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1st Apr 2025

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Fri 31 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Wil vs Xamax
Over 2.5 Swiss Challenge League 6:30 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
1 Croatia HNL 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City
1 Australia Victoria PL 2 11:30 am
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom
1 Norway Eliteserien 8:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
KTP vs SJK Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkosliiga 4:30 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
2 Australia NSW League One 11:00 am
20%
prob
Speculative
Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons
2 Australia NPL Victoria 10:30 am
20%
prob
Speculative
Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20
2 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Friday • site avg 73.8% • evidence-based
Wil vs Xamax
Over 2.5 Swiss Challenge League 6:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
1 Croatia HNL 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City
1 Australia Victoria PL 2 11:30 am
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom
1 Norway Eliteserien 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
KTP vs SJK Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkosliiga 4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77%). No significant deviation either way.
Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
2 Australia NSW League One 11:00 am
Marginal
Score: 55/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons
2 Australia NPL Victoria 10:30 am
Marginal
Score: 55/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20
2 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 55/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (76.5%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Wil vs Xamax Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.4% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 40 wins from 56 settled tips (71.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 73.8%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
KTP vs SJK Akatemia 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 181 wins from 235 settled tips (77%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (51 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 51 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (51 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 51 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 76.5% over the last 90 days (51 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
76.5% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 51 settled tips (76.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 73.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Ajax vs Vojvodina 1 @1.17
4-1 ✔
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau 1 @1.29
2-1 ✔
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo 1 @1.15
4-0 ✔
30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol 1 @1.37
1-0 ✔
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz Over 1.5 @1.19
0-2 ✔
30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Twente Over 1.5 @1.13
2-2 ✔
29 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr Over 1.5 @1.19
2-1 ✔
29 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Thor/KA W 1 @1.16
2-0 ✔
29 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Over 2.5 @1.42
3-1 ✔
29 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Bayern Leverkusen vs Genk Over 2.5 @1.42
4-0 ✔
29 Jul 2026 • Indonesia President Cup Persebaya vs PSMS Medan 1 @1.22
1-0 ✔
28 Jul 2026 • Lebanon Premier League Jwayya vs Al Ansar 2 @1.33
1-2 ✔
28 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Apollon vs Dila Gori 1 @1.35
3-0 ✔
27 Jul 2026 • Kazakhstan Women League Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W 1 @1.20
1-0 ✔
27 Jul 2026 • Romania Super Liga CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari 1X @1.16
5-0 ✔
27 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Valmiera vs Riga FC 2 Over 2.5 @1.34
3-0 ✔
27 Jul 2026 • Brasileiro Women Bahia W vs Botafogo W 1 @1.31
2-1 ✔
27 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets 2 @1.28
0-2 ✔
25 Jul 2026 • Russia Premier League Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow 1 @1.34
3-0 ✔
25 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense 2 Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC 1 @1.38
3-0 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 164 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
73.8%
Excellent
Won (121) 73.8%
Lost (43) 26.2%
121W
43L
121
Won
43
Lost
164
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
X2 Top market
2W / 0L • 2 tips
100%
Over 2.5 Top market
19W / 5L • 24 tips
79.2%
Over 1.5 Top market
18W / 5L • 23 tips
78.3%
2 Top market
11W / 4L • 15 tips
73.3%
1 Top market
65W / 24L • 89 tips
73%
1X Average
6W / 5L • 11 tips
54.5%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 67% 80% 85% 74% 71% 74% 74% 76%
1X 71% 100% 75% 78% 86% 100% — 82%
2 92% 70% 80% 58% 60% 71% 80% 73%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 78% 70% 73% 85% 75% 100% — 80%
Over 2.5 67% 70% 75% 68% 69% 75% 75% 71%
X2 — — — — — — — 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+4.2pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90.9%100%
90.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 83.3%100%
83.3%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.3%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-6.6pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 42.9%100%
0%
recent
⬇
-42.9pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 235 tips
Accuracy 77%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 181W / 54L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 71.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 40W / 16L
3
2
Volume 51 tips
Accuracy 76.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 12L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 44 tips
Accuracy 81.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 36W / 8L
5
1X
Volume 35 tips
Accuracy 80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
63.3%
Accuracy
19
Won
11
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
30 Jul 2026Panathinaikos vs Paks
Conference League Qualifier		1✗ Lost
30 Jul 2026Gyor vs Bissen
Conference League Qualifier		1✗ Lost
30 Jul 2026Ajax vs Vojvodina
Conference League Qualifier		1✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau
Conference League Qualifier		1✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo
Conference League Qualifier		1✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol
Europa League Qualifier		1✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz
Conference League Qualifier		Over 1.5✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Ferencvaros vs Twente
Europa League Qualifier		Over 1.5✓ Won
29 Jul 2026FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr
Conference League Qualifiers		Over 1.5✓ Won
29 Jul 2026Lech Poznan vs Aarhus
UCL Qualifiers		1X✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77.8% • range ±4.3%
Steady
73%
0-30d
78.8%
30-60d
81.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 68.4% • range ±8.4%
Variable
79.2%
0-30d
62.5%
30-60d
63.6%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

2 avg 72.9% • range ±10.1%
Variable
73.3%
0-30d
82.8%
30-60d
62.5%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 86.9% • range ±10.9%
Variable
78.3%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
100%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 81.1% • range ±22.8%
Volatile
54.5%
0-30d
88.9%
30-60d
100%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


73.8%
30-day win rate
164 verified tips
68.2%
7-Day Rate
121
Tips Won
43
Tips Lost
164
Settled
Full Results →

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