Everyday Winning Tips
Everyday Winning Tips
18th Sep 2025
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 13 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 77.5% • evidence-based
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun
Over 2.5
Europa League Qualifier
6:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Hearts vs Benfica
Over 2.5
Europa League Qualifier
7:45 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi
1
Georgia Liga 3
6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Midtjylland vs Bohemians
1
Conference League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris
1
Conference League Qualifier
8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri
1
Georgia Liga 3
4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Tromso vs CFR Cluj
1
Conference League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Din Minsk vs Braga
2
Conference League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 59/100
A stated probability of 30% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.6% over the last 90 days (68 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 75% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
70.6% on Over 2.5
80% probability
75% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 68 settled tips (70.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.5%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hearts vs Benfica
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.6% over the last 90 days (68 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 75% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
70.6% on Over 2.5
80% probability
75% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 68 settled tips (70.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.5%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Midtjylland vs Bohemians
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
60% probability
71.4% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
60% probability
71.4% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tromso vs CFR Cluj
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (262 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
71.4% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 206 wins from 262 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.5%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Din Minsk vs Braga
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 30% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.9% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 71.4% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.9% on 2
30% probability
71.4% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 58 settled tips (75.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.5%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 12 Aug 2026 • UEFA Super Cup PSG vs Aston Villa | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W | 1 @1.35 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv | Over 1.5 @1.29 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Finland Kansallilen Women Gnistan W vs HJK W | 2 @1.15 |
1-3 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Sweden Div 2 Norrland Gotten vs IFK Ostersund | Over 2.5 @1.38 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 12 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen | Over 2.5 @79.97 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Copa Sudamericana Boca Juniors vs Recoleta | 1 @1.28 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb | Over 1.5 @1.17 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union | Over 2.5 @1.44 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Yarmouk vs Burgan | Over 1.5 @1.27 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia | 1 @1.31 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty | 1 @1.12 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sabah Baku vs Aarhus | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong PSV vs FC Volendam | Over 2.5 @1.53 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Alashkert vs BKMA | 1 @1.25 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Norway Div 3 G1 Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 | 1 @1.24 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong AZ vs Eindhoven | Over 2.5 @1.39 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands Premier League NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag | 1 @1.38 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Latvia Virsliga RFS vs Grobina | Over 2.5 @1.34 |
6-1 ✔
|
| 08 Aug 2026 • Lithuania TOPLYGA Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann | 1 @1.25 |
2-0 ✔
|
77.5%
Excellent
Won (134)
77.5%
Lost (39)
22.5%
134W
39L
134
Won
39
Lost
173
Settled
Over 1.5
Top market
20W
/
5L
• 25 tips
80%
1
Top market
76W
/
21L
• 97 tips
78.4%
2
Top market
14W
/
4L
• 18 tips
77.8%
Over 2.5
Top market
20W
/
6L
• 26 tips
76.9%
1X
Solid
4W
/
3L
• 7 tips
57.1%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 86% | 75% | 73% | 74% | 74% | 77% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 71% | 80% | 86% | 100% | — | 81% |
| 2 | 88% | 64% | 81% | 58% | 67% | 72% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 80% | 73% | 82% | 75% | 100% | — | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 72% | 68% | 65% | 71% | 70% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 88.9%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+11.1pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 55.6%100%
55.6%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.7%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-7pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
262 tips
Accuracy
78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
206W / 56L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
68 tips
Accuracy
70.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
48W / 20L
3
2
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
81%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
47W / 11L
5
1X
Volume
38 tips
Accuracy
78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
80%
Accuracy
24
Won
6
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2026 | PSG vs Aston Villa UEFA Super Cup | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W Iceland Besta deild Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Gnistan W vs HJK W Finland Kansallilen Women | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Arsenal vs Como Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Gotten vs IFK Ostersund Sweden Div 2 Norrland | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen Champions League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 12 Aug 2026 | Dep A Coruna vs Real Madrid Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20 Brazil Paulista U20 | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Boca Juniors vs Recoleta Copa Sudamericana | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union Champions League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Yarmouk vs Burgan Kuwait Division 1 | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia Finland Ykkonen | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty Kuwait Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Aug 2026 | Sabah Baku vs Aarhus Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Jong PSV vs FC Volendam Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Alashkert vs BKMA Armenia Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 Norway Div 3 G1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Jong AZ vs Eindhoven Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag Faroe Islands Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | RFS vs Grobina Latvia Virsliga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Metallurg Bekabad vs Yaypan Uzbekistan Pro Liga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Lithuania TOPLYGA | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa Israel Toto Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Shelbourne W vs Peamount W Ireland N'League Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | PSV vs Sittard Eredivisie | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 8 Aug 2026 | The Strongest vs Independiente Bolivia Division Profesional | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Aland Utd W vs Ilves W Kansallinen Liiga Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
2
avg 75% • range ±2.8%
Steady
77.8%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
72.2%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1
avg 78.8% • range ±3.4%
Steady
78.4%
0-30d
75.6%
30-60d
82.4%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 70.1% • range ±5.1%
Steady
76.9%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5
avg 82.2% • range ±9.6%
Variable
80%
0-30d
73.7%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 74.6% • range ±15.6%
Volatile
57.1%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
X2
avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
—
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
77.5%
30-day win rate
173 verified tips
77.5%
7-Day Rate
134
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
173
Settled
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