Everyday Winning Tips
Everyday Winning Tips
5th Mar 2025
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Sun 23 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Sunday • site avg 76.1% • evidence-based
Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica
1
Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
At 63%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
KUPS vs Mariehamn
1
Finland Veikkausliiga
1:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
A stated probability of 57% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar
1
Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
1
Faroe Islands PL
3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
1
Denmark Superliga
1:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 49% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Al Ahly vs Enppi
1
Egypt Premier League
6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 48% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
FC Porto vs Arouca
1
Liga Portugal
8:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 47% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Elche vs Barcelona
2
La Liga
8:30 pm
Marginal
Score: 58/100
A stated probability of 23% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 63% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1
63% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
KUPS vs Mariehamn
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 57% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). In Finland Veikkausliiga, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1
57% probability
80% in Finland Veikkausliiga
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1
52% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1
52% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 49% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1
49% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Ahly vs Enppi
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 48% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1
48% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FC Porto vs Arouca
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 47% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1
47% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Elche vs Barcelona
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 23% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (63 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on 2
23% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 49 wins from 63 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 22 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Ahli SC vs Abha | 1 @1.21 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 22 Aug 2026 • Czech Chance Liga Slavia Prague vs Bohemians | 1 @1.20 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 22 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna | 1 @1.28 |
6-0 ✔
|
| 22 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Alverca | 1 @1.22 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 21 Aug 2026 • Australia NSW League One Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb | 1 @1.55 |
6-2 ✔
|
| 21 Aug 2026 • Premier League Arsenal vs Coventry | 1 @1.25 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 21 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto | 1 @1.20 |
4-3 ✔
|
| 21 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Aegir vs Afturelding | 2 @1.27 |
0-7 ✔
|
| 21 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga Haka vs SJK Akatemia | 1 @1.26 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 21 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 | 2 @1.18 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 21 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr | 2 @0.97 |
0-4 ✔
|
| 20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Thun | Over 2.5 @1.70 |
7-0 ✔
|
| 20 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Fayha vs Al Hilal | 2 @1.21 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999 | 1 @1.36 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 20 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Braga vs Austria Vienna | 1 @1.37 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Benfica vs Aarhus | 1 @1.15 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 20 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20 | 1 @1.27 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • Iran Pro League Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan | 1 @1.27 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • La Liga Atletico Madrid vs Malaga | 1 @1.34 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Slovan Bratislava vs Celje | 1X @1.17 |
1-1 ✔
|
76.1%
Excellent
Won (153)
76.1%
Lost (48)
23.9%
153W
48L
153
Won
48
Lost
201
Settled
2
Top market
16W
/
4L
• 20 tips
80%
Over 1.5
Top market
18W
/
5L
• 23 tips
78.3%
1
Top market
90W
/
28L
• 118 tips
76.3%
Over 2.5
Top market
24W
/
8L
• 32 tips
75%
1X
Solid
5W
/
3L
• 8 tips
62.5%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 87% | 76% | 75% | 73% | 72% | 77% |
| 1X | 72% | 92% | 73% | 80% | 86% | 100% | — | 81% |
| 2 | 88% | 69% | 81% | 57% | 75% | 72% | 83% | 75% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 81% | 75% | 78% | 75% | 100% | — | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 74% | 69% | 65% | 73% | 73% | 83% | 71% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 81.8%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+18.2pp
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 85.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+14.3pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Bulgaria EFBET League
0%baseline 80%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-13.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 63.2%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-29.9pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
282 tips
Accuracy
77.3%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
218W / 64L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
75 tips
Accuracy
72%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
54W / 21L
3
2
Volume
63 tips
Accuracy
77.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
49W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
45W / 13L
5
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
75.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
28W / 9L
6
X2
Volume
5 tips
Accuracy
60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 2L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
82.8%
Accuracy
24
Won
5
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2026 | Qarabag vs Kapaz Azerbaijan Premier League | 1 | − Void |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Al Ahli SC vs Abha Saudi Professional League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Slavia Prague vs Bohemians Czech Chance Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sporting CP vs Alverca Liga Portugal | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sturm Graz vs Altach Austria Bundesliga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb Australia NSW League One | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Arsenal vs Coventry Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Aug 2026 | The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto Bolivia Division Profesional | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Aegir vs Afturelding Iceland Division 1 | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Haka vs SJK Akatemia Finland Ykkosliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 Brazil Paulista U20 | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon Uzbekistan Super League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr Saudi Professional League | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Lech Poznan vs Thun Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Twente vs Qarabag Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Al Fayha vs Al Hilal Saudi Professional League | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999 Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Braga vs Austria Vienna Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Benfica vs Aarhus Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20 Brazil Paulista U20 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Iran Pro League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Atletico Madrid vs Malaga La Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Slovan Bratislava vs Celje Champions League Qualifier | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W Denmark A Liga Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Celtic vs LASK Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants South Africa Premiership | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08 Germany Regionalliga North | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 77.8% • range ±1.8%
Steady
76.3%
0-30d
77.3%
30-60d
79.8%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 77% • range ±3.6%
Steady
80%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
78.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5
avg 77.8% • range ±3.7%
Steady
78.3%
0-30d
73.9%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 71.4% • range ±6.4%
Variable
75%
0-30d
76%
30-60d
63.2%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 72.7% • range ±13.2%
Volatile
62.5%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
76.1%
30-day win rate
201 verified tips
79.6%
7-Day Rate
153
Tips Won
48
Tips Lost
201
Settled
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