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One Million Predictions

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25th Jul 2026

« Prev Day
6:45 pm Russia Premier League
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
VS
 1 1.34 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Brazil Catarinense 2
Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
VS
 1 1.38 Stats Analysis
4:30 pm Sweden Allsvenskan
Kalmar vs Mjallby
VS
 Over 1.5 1.28 Stats Analysis
3:00 pm Lithuania I Lyga
Neptunas vs Siauliai 2
VS
 1 1.22 Stats Analysis
12:00 pm China League Two
Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu
VS
 1 1.40 Stats Analysis
3:00 pm Latvia Nakotnes Liga
Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
VS
 1 1.36 Stats Analysis
1:00 pm Norway Div 2 G2
Levanger vs Ull/Kisa
VS
 1 1.21 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 25 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Kalmar vs Mjallby
Over 1.5 Sweden Allsvenskan 4:30 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1 Brazil Catarinense 2 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 3:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
1 Russia Premier League 6:45 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Neptunas vs Siauliai 2
1 Lithuania I Lyga 3:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Levanger vs Ull/Kisa
1 Norway Div 2 G2 1:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu
1 China League Two 12:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 75% • evidence-based
Kalmar vs Mjallby
Over 1.5 Sweden Allsvenskan 4:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way.
Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1 Brazil Catarinense 2 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
1 Russia Premier League 6:45 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Neptunas vs Siauliai 2
1 Lithuania I Lyga 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Levanger vs Ull/Kisa
1 Norway Div 2 G2 1:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu
1 China League Two 12:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Kalmar vs Mjallby Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (41 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 32 wins from 41 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Neptunas vs Siauliai 2 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levanger vs Ull/Kisa 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes 1 @1.30
4-0 ✔
23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Lugano vs Dukagjini 1 @1.20
1-0 ✔
23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Partizan vs UNA Strassen 1 @1.18
4-0 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Australia NPL ACT Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles 1 @1.34
2-1 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Copa Do Brasil Women Botafogo W vs Bragantino W 2 @1.45
0-2 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U 1 @1.18
3-0 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Lillestrom vs Viking Over 1.5 @1.13
1-2 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Argentina Reserve League River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2 1 @1.37
4-0 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga 2 @1.33
0-1 ✔
22 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W 2 @1.32
1-0 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Goteborg vs Levadia Over 1.5 @1.19
1-2 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 @1.20
1-1 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan Over 2.5 @1.38
2-2 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch 1 @1.35
2-1 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu 1 @1.09
4-1 ✔
21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps 1 @1.13
3-0 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta 2 @1.23
0-4 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch 2 @1.17
0-1 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord 1 @1.28
2-1 ✔
18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor 1 @1.20
1-0 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 156 settled tips
7 days30 days90 days
75%
Excellent
Won (117) 75%
Lost (39) 25%
117W
39L
117
Won
39
Lost
156
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
7d30d90dAll
X2 Top market
2W / 0L • 2 tips
100%
1 Top market
61W / 19L • 80 tips
76.3%
2 Top market
15W / 5L • 20 tips
75%
Over 2.5 Top market
18W / 6L • 24 tips
75%
Over 1.5 Top market
14W / 5L • 19 tips
73.7%
1X Solid
7W / 4L • 11 tips
63.6%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 85% 86% 75% 70% 74% 74% 77%
1X 69% 100% 82% 78% 86% 100% — 83%
2 92% 75% 80% 58% 60% 71% 80% 73%
BTTS — — — — — — — —
Over 1.5 78% 70% 70% 83% 67% 100% — 78%
Over 2.5 69% 70% 72% 68% 67% 75% 75% 70%
X2 — — — — — — — 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 81.8%100%
81.8%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 77.8%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-11.1pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 233 tips
Accuracy 78.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 183W / 50L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 68.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 18L
3
2
Volume 49 tips
Accuracy 77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 38W / 11L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 41 tips
Accuracy 78%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 32W / 9L
5
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 81.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
78.6%
Accuracy
22
Won
6
Lost
2
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
23 Jul 2026Twente vs Ferencvaros
Europa League Qualifiers		1X✗ Lost
23 Jul 2026Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
Conference League Qualifiers		1✓ Won
23 Jul 2026FCSB vs Auda
Conference League Qualifiers		1✗ Lost
23 Jul 2026Bate vs Sion
Conference League Qualifiers		2✗ Lost
23 Jul 2026Besiktas vs Midtjylland
Europa League Qualifiers		Over 1.5✗ Lost
23 Jul 2026Lugano vs Dukagjini
Conference League Qualifiers		1✓ Won
23 Jul 2026Partizan vs UNA Strassen
Conference League Qualifiers		1✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
Australia NPL ACT		1✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
Copa Do Brasil Women		2✓ Won
22 Jul 2026Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
Ecuador Liga Pro		1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78.4% • range ±1.7%
Steady
76.3%
0-30d
79.3%
30-60d
79.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 77.5% • range ±4.6%
Steady
75%
0-30d
74.1%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 79.4% • range ±4.8%
Steady
73.7%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 66.4% • range ±7.5%
Variable
75%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
64.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 80% • range ±12.7%
Volatile
63.6%
0-30d
88.9%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75%
30-day win rate
156 verified tips
77.8%
7-Day Rate
117
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
156
Settled
Full Results →

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Expertise and Technology Combined

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