Everyday Winning Tips
Everyday Winning Tips
21st Oct 2025
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 11 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 77.4% • evidence-based
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5
Champions League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Yarmouk vs Burgan
Over 1.5
Kuwait Division 1
5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Over 1.5
Champions League Qualifier
5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union
Over 2.5
Champions League Qualifier
5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
1
Kuwait Division 1
6:25 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
1
Brazil Paulista U20
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
1
Copa Sudamericana
11:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
1
Finland Ykkonen
4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (53 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 53 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Yarmouk vs Burgan
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (53 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 53 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (53 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 53 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.8% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.8% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 46 wins from 65 settled tips (70.8%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.4%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (270 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 270 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (270 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
100% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 270 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (270 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 270 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (270 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 270 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong PSV vs FC Volendam | Over 2.5 @1.53 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Alashkert vs BKMA | 1 @1.25 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Norway Div 3 G1 Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 | 1 @1.24 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong AZ vs Eindhoven | Over 2.5 @1.39 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands Premier League NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag | 1 @1.38 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 10 Aug 2026 • Latvia Virsliga RFS vs Grobina | Over 2.5 @1.34 |
6-1 ✔
|
| 08 Aug 2026 • Lithuania TOPLYGA Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann | 1 @1.25 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 08 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa | 2 @1.42 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 08 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Peamount W | 1 @1.30 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 08 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Independiente | 1 @1.16 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 08 Aug 2026 • Kansallinen Liiga Women Aland Utd W vs Ilves W | 1 @1.36 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 08 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum | 1 @1.18 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Salzburg vs Pafos | 1X @1.15 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Twente vs Dun Streda | 1 @1.20 |
6-0 ✔
|
| 06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Lugano vs NSI Runavik | 1 @1.13 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Debrecen vs Copenhagen | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Benfica vs Hearts | 1 @1.14 |
6-1 ✔
|
| 06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik | 1 @1.16 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 05 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Aarhus vs Sabah Baku | Over 1.5 @1.23 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 05 Aug 2026 • Copa Betano Do Brasil Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC | 1 @1.36 |
2-0 ✔
|
77.4%
Excellent
Won (127)
77.4%
Lost (37)
22.6%
127W
37L
127
Won
37
Lost
164
Settled
Over 2.5
Top market
17W
/
4L
• 21 tips
81%
1
Top market
74W
/
21L
• 95 tips
77.9%
2
Top market
13W
/
4L
• 17 tips
76.5%
Over 1.5
Top market
16W
/
5L
• 21 tips
76.2%
1X
Top market
7W
/
3L
• 10 tips
70%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 86% | 75% | 73% | 74% | 74% | 77% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 71% | 80% | 86% | 100% | — | 81% |
| 2 | 88% | 64% | 80% | 58% | 67% | 72% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 75% | 69% | 82% | 75% | 100% | — | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 71% | 71% | 65% | 71% | 70% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 72.2%100%
60%
recent
⬇
-12.2pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 88.9%100%
75%
recent
⬇
-13.9pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 71.4%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-38.1pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
270 tips
Accuracy
78.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
212W / 58L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
65 tips
Accuracy
70.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
46W / 19L
3
2
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
53 tips
Accuracy
79.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
42W / 11L
5
1X
Volume
38 tips
Accuracy
78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Jong PSV vs FC Volendam Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny Russia Premier League | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Alashkert vs BKMA Armenia Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 Norway Div 3 G1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Jong AZ vs Eindhoven Eerste Divisie | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag Faroe Islands Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | RFS vs Grobina Latvia Virsliga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Aug 2026 | Metallurg Bekabad vs Yaypan Uzbekistan Pro Liga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann Lithuania TOPLYGA | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa Israel Toto Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Shelbourne W vs Peamount W Ireland N'League Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | PSV vs Sittard Eredivisie | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 8 Aug 2026 | The Strongest vs Independiente Bolivia Division Profesional | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Aland Utd W vs Ilves W Kansallinen Liiga Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Aug 2026 | FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum Uzbekistan Super League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Salzburg vs Pafos Europa League Qualifier | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Twente vs Dun Streda Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Rakow vs Hammarby Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Lugano vs NSI Runavik Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Debrecen vs Copenhagen Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Braga vs Din Minsk Conference League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Benfica vs Hearts Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Chelsea vs Juventus Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Aarhus vs Sabah Baku Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC Copa Betano Do Brasil | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola Finland Ykkonen | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny Russian Cup | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Arsenal vs Betis Club Friendly | 1X | ✗ Lost |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78.6% • range ±3.4%
Steady
77.9%
0-30d
75.6%
30-60d
82.4%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 76.6% • range ±4.6%
Steady
76.5%
0-30d
72%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 71% • range ±7.9%
Variable
81%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
65.2%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 77% • range ±9.1%
Variable
70%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 80.4% • range ±10.4%
Variable
76.2%
0-30d
72.2%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
X2
avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
—
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
77.4%
30-day win rate
164 verified tips
75%
7-Day Rate
127
Tips Won
37
Tips Lost
164
Settled
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