent
-12.2pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 88.9%100%
75%
recent
-13.9pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 71.4%100%
33.3%
recent
-38.1pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 266 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 209W / 57L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 62 tips
Accuracy 69.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 19L
3
2
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 52 tips
Accuracy 80.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 42W / 10L
5
1X
Volume 38 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
8 Aug 2026Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
Lithuania TOPLYGA
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa
Israel Toto Cup
2✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Shelbourne W vs Peamount W
Ireland N'League Women
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026PSV vs Sittard
Eredivisie
1✗ Lost
8 Aug 2026The Strongest vs Independiente
Bolivia Division Profesional
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Aland Utd W vs Ilves W
Kansallinen Liiga Women
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
1✗ Lost
8 Aug 2026Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum
Uzbekistan Super League
1✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Salzburg vs Pafos
Europa League Qualifier
1X✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Twente vs Dun Streda
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78.8% • range ±2.9%
Steady
77.3%
0-30d
76.6%
30-60d
82.4%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 76.6% • range ±4.6%
Steady
76.5%
0-30d
72%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 69.4% • range ±6.3%
Variable
77.8%
0-30d
65.2%
30-60d
65.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 77.7% • range ±9.1%
Variable
70%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 82.5% • range ±9.6%
Variable
81%
0-30d
73.7%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


77.3%
30-day win rate
163 verified tips
77.5%
7-Day Rate
126
Tips Won
37
Tips Lost
163
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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