One Million Prediction

One Million Predictions



Today's Tips Ranked
Sun 18 Oct 2026 • by win probability
Solid Pick
NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
Faroe Islands Premier League 3:00 pm
62%
prob
Solid Pick
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
England Women's Super League 12:00 pm
58%
prob
Solid Pick
Manchester City W vs Brighton W
England Women's Super League 2:30 pm
58%
prob
Solid Pick
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes
Norway OBOS-ligaen 4:00 pm
58%
prob
Solid Pick
Al Muharraq vs Malkia
Bahrain Premier League 5:00 pm
52%
prob
Solid Pick
Real Madrid vs Sevilla
La Liga 8:00 pm
52%
prob
Solid Pick
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast
China Super League 12:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
18%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Sunday • site avg 79.8% • evidence-based
NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
Faroe Islands Premier League 3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
At 62%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal.
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
England Women's Super League 12:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 58%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal.
Manchester City W vs Brighton W
England Women's Super League 2:30 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 58%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal.
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes
Norway OBOS-ligaen 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 58%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal.
Al Muharraq vs Malkia
Bahrain Premier League 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla
La Liga 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. La Liga is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast
China Super League 12:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 18% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
Our model assigns a win probability of 62% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 62%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
Our model assigns a win probability of 58% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 58%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Manchester City W vs Brighton W
Our model assigns a win probability of 58% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 58%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Kongsvinger vs Sandnes
Our model assigns a win probability of 58% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 58%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Muharraq vs Malkia
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 52%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Real Madrid vs Sevilla
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. In La Liga, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 52%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 50%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb
Our model assigns a win probability of 18% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 18%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

18 Oct 2026 • Bahrain Premier League Al Muharraq vs Malkia 1 @1.39
3-0 ✔
18 Oct 2026 • Faroe Islands Premier League NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur 1 @1.17
1-0 ✔
18 Oct 2026 • La Liga Real Madrid vs Sevilla 1 @1.28
4-1 ✔
18 Oct 2026 • England Women's Super League Manchester City W vs Brighton W 1 @1.36
3-2 ✔
18 Oct 2026 • China Super League Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast 1 @1.38
1-0 ✔
18 Oct 2026 • Norway OBOS-ligaen Kongsvinger vs Sandnes 1 @1.37
4-0 ✔
18 Oct 2026 • Croatia HNL Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb 2 @1.30
1-5 ✔
18 Oct 2026 • England Women's Super League Chelsea W vs Tottenham W 1 @1.26
6-2 ✔
15 Oct 2026 • UEFA Conference League Freiburg vs Jablonec Over 2.5 @1.41
3-2 ✔
15 Oct 2026 • Europa League Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz Over 2.5 @1.44
3-0 ✔
15 Oct 2026 • Estonia Esiliiga B Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev 1 @1.39
2-0 ✔
15 Oct 2026 • Europa League Benfica vs Celtic Over 2.5 @1.27
4-1 ✔
15 Oct 2026 • UEFA Conference League Twente vs Thun 1 @1.28
1-0 ✔
15 Oct 2026 • UEFA Conference League Atalanta vs Pafos 1 @1.27
3-1 ✔
15 Oct 2026 • Belarus Vysshaya Liga Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr 1 @1.50
3-1 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Armenia Premier League Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA 1 @1.21
5-0 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Chile Liga de Primera U. De Chile vs Nublense 1 @1.45
6-0 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Italian Serie A Atalanta vs Venezia 1X @1.16
3-1 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Canadian Premier League Forge vs Inter Toronto 1 @1.25
5-0 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Brazil Serie B Criciuma vs America MG 1 @1.25
1-0 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 119 settled tips
79.8%
Excellent
Won (95) 79.8%
Lost (24) 20.2%
95W
24L
95
Won
24
Lost
119
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 85% 78% 86% 78% 77% 74% 74% 78%
1X 75% 91% 70% 75% 75% — — 79%
2 80% 80% 93% 58% 90% 71% 83% 78%
Over 1.5 69% 87% 80% 71% 75% 100% — 78%
Over 2.5 75% 72% 61% 63% 75% 80% — 70%
X2 — — — — — — — 50%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Euro U21 Qualifier
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
UEFA Nations League
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 146 tips
Accuracy 77.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 113W / 33L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 35 tips
Accuracy 77.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 8L
3
Over 1.5
Volume 28 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 22W / 6L
4
2
Volume 27 tips
Accuracy 77.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 21W / 6L
5
1X
Volume 10 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 6W / 4L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
86.7%
Accuracy
26
Won
4
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
18 Oct 2026Al Muharraq vs Malkia
Bahrain Premier League
—✓ Won
18 Oct 2026NSI Runavik vs 07 Vestur Sorvagur
Faroe Islands Premier League
—✓ Won
18 Oct 2026Real Madrid vs Sevilla
La Liga
—✓ Won
18 Oct 2026Manchester City W vs Brighton W
England Women's Super League
—✓ Won
18 Oct 2026Beijing Guoan vs Qingdao West Coast
China Super League
—✓ Won
18 Oct 2026Kongsvinger vs Sandnes
Norway OBOS-ligaen
—✓ Won
18 Oct 2026Slaven Belupo vs Dinamo Zagreb
Croatia HNL
—✓ Won
18 Oct 2026Chelsea W vs Tottenham W
England Women's Super League
—✓ Won
15 Oct 2026Freiburg vs Jablonec
UEFA Conference League
—✓ Won
15 Oct 2026Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
Europa League
—✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 79.3% • range ±2.3%
Steady
—
0-30d
81.6%
30-60d
77%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 80.4% • range ±5.4%
Steady
—
0-30d
85.7%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 73.8% • range ±7%
Variable
—
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
80.8%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 87.5% • range ±12.5%
Variable
—
0-30d
100%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


79.8%
30-day win rate
119 verified tips
81.3%
7-Day Rate
95
Tips Won
24
Tips Lost
119
Settled
Full Results →



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