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Football Tips Today

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21st Aug 2026

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11:15 am Australia NSW League One
Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb
6-2
 1 1.55 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm Premier League
Arsenal vs Coventry
3-0
 1 1.25 Stats Analysis
11:30 pm Bolivia Division Profesional
The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto
4-3
 1 1.20 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Iceland Division 1
Aegir vs Afturelding
0-7
 2 1.27 Stats Analysis
4:30 pm Finland Ykkosliiga
Haka vs SJK Akatemia
2-0
 1 1.26 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Brazil Paulista U20
Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20
0-2
 2 1.18 Stats Analysis
4:00 pm Uzbekistan Super League
Pakhtakor vs Termez Surkhon
0-0
 1 1.29 Stats Analysis
5:00 pm Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr
0-4
 2 0.97 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Mon 24 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Levadia U19 vs Legion
1 Esiliiga B 5:00 pm
63%
prob
Solid Pick
Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania
1 Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara 4:00 pm
58%
prob
Solid Pick
Patriotas vs Atletico FC
1 Colombia Primera B 11:30 pm
54%
prob
Solid Pick
Brondby vs Silkeborg
1 Denmark Superliga 6:00 pm
51%
prob
Speculative
Libertad Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
1 Paraguay Copa De Primera 10:30 pm
49%
prob
Speculative
Pari NN vs SKA Khabarovsk
1 Russia FNL 6:00 pm
46%
prob
Speculative
Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W
2 Colombia Liga Women 10:30 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Monday • site avg 75.6% • evidence-based
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles
Over 2.5 Eerste Divisie 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72%). No significant deviation either way.
Levadia U19 vs Legion
1 Esiliiga B 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 63%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania
1 Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
At 58%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Patriotas vs Atletico FC
1 Colombia Primera B 11:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 54% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Brondby vs Silkeborg
1 Denmark Superliga 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 51% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Libertad Asuncion vs San Lorenzo
1 Paraguay Copa De Primera 10:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 49% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Pari NN vs SKA Khabarovsk
1 Russia FNL 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 65/100
A stated probability of 46% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W
2 Colombia Liga Women 10:30 pm
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Jong Utrecht vs Heracles Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72% over the last 90 days (75 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 54 wins from 75 settled tips (72%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.6%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levadia U19 vs Legion 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 63% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 63% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 58% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 58% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Patriotas vs Atletico FC 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 54% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 54% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Brondby vs Silkeborg 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 51% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 51% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Libertad Asuncion vs San Lorenzo 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 49% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 49% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Pari NN vs SKA Khabarovsk 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 46% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (282 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 46% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 218 wins from 282 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (63 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 49 wins from 63 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

22 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Ahli SC vs Abha 1 @1.21
4-0 ✔
22 Aug 2026 • Czech Chance Liga Slavia Prague vs Bohemians 1 @1.20
2-2 ✔
22 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna 1 @1.28
6-0 ✔
22 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Alverca 1 @1.22
3-1 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Australia NSW League One Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb 1 @1.55
6-2 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Premier League Arsenal vs Coventry 1 @1.25
3-0 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto 1 @1.20
4-3 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Aegir vs Afturelding 2 @1.27
0-7 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga Haka vs SJK Akatemia 1 @1.26
2-0 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Referencia U20 vs Palmeiras U20 2 @1.18
0-2 ✔
21 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Riyadh vs Al Nassr 2 @0.97
0-4 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Thun Over 2.5 @1.70
7-0 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Saudi Professional League Al Fayha vs Al Hilal 2 @1.21
0-3 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Jagiellonia vs Iberia 1999 1 @1.36
4-0 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Braga vs Austria Vienna 1 @1.37
2-0 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Benfica vs Aarhus 1 @1.15
3-1 ✔
20 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Sao Paulo U20 vs Paulinense U20 1 @1.27
2-0 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • Iran Pro League Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan 1 @1.27
4-1 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • La Liga Atletico Madrid vs Malaga 1 @1.34
2-0 ✔
19 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Slovan Bratislava vs Celje 1X @1.17
1-1 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 193 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
75.6%
Excellent
Won (146) 75.6%
Lost (47) 24.4%
146W
47L
146
Won
47
Lost
193
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
2 Top market
16W / 4L • 20 tips
80%
Over 1.5 Top market
17W / 5L • 22 tips
77.3%
1 Top market
85W / 27L • 112 tips
75.9%
Over 2.5 Top market
23W / 8L • 31 tips
74.2%
1X Solid
5W / 3L • 8 tips
62.5%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 87% 76% 75% 73% 72% 77%
1X 72% 92% 73% 80% 86% 100% — 81%
2 88% 69% 81% 57% 75% 72% 83% 75%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 69% 81% 75% 78% 75% 100% — 78%
Over 2.5 71% 74% 69% 65% 73% 73% 83% 71%
X2 — — — — — — — 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 80%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+20pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 81.8%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+18.2pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Bulgaria EFBET League
0%baseline 80%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-13.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 63.2%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-29.9pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 282 tips
Accuracy 77.3%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 218W / 64L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 75 tips
Accuracy 72%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 54W / 21L
3
2
Volume 63 tips
Accuracy 77.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 49W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 75.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 9L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
82.8%
Accuracy
24
Won
5
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
22 Aug 2026Qarabag vs Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League		1− Void
22 Aug 2026Al Ahli SC vs Abha
Saudi Professional League		1✓ Won
22 Aug 2026Slavia Prague vs Bohemians
Czech Chance Liga		1✓ Won
22 Aug 2026Ludogorets vs Slavia Sofia
Bulgaria EFBET League		1✗ Lost
22 Aug 2026Levski Sofia vs Spartak Varna
Bulgaria EFBET League		1✓ Won
22 Aug 2026Sporting CP vs Alverca
Liga Portugal		1✓ Won
22 Aug 2026Sturm Graz vs Altach
Austria Bundesliga		1✗ Lost
21 Aug 2026Blacktown Spartans vs Hurstville Zagreb
Australia NSW League One		1✓ Won
21 Aug 2026Arsenal vs Coventry
Premier League		1✓ Won
21 Aug 2026The Strongest vs Universitario de Vinto
Bolivia Division Profesional		1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77.1% • range ±1.7%
Steady
75.9%
0-30d
76.1%
30-60d
79.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 78.3% • range ±2.5%
Steady
77.3%
0-30d
76.2%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 76.4% • range ±3%
Steady
80%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
74.1%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 70.1% • range ±8%
Variable
74.2%
0-30d
76%
30-60d
60%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 71.7% • range ±13.2%
Volatile
62.5%
0-30d
63.6%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75.6%
30-day win rate
193 verified tips
80.4%
7-Day Rate
146
Tips Won
47
Tips Lost
193
Settled
Full Results →

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