One Million Prediction

One Million Predictions



Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 15 Oct 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
Europa League 8:00 pm
81%
prob
High Conf.
Freiburg vs Jablonec
UEFA Conference League 8:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Benfica vs Celtic
Europa League 8:00 pm
77%
prob
Solid Pick
Twente vs Thun
UEFA Conference League 8:00 pm
58%
prob
Solid Pick
Atalanta vs Pafos
UEFA Conference League 8:00 pm
53%
prob
Solid Pick
Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
Belarus Vysshaya Liga 4:30 pm
53%
prob
Solid Pick
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga B 5:00 pm
52%
prob
Speculative
Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom
Europa League 5:45 pm
49%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 78.8% • evidence-based
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
Europa League 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 81% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well.
Freiburg vs Jablonec
UEFA Conference League 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well.
Benfica vs Celtic
Europa League 8:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 77% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well.
Twente vs Thun
UEFA Conference League 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 58%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal.
Atalanta vs Pafos
UEFA Conference League 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 53% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
Belarus Vysshaya Liga 4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 53% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev
Estonia Esiliiga B 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom
Europa League 5:45 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 49% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
Our model assigns a win probability of 81% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 81%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Freiburg vs Jablonec
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 80%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Benfica vs Celtic
Our model assigns a win probability of 77% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 77%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Twente vs Thun
Our model assigns a win probability of 58% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 58%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Atalanta vs Pafos
Our model assigns a win probability of 53% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 53%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dinamo Minsk vs Slavia Mozyr
Our model assigns a win probability of 53% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 53%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Narva U21 vs Tartu Kalev
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 52%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sparta Prague vs Lillestrom
Our model assigns a win probability of 49% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 49%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

12 Oct 2026 • Armenia Premier League Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA 1 @1.21
5-0 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Chile Liga de Primera U. De Chile vs Nublense 1 @1.45
6-0 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Italian Serie A Atalanta vs Venezia 1X @1.16
3-1 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Canadian Premier League Forge vs Inter Toronto 1 @1.25
5-0 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Brazil Serie B Criciuma vs America MG 1 @1.25
1-0 ✔
12 Oct 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Ludogorets vs Arda 1 @1.41
5-0 ✔
11 Oct 2026 • Andorra Primera Divisió FC Santa Coloma vs Casa de Portugal 1 @1.31
5-0 ✔
11 Oct 2026 • China League One Shaanxi Union vs Foshan Nanshi 1 @1.34
5-1 ✔
11 Oct 2026 • German Bundesliga Koln vs Borussia Monchengladbach Over 2.5 @1.49
2-1 ✔
11 Oct 2026 • Estonia Meistriliiga Levadia vs Paide 1 @1.46
1-0 ✔
11 Oct 2026 • Faroe Islands Premier League Skala Itrottarfelag vs NSI Runavik Over 2.5 @1.51
1-2 ✔
10 Oct 2026 • Liga Portugal Maritimo vs FC Porto 2 @1.28
1-2 ✔
10 Oct 2026 • English Premier League Arsenal vs Leeds 1 @1.57
2-1 ✔
10 Oct 2026 • La Liga Real Madrid vs Villarreal 1 @1.48
1-0 ✔
10 Oct 2026 • NIFL Premiership Linfield vs Bangor 1 @1.26
2-0 ✔
10 Oct 2026 • Iraq Stars League Al Karma vs Al Karkh 1 @1.41
3-2 ✔
10 Oct 2026 • Italian Serie A Inter Milan vs Parma 1 @1.18
3-0 ✔
10 Oct 2026 • Kazakhstan Premier League Kairat Almaty vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan 1 @1.25
1-0 ✔
07 Oct 2026 • Argentina Reserve League Estudiantes Rio Cuarto 2 vs Platense 2 1X @1.18
2-2 ✔
07 Oct 2026 • Algeria Ligue 1 CR Belouizdad vs Khenchela 1 @1.33
1-0 ✔

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 118 settled tips
78.8%
Excellent
Won (93) 78.8%
Lost (25) 21.2%
93W
25L
93
Won
25
Lost
118
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware


Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 84% 78% 86% 78% 77% 73% 74% 78%
1X 75% 91% 70% 75% 75% — — 79%
2 83% 80% 93% 58% 90% 72% 83% 79%
Over 1.5 69% 87% 80% 71% 75% 100% — 78%
Over 2.5 75% 72% 61% 63% 75% 80% — 70%
X2 — — — — — — — 50%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Euro U21 Qualifier
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
UEFA Nations League
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 154 tips
Accuracy 76.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 118W / 36L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
3
2
Volume 30 tips
Accuracy 80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 24W / 6L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 28 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 22W / 6L
5
1X
Volume 11 tips
Accuracy 63.6%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 7W / 4L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
12 Oct 2026Coventry vs Newcastle
English Premier League
—✗ Lost
12 Oct 2026Pyunik Yerevan vs BKMA
Armenia Premier League
—✓ Won
12 Oct 2026PAOK vs Kalamata
Greece Super League
—✗ Lost
12 Oct 2026U. De Chile vs Nublense
Chile Liga de Primera
—✓ Won
12 Oct 2026Atalanta vs Venezia
Italian Serie A
—✓ Won
12 Oct 2026Forge vs Inter Toronto
Canadian Premier League
—✓ Won
12 Oct 2026Criciuma vs America MG
Brazil Serie B
—✓ Won
12 Oct 2026Ludogorets vs Arda
Bulgaria EFBET League
—✓ Won
11 Oct 2026FC Santa Coloma vs Casa de Portugal
Andorra Primera Divisió
—✓ Won
11 Oct 2026Shaanxi Union vs Foshan Nanshi
China League One
—✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77% • range ±2.2%
Steady
—
0-30d
79.2%
30-60d
74.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 83.1% • range ±6.9%
Variable
—
0-30d
90%
30-60d
76.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 83% • range ±8%
Variable
—
0-30d
90.9%
30-60d
75%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 66.1% • range ±9%
Variable
—
0-30d
75%
30-60d
57.1%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 71.3% • range ±11.3%
Variable
—
0-30d
60%
30-60d
82.6%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


78.8%
30-day win rate
118 verified tips
78.3%
7-Day Rate
93
Tips Won
25
Tips Lost
118
Settled
Full Results →



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