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27th May 2025

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 23 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Besiktas vs Midtjylland
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1 Conference League Qualifiers 8:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1 Conference League Qualifiers 7:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
FCSB vs Auda
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:45 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:30 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Bate vs Sion
2 Conference League Qualifiers 6:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 76.4% • evidence-based
Besiktas vs Midtjylland
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80%). No significant deviation either way.
Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (83.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1 Conference League Qualifiers 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1 Conference League Qualifiers 7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
FCSB vs Auda
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:45 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Bate vs Sion
2 Conference League Qualifiers 6:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Besiktas vs Midtjylland Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80% over the last 90 days (40 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 32 wins from 40 settled tips (80%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Twente vs Ferencvaros 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on 1X 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 36 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (234 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 234 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lugano vs Dukagjini 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (234 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 234 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FCSB vs Auda 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (234 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 234 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (234 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 234 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bate vs Sion 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (51 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 40 wins from 51 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.4%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

22 Jul 2026 • Australia NPL ACT Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles 1 @1.34
2-1 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Copa Do Brasil Women Botafogo W vs Bragantino W 2 @1.45
0-2 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U 1 @1.18
3-0 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Lillestrom vs Viking Over 1.5 @1.13
1-2 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Argentina Reserve League River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2 1 @1.37
4-0 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga 2 @1.33
0-1 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W 2 @1.32
1-0 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Goteborg vs Levadia Over 1.5 @1.19
1-2 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 @1.20
1-1 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan Over 2.5 @1.38
2-2 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch 1 @1.35
2-1 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu 1 @1.09
4-1 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps 1 @1.13
3-0 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta 2 @1.23
0-4 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch 2 @1.17
0-1 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord 1 @1.28
2-1 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor 1 @1.20
1-0 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup Uni X Labs vs Baranovici 2 @1.33
1-4 ✔
17 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse 1 @1.19
2-1 ✔
17 Jul 2026 • China Super League Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port Over 2.5 @1.35
2-2 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 165 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
76.4%
Excellent
Won (126) 76.4%
Lost (39) 23.6%
126W
39L
126
Won
39
Lost
165
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
X2 Top market
2W / 0L • 2 tips
100%
1X Top market
10W / 3L • 13 tips
76.9%
Over 2.5 Top market
20W / 6L • 26 tips
76.9%
1 Top market
62W / 19L • 81 tips
76.5%
2 Top market
16W / 5L • 21 tips
76.2%
Over 1.5 Top market
16W / 6L • 22 tips
72.7%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 85% 86% 75% 70% 74% 74% 77%
1X 69% 100% 82% 88% 86% 100% — 84%
2 92% 75% 80% 64% 60% 71% 80% 74%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 78% 70% 70% 88% 67% 100% — 79%
Over 2.5 69% 70% 72% 68% 67% 75% 75% 70%
X2 — — — — — — — 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 77.8%100%
85.7%
recent
⬆
+7.9pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 234 tips
Accuracy 79.1%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 185W / 49L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 68.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 18L
3
2
Volume 51 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 40W / 11L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 40 tips
Accuracy 80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 32W / 8L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 6L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
85.7%
Accuracy
24
Won
4
Lost
2
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
22 Jul 2026Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
Australia NPL ACT		1✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
Copa Do Brasil Women		2✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
Ecuador Liga Pro		1✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Lillestrom vs Viking
Norway Eliteserien		Over 1.5✓ Won
22 Jul 2026River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
Argentina Reserve League		1✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
Conference League Qualifier		1✗ Lost
22 Jul 2026Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
Conference League Qualifier		2✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
Argentina Primera Women		2✓ Won
21 Jul 2026Goteborg vs Levadia
Conference League Qualifier		Over 1.5✓ Won
21 Jul 2026Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
UCL Qualifiers		Over 1.5✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 79% • range ±2.3%
Steady
76.5%
0-30d
79.3%
30-60d
81.1%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.3% • range ±2.4%
Steady
76.2%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
77.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 84.2% • range ±5.6%
Steady
76.9%
0-30d
88.2%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 80.2% • range ±5.9%
Steady
72.7%
0-30d
84.6%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 68.1% • range ±6.9%
Variable
76.9%
0-30d
63.2%
30-60d
64.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


76.4%
30-day win rate
165 verified tips
88.9%
7-Day Rate
126
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
165
Settled
Full Results →

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