Everyday Winning Tips
Everyday Winning Tips
13th Feb 2026
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 4 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 75.3% • evidence-based
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
Over 1.5
Champions League Qualifier
7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (82.6% vs 75.3%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Bournemouth vs Genoa
Over 2.5
Club Friendly
1:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.2%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (91.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Independiente vs Aurora
Over 1.5
Bolivia Division Profesional
11:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (82.6% vs 75.3%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris
1
Champions League Qualifier
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport
1
Luxembourg BGL Ligue
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.
FarDU vs TerDU
1
Uzbekistan Pro Liga
1:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
1
Uzbekistan Pro Liga
4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W
2
Ireland N'League Women
7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 82.6% over the last 90 days (46 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
82.6% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 38 wins from 46 settled tips (82.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bournemouth vs Genoa
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.2% over the last 90 days (59 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 91.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.2% on Over 2.5
80% probability
91.7% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 59 settled tips (71.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Independiente vs Aurora
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 82.6% over the last 90 days (46 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
82.6% on Over 1.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 38 wins from 46 settled tips (82.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 193 wins from 248 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 193 wins from 248 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FarDU vs TerDU
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 193 wins from 248 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (248 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 193 wins from 248 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.8% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.8% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 43 wins from 56 settled tips (76.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 03 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas | 2 @1.20 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka | 1 @1.15 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Ireland Division 1 Cork City vs Athlone | 1 @1.41 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Poland Ekstraklasa Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin | Over 1.5 @1.29 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Sweden Allsvenskan Halmstad vs Sirius | 2 @1.33 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Norway D3 Group 4 Vindbjart vs Odd 2 | 1 @1.38 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. | 1 @1.41 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Leevon PPK vs Rezekne | 1 @1.17 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Swiss Super League Thun vs Young Boys | Over 2.5 @1.34 |
0-6 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Brasileiro Women Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W | 1 @1.21 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Valmiera vs RFS 2 | 1 @1.18 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia | 1 @1.19 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 31 Jul 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20 | 2 @1.28 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 31 Jul 2026 • Croatia HNL Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo | 1 @1.27 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 31 Jul 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga KTP vs SJK Akatemia | 1 @1.23 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 31 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL 2 Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City | 1 @1.31 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 31 Jul 2026 • Swiss Challenge League Wil vs Xamax | Over 2.5 @1.45 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 31 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom | 1 @1.25 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 31 Jul 2026 • Australia NSW League One Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans | 2 @1.40 |
1-2 ✔
|
75.3%
Excellent
Won (125)
75.3%
Lost (41)
24.7%
125W
41L
125
Won
41
Lost
166
Settled
2
Top market
15W
/
3L
• 18 tips
83.3%
Over 2.5
Top market
18W
/
5L
• 23 tips
78.3%
Over 1.5
Top market
16W
/
5L
• 21 tips
76.2%
1
Top market
69W
/
23L
• 92 tips
75%
1X
Average
6W
/
5L
• 11 tips
54.5%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 80% | 85% | 74% | 73% | 74% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 86% | 100% | — | 82% |
| 2 | 88% | 70% | 80% | 58% | 67% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 70% | 73% | 85% | 75% | 100% | — | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 70% | 75% | 68% | 71% | 70% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+4.2pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.3%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-6.6pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 42.9%100%
0%
recent
⬇
-42.9pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
248 tips
Accuracy
77.8%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
193W / 55L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
59 tips
Accuracy
71.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
42W / 17L
3
2
Volume
56 tips
Accuracy
76.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
43W / 13L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
46 tips
Accuracy
82.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
38W / 8L
5
1X
Volume
35 tips
Accuracy
80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
28W / 7L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
83.3%
Accuracy
25
Won
5
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026 | Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas Lithuania I Lyga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka Ukraine Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cork City vs Athlone Ireland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Halmstad vs Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Faroe Islands PL | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Vindbjart vs Odd 2 Norway D3 Group 4 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. Ecuador Liga Pro | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Leevon PPK vs Rezekne Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Thun vs Young Boys Swiss Super League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W Brasileiro Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Valmiera vs RFS 2 Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy Swiss Challenge League | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Brazil Paulista U20 | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | KTP vs SJK Akatemia Finland Ykkosliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City Australia Victoria PL 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Wil vs Xamax Swiss Challenge League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans Australia NSW League One | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Panathinaikos vs Paks Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Gyor vs Bissen Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Ajax vs Vojvodina Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 30 Jul 2026 | Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 77.6% • range ±2.1%
Steady
75%
0-30d
79.2%
30-60d
78.7%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 77.1% • range ±5.1%
Steady
83.3%
0-30d
73.1%
30-60d
75%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5
avg 82.4% • range ±8%
Variable
76.2%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
92.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 2.5
avg 69.8% • range ±8.6%
Variable
78.3%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
X2
avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
—
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
1X
avg 79.7% • range ±22.8%
Volatile
54.5%
0-30d
84.6%
30-60d
100%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
75.3%
30-day win rate
166 verified tips
73.3%
7-Day Rate
125
Tips Won
41
Tips Lost
166
Settled
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- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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