Premier League // Monday, 18th May 2026
ARS
Arsenal
W W W D W
1-0
BUR
Burnley
D L L L L
Data-Backed Primary Pick
1
Prediction: Arsenal to win
Result: WON
1.12
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
Low Value (-EV)
Implied: 89% | Model: 57%
🔥 Goal Volatility
Moderate (Balanced)
Avg 2.45 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Hot Streak
Arsenal has won 3 in a row
Supporting BetsExtras
Arsenal Clean Sheet60%
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes34%
Home Win & BTTS No34%
Draw & BTTS Yes17%
Draw & BTTS No17%
Away Win & BTTS Yes0%
Away Win & BTTS No0%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.530%
Home Win & Under 2.537%
Draw & Over 2.515%
Draw & Under 2.518%
Away Win & Over 2.50%
Away Win & Under 2.50%
Head to HeadRecord
6
Arsenal
3
Draws
1
Burnley
Supports Pick Arsenal won 6 of the last 10 meetings (3 draws).
Key Stats DuelComparison
ARS
Metric
BUR
1.1
Goals For
0.9
0.7
Goals Against
2.2
60%
Clean Sheets
10%
5-2-3
W — D — L
0-3-7
Win Rate Comparison
50%
0%
Team RatingsGrades
Arsenal
Overall
5.6
Scoring
3.7
Defence
7.7
Burnley
Overall
0.9
Scoring
3.0
Defence
2.7
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
01.11.25PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
2
17.02.24PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
5
11.11.23PL
Arsenal
3
Burnley
1
23.01.22PL
Arsenal
0
Burnley
0
18.09.21PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
1
06.03.21PL
Burnley
1
Arsenal
1
13.12.20PL
Arsenal
0
Burnley
1
02.02.20PL
Burnley
0
Arsenal
0
17.08.19PL
Arsenal
2
Burnley
1
12.05.19PL
Burnley
1
Arsenal
3
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Burnley
10.05.26PL
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2
Aston Villa
2
D
01.05.26PL
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3
Burnley
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22.04.26PL
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L
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4
Burnley
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L
11.04.26PL
Burnley
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Brighton
2
L
21.03.26PL
Fulham
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Burnley
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L
14.03.26PL
Burnley
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Bournemouth
0
D
03.03.26PL
Everton
2
Burnley
0
L
28.02.26PL
Burnley
3
Brentford
4
L
21.02.26PL
Chelsea
1
Burnley
1
D
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Monday, 18th May 2026, Arsenal host Burnley in Premier League. We recommend Arsenal to win as the standout selection.

Arsenal arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Burnley are struggling away from home, with a record of 0W 3D 7L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Arsenal, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Burnley's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 40% of those meetings.

Our verdict: arsenal to win at odds of 1.12 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Getting the better of the bookies means you have to be willing to dig into the facts. This Premier League match is a great place to start your betting day. You have to put your feelings aside and look strictly at what the numbers say.

The home team’s season record gives us the starting odds, but their latest games are what really matter the most. Those recent matches show us exactly how well they are scoring and defending right now, not three months ago. The away team brings a completely different set of stats to the table.

We have to see if their long-term form matches up with how they played last week to find any hidden value that the public missed. Plus, past games between these two teams always tell a unique story. Looking at their head-to-head history often highlights who normally controls the pace of the game.

Adding those past trends to how they are playing today makes picking the outcome much easier and way less stressful. Taking all of this into account, 1 is the absolute best bet, especially since it is paying out at @1.12. Once the match begins, we just sit back and relax.

The final score will show if our math was on point. Take a look at the rest of our daily tips to keep winning.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Arsenal vs Burnley? +
Our selection is 1 — Arsenal to win, priced at approximately 1.12. Tip confidence rating: 57%.
What is Arsenal's current form? +
Arsenal have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Burnley been performing recently? +
Burnley have recorded 0 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Arsenal lead with 6 wins versus Burnley's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.5 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 40%.
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