Intelligent Soccer Predictions

Intelligent Soccer Predictions



Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 12 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
PSG vs Aston Villa
Over 1.5 UEFA Super Cup 8:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Arsenal vs Como
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 7:30 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Gotten vs IFK Ostersund
Over 2.5 Sweden Div 2 Norrland 6:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Dep A Coruna vs Real Madrid
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 8:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women 8:15 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Gnistan W vs HJK W
2 Finland Kansallilen Women 5:00 pm
20%
prob
Speculative
FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen
Over 2.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
1%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 77.9% • evidence-based
PSG vs Aston Villa
Over 1.5 UEFA Super Cup 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.4%). No significant deviation either way.
GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.4%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (70%). Factor this into your assessment.
Arsenal vs Como
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Gotten vs IFK Ostersund
Over 2.5 Sweden Div 2 Norrland 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Dep A Coruna vs Real Madrid
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.3%). No significant deviation either way.
Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W
1 Iceland Besta deild Women 8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.3%). No significant deviation either way. Iceland Besta deild Women is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Gnistan W vs HJK W
2 Finland Kansallilen Women 5:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.9%). No significant deviation either way.
FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen
Over 2.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 54/100
A stated probability of 1% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (72.3%). No significant deviation either way. Champions League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
PSG vs Aston Villa Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.4% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 45 wins from 56 settled tips (80.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.4% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 70% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
80.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability 70% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 45 wins from 56 settled tips (80.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Arsenal vs Como Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.3% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.3% on Over 2.5 80% probability 80% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 65 settled tips (72.3%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.9%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Gotten vs IFK Ostersund Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.3% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
72.3% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 65 settled tips (72.3%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.9%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dep A Coruna vs Real Madrid Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.3% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.3% on Over 2.5 80% probability 80% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 65 settled tips (72.3%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.9%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.3% over the last 90 days (267 tips graded). In Iceland Besta deild Women, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.3% on 1 50% probability 100% in Iceland Besta deild Women
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 267 settled tips (78.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Gnistan W vs HJK W 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.9% over the last 90 days (58 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
75.9% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 44 wins from 58 settled tips (75.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FC Copenhagen vs Debrecen Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 1% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 72.3% over the last 90 days (65 tips graded). In Champions League Qualifier, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
72.3% on Over 2.5 1% probability 100% in Champions League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 47 wins from 65 settled tips (72.3%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.9%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

11 Aug 2026 • Copa Sudamericana Boca Juniors vs Recoleta 1 @1.28
3-1
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 @1.17
1-2
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union Over 2.5 @1.44
3-2
11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Yarmouk vs Burgan Over 1.5 @1.27
3-1
11 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia 1 @1.31
2-1
11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty 1 @1.12
3-0
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sabah Baku vs Aarhus Over 1.5 @1.20
4-0
10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong PSV vs FC Volendam Over 2.5 @1.53
3-2
10 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Alashkert vs BKMA 1 @1.25
3-0
10 Aug 2026 • Norway Div 3 G1 Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 1 @1.24
5-1
10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong AZ vs Eindhoven Over 2.5 @1.39
3-2
10 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands Premier League NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag 1 @1.38
4-0
10 Aug 2026 • Latvia Virsliga RFS vs Grobina Over 2.5 @1.34
6-1
08 Aug 2026 • Lithuania TOPLYGA Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann 1 @1.25
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa 2 @1.42
0-1
08 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Peamount W 1 @1.30
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Independiente 1 @1.16
1-2
08 Aug 2026 • Kansallinen Liiga Women Aland Utd W vs Ilves W 1 @1.36
3-0
08 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum 1 @1.18
5-0
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Salzburg vs Pafos 1X @1.15
1-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 172 settled tips
77.9%
Excellent
Won (134) 77.9%
Lost (38) 22.1%
134W
38L
134
Won
38
Lost
172
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 2.5 Top market
18W / 4L • 22 tips
81.8%
Over 1.5 Top market
19W / 5L • 24 tips
79.2%
1 Top market
77W / 22L • 99 tips
77.8%
2 Top market
13W / 4L • 17 tips
76.5%
1X Top market
7W / 3L • 10 tips
70%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 75% 73% 74% 74% 77%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 80% 58% 67% 72% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 75% 80% 69% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 72% 72% 71% 65% 71% 70% 75% 71%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 71.4%100%
71.4%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 72.2%100%
60%
recent
-12.2pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 88.9%100%
75%
recent
-13.9pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 267 tips
Accuracy 78.3%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 209W / 58L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 65 tips
Accuracy 72.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 47W / 18L
3
2
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 80.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 11L
5
1X
Volume 38 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
11 Aug 2026Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
Brazil Paulista U20
1✗ Lost
11 Aug 2026Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
Copa Sudamericana
1✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Champions League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union
Champions League Qualifier
Over 2.5✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Yarmouk vs Burgan
Kuwait Division 1
Over 1.5✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
1✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
Kuwait Division 1
1✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Champions League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
10 Aug 2026Jong PSV vs FC Volendam
Eerste Divisie
Over 2.5✓ Won
10 Aug 2026Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
Russia Premier League
Over 1.5✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 75% • range ±2.3%
Steady
76.5%
0-30d
72%
30-60d
76.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 78.1% • range ±3%
Steady
77.8%
0-30d
75.3%
30-60d
81.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 72.2% • range ±7.5%
Variable
81.8%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
68.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 78.9% • range ±9.1%
Variable
70%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.9% • range ±9.6%
Variable
79.2%
0-30d
73.7%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


77.9%
30-day win rate
172 verified tips
75%
7-Day Rate
134
Tips Won
38
Tips Lost
172
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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