Everyday Winning Tips
Everyday Winning Tips
4th Aug 2025
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Sun 16 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Sunday • site avg 75.9% • evidence-based
Puskas Academy vs Paks
Over 2.5
Hungary NB 1
4:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus
Over 2.5
Estonia Meistriliiga
3:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Lazio vs Mantova
1
Coppa Italia
8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
NSI Runavik vs Streymur
1
Faroe Islands PL
3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Besiktas vs Eyupspor
1
Turkey Super Lig
7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
HB Torshavn vs Toftir
1
Faroe Islands PL
3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Flora vs Kuressaare
1
Estonia Meistriliiga
5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W
2
Brasileiro Women
3:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Puskas Academy vs Paks
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (69 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 69 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.9%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (69 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 69 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.9%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lazio vs Mantova
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
NSI Runavik vs Streymur
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Besiktas vs Eyupspor
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
HB Torshavn vs Toftir
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Flora vs Kuressaare
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.9% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.9% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 58 settled tips (75.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 14 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes | 1 @1.26 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu | 1 @1.40 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Coppa Italia Fiorentina vs Benevento | 1 @1.23 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Ekranas vs FK Minija | 2 @1.22 |
0-5 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Hviti | 1 @1.27 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Ireland FAI Cup Waterford vs Athlone | 1 @1.40 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 14 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Almere vs Jong PSV | Over 2.5 @1.33 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris | 1 @1.27 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Tromso vs CFR Cluj | 1 @1.43 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 13 Aug 2026 • Georgia Liga 3 Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi | 1 @1.19 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Midtjylland vs Bohemians | 1 @1.18 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 13 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun | Over 2.5 @1.45 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • UEFA Super Cup PSG vs Aston Villa | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W | 1 @1.35 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv | Over 1.5 @1.29 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Finland Kansallilen Women Gnistan W vs HJK W | 2 @1.15 |
1-3 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Sweden Div 2 Norrland Gotten vs IFK Ostersund | Over 2.5 @1.38 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen | Over 2.5 @79.97 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Copa Sudamericana Boca Juniors vs Recoleta | 1 @1.28 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb | Over 1.5 @1.17 |
1-2 ✔
|
75.9%
Excellent
Won (132)
75.9%
Lost (42)
24.1%
132W
42L
132
Won
42
Lost
174
Settled
Over 1.5
Top market
19W
/
4L
• 23 tips
82.6%
1
Top market
76W
/
23L
• 99 tips
76.8%
2
Top market
15W
/
5L
• 20 tips
75%
Over 2.5
Top market
18W
/
7L
• 25 tips
72%
1X
Solid
4W
/
3L
• 7 tips
57.1%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 86% | 76% | 74% | 74% | 74% | 77% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 71% | 80% | 86% | 100% | — | 81% |
| 2 | 88% | 64% | 81% | 54% | 69% | 72% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% | 73% | 82% | 75% | 100% | — | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 72% | 68% | 64% | 73% | 70% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
80%
recent
⬆
+11.6pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
262 tips
Accuracy
78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
206W / 56L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
69 tips
Accuracy
69.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
48W / 21L
3
Over 1.5
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
81%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
47W / 11L
4
2
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
44W / 14L
5
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug 2026 | Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes Liga Portugal | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Galatasaray vs Corum Turkey Super Lig | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu China Super League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Fiorentina vs Benevento Coppa Italia | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Ekranas vs FK Minija Lithuania I Lyga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Haukar vs Hviti Iceland Division 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Waterford vs Athlone Ireland FAI Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 14 Aug 2026 | Almere vs Jong PSV Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Hearts vs Benfica Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri Georgia Liga 3 | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Tromso vs CFR Cluj Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi Georgia Liga 3 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Midtjylland vs Bohemians Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Din Minsk vs Braga Conference League Qualifier | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSG vs Aston Villa UEFA Super Cup | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W Iceland Besta deild Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Gnistan W vs HJK W Finland Kansallilen Women | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Arsenal vs Como Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Gotten vs IFK Ostersund Sweden Div 2 Norrland | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen Champions League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Dep A Coruna vs Real Madrid Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista U20 | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Boca Juniors vs Recoleta Copa Sudamericana | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union Champions League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Yarmouk vs Burgan Kuwait Division 1 | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
2
avg 77.1% • range ±2.5%
Steady
75%
0-30d
76.2%
30-60d
80%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1
avg 78.1% • range ±2.5%
Steady
76.8%
0-30d
76.3%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 69.6% • range ±8.5%
Variable
72%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
60%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 82% • range ±11.6%
Variable
82.6%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
93.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 74.6% • range ±15.6%
Volatile
57.1%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
X2
avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
—
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
75.9%
30-day win rate
174 verified tips
77.5%
7-Day Rate
132
Tips Won
42
Tips Lost
174
Settled
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