Intelligent Soccer Predictions

Intelligent Soccer Predictions



Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 4 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Bournemouth vs Genoa
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Independiente vs Aurora
Over 1.5 Bolivia Division Profesional 11:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris
1 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport
1 Luxembourg BGL Ligue 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
FarDU vs TerDU
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 1:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W
2 Ireland N'League Women 7:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 74.7% • evidence-based
Sparta Prague vs Lyon
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (81.8% vs 74.7%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Bournemouth vs Genoa
Over 2.5 Club Friendly 1:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.2%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (91.7%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Independiente vs Aurora
Over 1.5 Bolivia Division Profesional 11:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (81.8% vs 74.7%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris
1 Champions League Qualifier 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.6%). No significant deviation either way.
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport
1 Luxembourg BGL Ligue 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.6%). No significant deviation either way.
FarDU vs TerDU
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 1:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II
1 Uzbekistan Pro Liga 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W
2 Ireland N'League Women 7:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Sparta Prague vs Lyon Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 81.8% over the last 90 days (44 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
81.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 36 wins from 44 settled tips (81.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bournemouth vs Genoa Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.2% over the last 90 days (59 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 91.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.2% on Over 2.5 80% probability 91.7% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 59 settled tips (71.2%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 74.7%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Independiente vs Aurora Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 81.8% over the last 90 days (44 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
81.8% on Over 1.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 36 wins from 44 settled tips (81.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.6% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 190 wins from 245 settled tips (77.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.6% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 190 wins from 245 settled tips (77.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FarDU vs TerDU 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.6% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 190 wins from 245 settled tips (77.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.6% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 190 wins from 245 settled tips (77.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (53 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 41 wins from 53 settled tips (77.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

01 Aug 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. 1 @1.41
5-0
01 Aug 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Leevon PPK vs Rezekne 1 @1.17
2-1
01 Aug 2026 • Swiss Super League Thun vs Young Boys Over 2.5 @1.34
0-6
01 Aug 2026 • Brasileiro Women Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W 1 @1.21
4-0
01 Aug 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Valmiera vs RFS 2 1 @1.18
2-1
01 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia 1 @1.19
3-0
31 Jul 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20 2 @1.28
1-2
31 Jul 2026 • Croatia HNL Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo 1 @1.27
2-0
31 Jul 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga KTP vs SJK Akatemia 1 @1.23
2-1
31 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL 2 Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City 1 @1.31
3-2
31 Jul 2026 • Swiss Challenge League Wil vs Xamax Over 2.5 @1.45
1-2
31 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom 1 @1.25
4-0
31 Jul 2026 • Australia NSW League One Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans 2 @1.40
1-2
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Ajax vs Vojvodina 1 @1.17
4-1
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau 1 @1.29
2-1
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo 1 @1.15
4-0
30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol 1 @1.37
1-0
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz Over 1.5 @1.19
0-2
30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Twente Over 1.5 @1.13
2-2
29 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr Over 1.5 @1.19
2-1

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 158 settled tips
74.7%
Excellent
Won (118) 74.7%
Lost (40) 25.3%
118W
40L
118
Won
40
Lost
158
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
2 Top market
13W / 2L • 15 tips
86.7%
Over 2.5 Top market
18W / 5L • 23 tips
78.3%
1 Top market
66W / 23L • 89 tips
74.2%
Over 1.5 Top market
14W / 5L • 19 tips
73.7%
1X Average
6W / 5L • 11 tips
54.5%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 67% 80% 85% 74% 73% 74% 74% 76%
1X 71% 100% 75% 78% 86% 100% 82%
2 92% 70% 80% 58% 67% 71% 80% 74%
BTTS
Over 1.5 78% 70% 73% 85% 75% 100% 80%
Over 2.5 67% 70% 75% 68% 71% 70% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
66.7%
recent
+4.2pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.3%100%
66.7%
recent
-6.6pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 42.9%100%
0%
recent
-42.9pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 245 tips
Accuracy 77.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 190W / 55L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 59 tips
Accuracy 71.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 42W / 17L
3
2
Volume 53 tips
Accuracy 77.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 41W / 12L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 44 tips
Accuracy 81.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 36W / 8L
5
1X
Volume 35 tips
Accuracy 80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
80%
Accuracy
24
Won
6
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
1 Aug 2026U. Catolica vs Tecnico U.
Ecuador Liga Pro
1✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo
Argentina Primera B
1✗ Lost
1 Aug 2026Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
Latvia Nakotnes Liga
1✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Thun vs Young Boys
Swiss Super League
Over 2.5✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
Brasileiro Women
1✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Valmiera vs RFS 2
Latvia Nakotnes Liga
1✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
Bulgaria EFBET League
1✓ Won
1 Aug 2026Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy
Swiss Challenge League
Over 2.5✗ Lost
31 Jul 2026Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20
Brazil Paulista U20
2✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77.4% • range ±2.5%
Steady
74.2%
0-30d
79.2%
30-60d
78.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.3% • range ±6.8%
Variable
86.7%
0-30d
73.1%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 69.8% • range ±8.6%
Variable
78.3%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.5% • range ±9.3%
Variable
73.7%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
92.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

1X avg 79.7% • range ±22.8%
Volatile
54.5%
0-30d
84.6%
30-60d
100%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


74.7%
30-day win rate
158 verified tips
70.3%
7-Day Rate
118
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
158
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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