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19th May 2024

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 19 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
1X Champions League Qualifier 8:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08
Over 2.5 Germany Regionalliga North 5:30 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Celtic vs LASK
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 8:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga
1 La Liga 8:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W
1 Denmark A Liga Women 6:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 Iran Pro League 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
1 South Africa Premiership 6:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21
1 Australia NPL Victoria 11:30 am
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 75% • evidence-based
Slovan Bratislava vs Celje
1X Champions League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (75%). No significant deviation either way. Champions League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08
Over 2.5 Germany Regionalliga North 5:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72%). No significant deviation either way.
Celtic vs LASK
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 84/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.9%). No significant deviation either way. Champions League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga
1 La Liga 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W
1 Denmark A Liga Women 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan
1 Iran Pro League 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants
1 South Africa Premiership 6:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21
1 Australia NPL Victoria 11:30 am
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.3%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Slovan Bratislava vs Celje 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 75% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). In Champions League Qualifier, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75% on 1X 80% probability 100% in Champions League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 27 wins from 36 settled tips (75%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Werder Bremen II vs SC Weiche 08 Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72% over the last 90 days (75 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 54 wins from 75 settled tips (72%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Celtic vs LASK Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.9% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). In Champions League Qualifier, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.9% on Over 1.5 80% probability 100% in Champions League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 45 wins from 57 settled tips (78.9%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Atletico Madrid vs Malaga 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 211 wins from 273 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Fortuna Hjorring W vs Aarhus W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 211 wins from 273 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Persepolis vs Esteghlal Khuzestan 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 211 wins from 273 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Marumo Gallants 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 211 wins from 273 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Preston Lions vs Melbourne City U21 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.3% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.3% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 211 wins from 273 settled tips (77.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

18 Aug 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20 2 @1.35
1-3 ✔
18 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Wexford W 1 @1.42
1-0 ✔
18 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking Over 1.5 @1.16
2-2 ✔
18 Aug 2026 • Sweden Div 2 Sodra Gotaland Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg Over 2.5 @1.40
0-3 ✔
18 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan Over 2.5 @1.38
0-3 ✔
18 Aug 2026 • Saudi King Cup Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr 2 @1.32
1-4 ✔
18 Aug 2026 • National League Cup Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U21 1 @1.35
5-2 ✔
17 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Over 2.5 @1.51
3-3 ✔
17 Aug 2026 • Latvian Cup Auda vs Grobina 1 @1.40
3-2 ✔
17 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik Over 2.5 @1.47
3-1 ✔
17 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Arda vs Lok Sofia 1X @1.18
3-1 ✔
17 Aug 2026 • Denmark Superliga Brondby vs Sonderjyske 1 @1.36
3-2 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL HB Torshavn vs Toftir 1 @1.25
2-0 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Turkey Super Lig Besiktas vs Eyupspor 1 @1.35
1-0 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL NSI Runavik vs Streymur 1 @1.24
4-2 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Estonia Meistriliiga Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Over 2.5 @1.38
3-1 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Brasileiro Women Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W 2 @1.28
1-5 ✔
16 Aug 2026 • Hungary NB 1 Puskas Academy vs Paks Over 2.5 @1.42
3-2 ✔
15 Aug 2026 • Costa Rica Primera Division Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC 1 @1.37
2-1 ✔
15 Aug 2026 • Eredivisie Excelsior vs PSV Over 2.5 @1.36
1-2 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 192 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
75%
Excellent
Won (144) 75%
Lost (48) 25%
144W
48L
144
Won
48
Lost
192
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
Over 1.5 Top market
20W / 5L • 25 tips
80%
1 Top market
82W / 26L • 108 tips
75.9%
2 Top market
15W / 5L • 20 tips
75%
Over 2.5 Top market
23W / 8L • 31 tips
74.2%
1X Average
4W / 4L • 8 tips
50%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 76% 74% 73% 72% 76%
1X 72% 92% 71% 80% 86% 100% — 80%
2 88% 69% 81% 54% 69% 72% 83% 74%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 69% 81% 73% 82% 75% 100% — 79%
Over 2.5 71% 74% 68% 64% 73% 73% 83% 71%
X2 — — — — — — — 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
80%
recent
⬆
+11.6pp
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
➡
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 273 tips
Accuracy 77.3%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 211W / 62L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 75 tips
Accuracy 72%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 54W / 21L
3
2
Volume 60 tips
Accuracy 76.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 46W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 12L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 75%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 9L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
18 Aug 2026Gremio Prudente U20 vs RB Bragantino U20
Brazil Paulista U20		2✓ Won
18 Aug 2026Shelbourne W vs Wexford W
Ireland N'League Women		1✓ Won
18 Aug 2026Dinamo Zagreb vs Viking
Champions League Qualifier		Over 1.5✓ Won
18 Aug 2026CSKA Moscow vs Akron Togliatti
Russian Cup		1X✗ Lost
18 Aug 2026Nosaby vs IFK Trelleborg
Sweden Div 2 Sodra Gotaland		Over 2.5✓ Won
18 Aug 2026Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan
China Super League		Over 2.5✓ Won
18 Aug 2026Al Diriyah vs Al Nassr
Saudi King Cup		2✓ Won
18 Aug 2026Boreham Wood vs Leeds United U21
National League Cup		1✓ Won
17 Aug 2026Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Israel Toto Cup		Over 2.5✓ Won
17 Aug 2026Auda vs Grobina
Latvian Cup		1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77.5% • range ±2.4%
Steady
75.9%
0-30d
75.9%
30-60d
80.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 77.4% • range ±3%
Steady
75%
0-30d
76.2%
30-60d
81%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 70.7% • range ±7.9%
Variable
74.2%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 80.6% • range ±10.9%
Variable
80%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
91.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 71.4% • range ±17.9%
Volatile
50%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75%
30-day win rate
192 verified tips
73.2%
7-Day Rate
144
Tips Won
48
Tips Lost
192
Settled
Full Results →

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