Everyday Winning Tips
Everyday Winning Tips
19th May 2025
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 20 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 76% • evidence-based
Twente vs Qarabag
Over 1.5
Conference League Qualifier
7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Lech Poznan vs Thun
Over 2.5
Europa League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Benfica vs Aarhus
1
Europa League Qualifier
8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999
1
Europa League Qualifier
5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
Conference League Qualifier
7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20
1
Brazil Paulista U20
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (85.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Braga vs Austria Vienna
1
Conference League Qualifier
8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Al Fayha vs Al Hilal
2
Saudi Professional League
7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Twente vs Qarabag
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.3% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 72% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
79.3% on Over 1.5
90% probability
72% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 46 wins from 58 settled tips (79.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lech Poznan vs Thun
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.4% over the last 90 days (76 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.4% on Over 2.5
80% probability
71.4% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 55 wins from 76 settled tips (72.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 76%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Benfica vs Aarhus
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1
60% probability
71.4% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1
50% probability
71.4% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 72% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1
50% probability
72% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 85.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1
50% probability
85.7% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Braga vs Austria Vienna
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (278 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 72% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1
50% probability
72% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 216 wins from 278 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Fayha vs Al Hilal
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.7% over the last 90 days (60 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.7% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 46 wins from 60 settled tips (76.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 76%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 19 Aug 2026 • Iran Pro League Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan | 1 @1.27 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • La Liga Atletico Madrid vs Malaga | 1 @1.34 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Slovan Bratislava vs Celje | 1X @1.17 |
1-1 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • Denmark A Liga Women Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W | 1 @1.22 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Celtic vs LASK | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • South Africa Premiership Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants | 1 @1.24 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • Germany Regionalliga North Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08 | Over 2.5 @1.34 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 19 Aug 2026 • Australia NPL Victoria Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21 | 1 @1.23 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 18 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 | 2 @1.35 |
1-3 ✔
|
| 18 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Wexford W | 1 @1.42 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 18 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking | Over 1.5 @1.16 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 18 Aug 2026 • Sweden Div 2 Sodra Gotaland Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg | Over 2.5 @1.40 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 18 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan | Over 2.5 @1.38 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 18 Aug 2026 • Saudi King Cup Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr | 2 @1.32 |
1-4 ✔
|
| 18 Aug 2026 • National League Cup Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U21 | 1 @1.35 |
5-2 ✔
|
| 17 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem | Over 2.5 @1.51 |
3-3 ✔
|
| 17 Aug 2026 • Latvian Cup Auda vs Grobina | 1 @1.40 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 17 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik | Over 2.5 @1.47 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 17 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Arda vs Lok Sofia | 1X @1.18 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 17 Aug 2026 • Denmark Superliga Brondby vs Sonderjyske | 1 @1.36 |
3-2 ✔
|
76%
Excellent
Won (152)
76%
Lost (48)
24%
152W
48L
152
Won
48
Lost
200
Settled
Over 1.5
Top market
21W
/
5L
• 26 tips
80.8%
1
Top market
87W
/
26L
• 113 tips
77%
2
Top market
15W
/
5L
• 20 tips
75%
Over 2.5
Top market
24W
/
8L
• 32 tips
75%
1X
Solid
5W
/
4L
• 9 tips
55.6%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 87% | 76% | 74% | 73% | 72% | 77% |
| 1X | 72% | 92% | 73% | 80% | 86% | 100% | — | 81% |
| 2 | 88% | 69% | 81% | 54% | 69% | 72% | 83% | 74% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 81% | 75% | 82% | 75% | 100% | — | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 74% | 69% | 64% | 73% | 73% | 83% | 71% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
75%
recent
⬆
+6.6pp
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
278 tips
Accuracy
77.7%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
216W / 62L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
76 tips
Accuracy
72.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
55W / 21L
3
2
Volume
60 tips
Accuracy
76.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
46W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
79.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
46W / 12L
5
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
75.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
28W / 9L
6
X2
Volume
5 tips
Accuracy
60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 2L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
83.3%
Accuracy
25
Won
5
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug 2026 | Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan Iran Pro League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Atletico Madrid vs Malaga La Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Slovan Bratislava vs Celje Champions League Qualifier | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W Denmark A Liga Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Celtic vs LASK Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants South Africa Premiership | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08 Germany Regionalliga North | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 19 Aug 2026 | Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21 Australia NPL Victoria | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 Brazil Paulista U20 | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Shelbourne W vs Wexford W Ireland N'League Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Aug 2026 | CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti Russian Cup | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg Sweden Div 2 Sodra Gotaland | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan China Super League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr Saudi King Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Aug 2026 | Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U21 National League Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Israel Toto Cup | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Auda vs Grobina Latvian Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Aug 2026 | IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik Iceland Division 1 | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Arda vs Lok Sofia Bulgaria EFBET League | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 17 Aug 2026 | HJK W vs KUPS W Finland W Kansallinen Liiga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Brondby vs Sonderjyske Denmark Superliga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Trinec vs Usti nad Labem Czech CHNL | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Grindavik vs Grotta Iceland Division 1 | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 16 Aug 2026 | HB Torshavn vs Toftir Faroe Islands PL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Flora vs Kuressaare Estonia Meistriliiga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Besiktas vs Eyupspor Turkey Super Lig | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | NSI Runavik vs Streymur Faroe Islands PL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Estonia Meistriliiga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W Brasileiro Women | 2 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78% • range ±2.2%
Steady
77%
0-30d
76.3%
30-60d
80.7%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 76.6% • range ±3.6%
Steady
75%
0-30d
73.7%
30-60d
81%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 71.3% • range ±8.3%
Variable
75%
0-30d
77.8%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 81.7% • range ±9.5%
Variable
80.8%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
91.7%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 73.3% • range ±15.1%
Volatile
55.6%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
76%
30-day win rate
200 verified tips
76.8%
7-Day Rate
152
Tips Won
48
Tips Lost
200
Settled
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