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23rd Aug 2026

« Prev Day
6:00 pm Egypt Premier League
Al Ahly vs Enppi
VS
 1 1.27 Stats Analysis
8:30 pm Liga Portugal
FC Porto vs Arouca
VS
 1 1.29 Stats Analysis
1:00 pm Finland Veikkausliiga
KUPS vs Mariehamn
VS
 1 1.33 Stats Analysis
1:00 pm Denmark Superliga
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
VS
 1 1.52 Stats Analysis
5:30 pm Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar
VS
 1 1.34 Stats Analysis
8:30 pm La Liga
Elche vs Barcelona
VS
 2 1.28 Stats Analysis
3:00 pm Faroe Islands PL
HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
VS
 1 1.37 Stats Analysis
5:30 pm Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica
VS
 1 1.24 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Sun 23 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Solid Pick
Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica
1 Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH 5:30 pm
63%
prob
Solid Pick
KUPS vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga 1:00 pm
57%
prob
Solid Pick
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar
1 Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH 5:30 pm
52%
prob
Solid Pick
HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
1 Faroe Islands PL 3:00 pm
52%
prob
Speculative
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
1 Denmark Superliga 1:00 pm
49%
prob
Speculative
Al Ahly vs Enppi
1 Egypt Premier League 6:00 pm
48%
prob
Speculative
FC Porto vs Arouca
1 Liga Portugal 8:30 pm
47%
prob
Speculative
Elche vs Barcelona
2 La Liga 8:30 pm
23%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Sunday • site avg 76.4% • evidence-based
Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica
1 Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH 5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
At 63%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.5%). No significant deviation either way.
KUPS vs Mariehamn
1 Finland Veikkausliiga 1:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
A stated probability of 57% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar
1 Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH 5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.5%). No significant deviation either way.
HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
1 Faroe Islands PL 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Midtjylland vs Randers FC
1 Denmark Superliga 1:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 49% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Al Ahly vs Enppi
1 Egypt Premier League 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 48% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.5%). No significant deviation either way.
FC Porto vs Arouca
1 Liga Portugal 8:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 47% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Elche vs Barcelona
2 La Liga 8:30 pm
Marginal
Score: 58/100
A stated probability of 23% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 63% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.5% over the last 90 days (276 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.5% on 1 63% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 276 settled tips (77.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
KUPS vs Mariehamn 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 57% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.5% over the last 90 days (276 tips graded). In Finland Veikkausliiga, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.5% on 1 57% probability 80% in Finland Veikkausliiga
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 276 settled tips (77.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.5% over the last 90 days (276 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.5% on 1 52% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 276 settled tips (77.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.5% over the last 90 days (276 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.5% on 1 52% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 276 settled tips (77.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Midtjylland vs Randers FC 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 49% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.5% over the last 90 days (276 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.5% on 1 49% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 276 settled tips (77.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Ahly vs Enppi 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 48% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.5% over the last 90 days (276 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.5% on 1 48% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 276 settled tips (77.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FC Porto vs Arouca 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 47% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.5% over the last 90 days (276 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.5% on 1 47% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 214 wins from 276 settled tips (77.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Elche vs Barcelona 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 23% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (63 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on 2 23% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 49 wins from 63 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

21 Aug 2026 • Australia NSW League One Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb 1 @1.55
6-2 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Premier League Arsenal vs Coventry 1 @1.25
3-0 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto 1 @1.20
4-3 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Aegir vs Afturelding 2 @1.27
0-7 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga Haka vs SJK Akatemia 1 @1.26
2-0 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 2 @1.18
0-2 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr 2 @0.97
0-4 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Thun Over 2.5 @1.70
7-0 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Fayha vs Al Hilal 2 @1.21
0-3 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999 1 @1.36
4-0 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Braga vs Austria Vienna 1 @1.37
2-0 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Benfica vs Aarhus 1 @1.15
3-1 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20 1 @1.27
2-0 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • Iran Pro League Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan 1 @1.27
4-1 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • La Liga Atletico Madrid vs Malaga 1 @1.34
2-0 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Slovan Bratislava vs Celje 1X @1.17
1-1 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • Denmark A Liga Women Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W 1 @1.22
3-0 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Celtic vs LASK Over 1.5 @1.20
3-0 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • South Africa Premiership Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants 1 @1.24
2-0 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • Germany Regionalliga North Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08 Over 2.5 @1.34
1-2 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 195 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
76.4%
Excellent
Won (149) 76.4%
Lost (46) 23.6%
149W
46L
149
Won
46
Lost
195
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
2 Top market
16W / 4L • 20 tips
80%
Over 1.5 Top market
18W / 5L • 23 tips
78.3%
1 Top market
86W / 26L • 112 tips
76.8%
Over 2.5 Top market
24W / 8L • 32 tips
75%
1X Solid
5W / 3L • 8 tips
62.5%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 87% 76% 75% 73% 72% 77%
1X 72% 92% 73% 80% 86% 100% — 81%
2 88% 69% 81% 57% 75% 72% 83% 75%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 69% 81% 75% 78% 75% 100% — 78%
Over 2.5 71% 74% 69% 65% 73% 73% 83% 71%
X2 — — — — — — — 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 81.8%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+18.2pp
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 85.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+14.3pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 63.2%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-29.9pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 276 tips
Accuracy 77.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 214W / 62L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 75 tips
Accuracy 72%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 54W / 21L
3
2
Volume 63 tips
Accuracy 77.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 49W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 75.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 9L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
86.7%
Accuracy
26
Won
4
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
21 Aug 2026Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb
Australia NSW League One		1✓ Won
21 Aug 2026Arsenal vs Coventry
Premier League		1✓ Won
21 Aug 2026The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto
Bolivia Division Profesional		1✓ Won
21 Aug 2026Aegir vs Afturelding
Iceland Division 1		2✓ Won
21 Aug 2026Haka vs SJK Akatemia
Finland Ykkosliiga		1✓ Won
21 Aug 2026Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20
Brazil Paulista U20		2✓ Won
21 Aug 2026Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
Uzbekistan Super League		1✗ Lost
21 Aug 2026Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr
Saudi Professional League		2✓ Won
20 Aug 2026Lech Poznan vs Thun
Europa League Qualifier		Over 2.5✓ Won
20 Aug 2026Atalanta vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Conference League Qualifier		1✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78% • range ±1.5%
Steady
76.8%
0-30d
77.3%
30-60d
79.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 77% • range ±3.6%
Steady
80%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
78.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 77.8% • range ±3.7%
Steady
78.3%
0-30d
73.9%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 71.4% • range ±6.4%
Variable
75%
0-30d
76%
30-60d
63.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 72.7% • range ±13.2%
Volatile
62.5%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


76.4%
30-day win rate
195 verified tips
81.3%
7-Day Rate
149
Tips Won
46
Tips Lost
195
Settled
Full Results →

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