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18th Jul 2025

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No tips available for this date


Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 16 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Vestri vs Qarabag
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 9:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier 6:30 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Levadia vs Caernarfon
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:30 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
RFS vs Glentoran
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Afturelding vs Leiknir
1 Iceland Division 1 8:15 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
1 Europa League Qualifier 7:15 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 74.7% • evidence-based
Vestri vs Qarabag
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 9:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (64.9%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifier 6:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (77.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Levadia vs Caernarfon
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
RFS vs Glentoran
1 Conference League Qualifier 5:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Afturelding vs Leiknir
1 Iceland Division 1 8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
1 Europa League Qualifier 7:15 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Vestri vs Qarabag Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 64.9% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
64.9% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 37 wins from 57 settled tips (64.9%). This is below our site-wide average of 74.7%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 77.8% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.8% on Over 1.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 28 wins from 36 settled tips (77.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levadia vs Caernarfon 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (243 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 191 wins from 243 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (243 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 191 wins from 243 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
RFS vs Glentoran 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (243 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 191 wins from 243 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zalgiris vs Petrovac 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (243 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 191 wins from 243 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Afturelding vs Leiknir 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (243 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 191 wins from 243 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (243 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 191 wins from 243 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Patro Eisden vs St Truiden Over 2.5 @1.33
0-4 ✔
15 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W 1 @1.18
4-1 ✔
15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Lyon vs Servette Over 2.5 @1.49
2-1 ✔
15 Jul 2026 • Australia NPL Northern NSW Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears Over 2.5 @1.43
0-5 ✔
15 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense U20 Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20 1 @1.39
1-0 ✔
15 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense 2 Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus 1 @1.23
1-0 ✔
13 Jul 2026 • China League One Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi 1X @1.16
1-0 ✔
13 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W 1 @1.35
1-0 ✔
13 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense U20 Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20 1 @1.28
3-1 ✔
13 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Breidablik vs Keflavik 1X @1.17
2-1 ✔
13 Jul 2026 • Paraguay Division Intermedia Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary Over 1.5 @1.32
1-3 ✔
13 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W 1X @1.17
2-1 ✔
11 Jul 2026 • Chile Primera Division Women Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W 1 @1.17
3-2 ✔
11 Jul 2026 • Finland Veikkausliiga Gnistan vs Mariehamn 1 @1.36
4-2 ✔
11 Jul 2026 • 2026 World Cup Norway vs England Over 1.5 @1.20
1-2 ✔
11 Jul 2026 • Lithuania Toplyga Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys 1 @1.33
3-0 ✔
11 Jul 2026 • China League One Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu 1 @1.33
2-0 ✔
10 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera B Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos 1 @1.44
3-1 ✔
10 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Belgium 1X @1.17
2-1 ✔
10 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Women Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W 2 @1.35
0-1 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 166 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
74.7%
Excellent
Won (124) 74.7%
Lost (42) 25.3%
124W
42L
124
Won
42
Lost
166
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
1X Top market
11W / 3L • 14 tips
78.6%
2 Top market
17W / 5L • 22 tips
77.3%
1 Top market
63W / 20L • 83 tips
75.9%
Over 2.5 Top market
17W / 7L • 24 tips
70.8%
Over 1.5 Top market
14W / 6L • 20 tips
70%
X2 Solid
2W / 1L • 3 tips
66.7%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 84% 87% 72% 71% 74% 74% 76%
1X 69% 100% 82% 88% 83% 100% — 84%
2 92% 75% 75% 64% 60% 67% 80% 72%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 78% 63% 67% 88% 67% 100% — 78%
Over 2.5 69% 68% 72% 67% 60% 75% 75% 69%
X2 — — — — — — — 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+10pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Finland Veikkausliiga
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 78.9%100%
78.9%
recent
➡
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 243 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 191W / 52L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 64.9%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 37W / 20L
3
2
Volume 54 tips
Accuracy 77.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 42W / 12L
4
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 83.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 6L
5
Over 1.5
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 77.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
15 Jul 2026Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Club Friendly		Over 2.5✓ Won
15 Jul 2026Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
Iceland Besta deild Women		1✓ Won
15 Jul 2026Lyon vs Servette
Club Friendly		Over 2.5✓ Won
15 Jul 2026Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
UCL Qualifiers		Over 1.5✗ Lost
15 Jul 2026Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Australia NPL Northern NSW		Over 2.5✓ Won
15 Jul 2026Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
Brazil Catarinense U20		1✓ Won
15 Jul 2026Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
Brazil Catarinense 2		1✓ Won
13 Jul 2026Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi
China League One		1X✓ Won
13 Jul 2026Honka vs HJS
Finland Kakkonen B		1✗ Lost
13 Jul 2026San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W
Argentina Primera Women		1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 78.4% • range ±2.4%
Steady
77.3%
0-30d
76.5%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 78.8% • range ±3.4%
Steady
75.9%
0-30d
82.7%
30-60d
77.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 84.2% • range ±4.8%
Steady
78.6%
0-30d
88.2%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 62.6% • range ±6.8%
Variable
70.8%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
57.1%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.7% • range ±11.6%
Variable
70%
0-30d
93.3%
30-60d
—
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
66.7%
0-30d
33.3%
30-60d
—
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


74.7%
30-day win rate
166 verified tips
71.4%
7-Day Rate
124
Tips Won
42
Tips Lost
166
Settled
Full Results →

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