Copa Do Brasil // Thursday, 23rd April 2026
ATL
Atletico MG
L W L L W
VS
CEA
Ceara
D W W W W
Data-Backed Primary Pick
1X
Prediction: Atletico MG to win or draw
1.09
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
Neutral Odds
Implied: 92% | Model: 90%
🔥 Goal Volatility
Tight Game (Under Favored)
Avg 2.05 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Mixed Form
No active dominant streaks
Supporting BetsExtras
Under 2.5 Goals70%
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes17%
Home Win & BTTS No26%
Draw & BTTS Yes9%
Draw & BTTS No13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes14%
Away Win & BTTS No21%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.513%
Home Win & Under 2.530%
Draw & Over 2.57%
Draw & Under 2.515%
Away Win & Over 2.511%
Away Win & Under 2.525%
Head to HeadRecord
6
Atletico MG
3
Draws
1
Ceara
Neutral Data Insufficient H2H data.
Key Stats DuelComparison
ATL
Metric
CEA
1.1
Goals For
1.3
1
Goals Against
0.7
30%
Clean Sheets
50%
5-0-5
W — D — L
4-5-1
Win Rate Comparison
50%
40%
Team RatingsGrades
Atletico MG
Overall
5.0
Scoring
3.7
Defence
6.7
Ceara
Overall
5.5
Scoring
4.3
Defence
7.7
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
25.10.25SA
Atletico-MG
1
Ceara
0
01.06.25SA
Ceara
0
Atletico-MG
1
09.10.22SA
Atletico-MG
0
Ceara
0
15.06.22SA
Ceara
0
Atletico-MG
0
09.10.21SA
Atletico-MG
3
Ceara
1
24.06.21SA
Ceara
2
Atletico-MG
1
22.11.20SA
Ceara
2
Atletico-MG
2
16.08.20SA
Atletico-MG
2
Ceara
0
29.09.19SA
Atletico-MG
2
Ceara
1
05.05.19SA
Ceara
1
Atletico-MG
2
Recent Matches
Atletico MG
19.04.26SA
Coritiba
2
Atletico-MG
0
L
16.04.26COP
Atletico-MG
2
Juventud
1
W
12.04.26SA
Santos
1
Atletico-MG
0
L
09.04.26COP
Puerto Cabello
2
Atletico-MG
1
L
05.04.26SA
Atletico-MG
2
Athletico-PR
1
W
02.04.26SA
Chapecoense-SC
0
Atletico-MG
4
W
21.03.26SA
Fluminense
1
Atletico-MG
0
L
19.03.26SA
Atletico-MG
1
Sao Paulo
0
W
14.03.26SA
Vitoria
2
Atletico-MG
0
L
11.03.26SA
Atletico-MG
1
Internacional
0
W
Ceara
19.04.26SB
Londrina
0
Ceara
0
D
15.04.26COP
Ceara
4
Jacuipense
1
W
12.04.26SB
Ceara
1
Nautico
0
W
09.04.26COP
Ceara
2
Fortaleza
0
W
04.04.26SB
Cuiaba
0
Ceara
2
W
02.04.26SB
Ponte Preta
1
Ceara
1
D
28.03.26COP
Retro
3
Ceara
1
L
25.03.26COP
Ceara
1
ABC
1
D
21.03.26SB
Ceara
1
Sao Bernardo
1
D
17.03.26COP
Sao Bernardo
0
Ceara (2 - 3 Pens)
0
W
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Thursday, 23rd April 2026, Atletico MG host Ceara in Copa Do Brasil. We recommend Atletico MG to win or draw as the standout selection.

Atletico MG arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Ceara are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 5D 1L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Atletico MG, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Ceara's 1, with 3 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 50% of those meetings.

Our verdict: atletico mg to win or draw at odds of 1.09 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Getting the better of the bookies means you have to be willing to dig into the facts. This Copa Do Brasil match is a great place to start your betting day. You have to put your feelings aside and look strictly at what the numbers say.

The home team’s season record gives us the starting odds, but their latest games are what really matter the most. Those recent matches show us exactly how well they are scoring and defending right now, not three months ago. The away team brings a completely different set of stats to the table.

We have to see if their long-term form matches up with how they played last week to find any hidden value that the public missed. Plus, past games between these two teams always tell a unique story. Looking at their head-to-head history often highlights who normally controls the pace of the game.

Adding those past trends to how they are playing today makes picking the outcome much easier and way less stressful. Taking all of this into account, 1X is the absolute best bet, especially since it is paying out at @1.09. Once the match begins, we just sit back and relax.

The final score will show if our math was on point. Take a look at the rest of our daily tips to keep winning.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Atletico MG vs Ceara? +
Our selection is 1X — Atletico MG to win or draw, priced at approximately 1.09. Tip confidence rating: 90%.
What is Atletico MG's current form? +
Atletico MG have won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches.
How has Ceara been performing recently? +
Ceara have recorded 4 wins, 5 draws and 1 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Atletico MG lead with 6 wins versus Ceara's 1, with 3 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 2.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 50%.
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