Football Tips Today

Football Tips Today


25th Aug 2026

4:00 pm Bulgaria Vtora Liga
CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets II
VS
1 1.28 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Argentina Primera B
Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo
VS
1 1.42 Stats Analysis
6:30 pm South Africa Premiership
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune
VS
1 1.31 Stats Analysis
8:15 pm Iceland Division 1
Afturelding vs Grotta
VS
1 1.39 Stats Analysis
4:30 pm Czech MOL Cup
Zapy vs Bohemians
VS
2 1.34 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Sweden Superettan
Oster vs Sundsvall
VS
1X 1.11 Stats Analysis
5:45 pm Champions League Qualifier
Sabah Baku vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
VS
Over 1.5 1.11 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm Chile Women Premier League
Deportes Temuco W vs Recoleta W
VS
Over 2.5 1.40 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 25 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Sabah Baku vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:45 pm
83%
prob
High Conf.
Oster vs Sundsvall
1X Sweden Superettan 6:00 pm
82%
prob
High Conf.
Deportes Temuco W vs Recoleta W
Over 2.5 Chile Women Premier League 8:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo
1 Argentina Primera B 7:00 pm
54%
prob
Speculative
Afturelding vs Grotta
1 Iceland Division 1 8:15 pm
49%
prob
Speculative
CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets II
1 Bulgaria Vtora Liga 4:00 pm
47%
prob
Speculative
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune
1 South Africa Premiership 6:30 pm
47%
prob
Speculative
Zapy vs Bohemians
2 Czech MOL Cup 4:30 pm
17%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 75.8% • evidence-based
Sabah Baku vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:45 pm
Strong case
Score: 84/100
The stated probability of 83% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (77.6%). No significant deviation either way. Champions League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Oster vs Sundsvall
1X Sweden Superettan 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 82% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (75.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Deportes Temuco W vs Recoleta W
Over 2.5 Chile Women Premier League 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72%). No significant deviation either way.
Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo
1 Argentina Primera B 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 54% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Afturelding vs Grotta
1 Iceland Division 1 8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 49% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way. Iceland Division 1 has been a difficult competition in the historical record (66.7%). Factor this into your assessment.
CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets II
1 Bulgaria Vtora Liga 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 47% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune
1 South Africa Premiership 6:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 47% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Zapy vs Bohemians
2 Czech MOL Cup 4:30 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 17% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78.1%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Sabah Baku vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 83% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 77.6% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). In Champions League Qualifier, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.6% on Over 1.5 83% probability 100% in Champions League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 45 wins from 58 settled tips (77.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Oster vs Sundsvall 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 82% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 75.7% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.7% on 1X 82% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 28 wins from 37 settled tips (75.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.8%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Deportes Temuco W vs Recoleta W Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72% over the last 90 days (75 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 54 wins from 75 settled tips (72%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.8%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 54% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (289 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 1 54% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 223 wins from 289 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Afturelding vs Grotta 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 49% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (289 tips graded). In Iceland Division 1, our record stands at 66.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 1 49% probability 66.7% in Iceland Division 1
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 223 wins from 289 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets II 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 47% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (289 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 1 47% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 223 wins from 289 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 47% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.2% over the last 90 days (289 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.2% on 1 47% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 223 wins from 289 settled tips (77.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zapy vs Bohemians 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 17% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78.1% over the last 90 days (64 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.1% on 2 17% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 50 wins from 64 settled tips (78.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

23 Aug 2026 • Egypt Premier League Al Ahly vs Enppi 1 @1.27
3-2
23 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal FC Porto vs Arouca 1 @1.29
2-0
23 Aug 2026 • Denmark Superliga Midtjylland vs Randers FC 1 @1.52
1-0
23 Aug 2026 • Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar 1 @1.34
2-0
23 Aug 2026 • La Liga Elche vs Barcelona 2 @1.28
0-5
23 Aug 2026 • Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica 1 @1.24
2-0
22 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Ahli SC vs Abha 1 @1.21
4-0
22 Aug 2026 • Czech Chance Liga Slavia Prague vs Bohemians 1 @1.20
2-2
22 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna 1 @1.28
6-0
22 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Alverca 1 @1.22
3-1
21 Aug 2026 • Australia NSW League One Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb 1 @1.55
6-2
21 Aug 2026 • Premier League Arsenal vs Coventry 1 @1.25
3-0
21 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto 1 @1.20
4-3
21 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Aegir vs Afturelding 2 @1.27
0-7
21 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga Haka vs SJK Akatemia 1 @1.26
2-0
21 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 2 @1.18
0-2
21 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr 2 @0.97
0-4
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Thun Over 2.5 @1.70
7-0
20 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Fayha vs Al Hilal 2 @1.21
0-3
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999 1 @1.36
4-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 194 settled tips
75.8%
Excellent
Won (147) 75.8%
Lost (47) 24.2%
147W
47L
147
Won
47
Lost
194
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
2 Top market
17W / 4L • 21 tips
81%
Over 1.5 Top market
16W / 5L • 21 tips
76.2%
1 Top market
86W / 27L • 113 tips
76.1%
Over 2.5 Top market
23W / 8L • 31 tips
74.2%
1X Solid
5W / 3L • 8 tips
62.5%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 87% 76% 75% 73% 72% 76%
1X 72% 92% 73% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 69% 81% 57% 75% 72% 86% 75%
BTTS
Over 1.5 69% 81% 75% 78% 75% 100% 78%
Over 2.5 71% 74% 69% 65% 73% 73% 83% 71%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 80%100%
100%
recent
+20pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 81.8%100%
100%
recent
+18.2pp
Bulgaria EFBET League
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 63.2%100%
33.3%
recent
-29.9pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 289 tips
Accuracy 77.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 223W / 66L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 75 tips
Accuracy 72%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 54W / 21L
3
2
Volume 64 tips
Accuracy 78.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 50W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 75.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 9L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
75.9%
Accuracy
22
Won
7
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
23 Aug 2026Al Ahly vs Enppi
Egypt Premier League
1✓ Won
23 Aug 2026FC Porto vs Arouca
Liga Portugal
1✓ Won
23 Aug 2026KUPS vs Mariehamn
Finland Veikkausliiga
1✗ Lost
23 Aug 2026Midtjylland vs Randers FC
Denmark Superliga
1✓ Won
23 Aug 2026Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar
Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
1✓ Won
23 Aug 2026Elche vs Barcelona
La Liga
2✓ Won
23 Aug 2026HB Torshavn vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
Faroe Islands PL
1✗ Lost
23 Aug 2026Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica
Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
1✓ Won
22 Aug 2026Qarabag vs Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1− Void
22 Aug 2026Al Ahli SC vs Abha
Saudi Professional League
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77.3% • range ±1.6%
Steady
76.1%
0-30d
76.4%
30-60d
79.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 77.9% • range ±2.5%
Steady
76.2%
0-30d
76.2%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.8% • range ±3.6%
Steady
81%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
74.1%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 71.1% • range ±9.6%
Variable
74.2%
0-30d
79.2%
30-60d
60%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 71.7% • range ±13.2%
Volatile
62.5%
0-30d
63.6%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75.8%
30-day win rate
194 verified tips
82.6%
7-Day Rate
147
Tips Won
47
Tips Lost
194
Settled
Full Results →


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