Premier League // Wednesday, 22nd April 2026
BUR
Burnley
L L L L L
0-1
MAN
Man City
W W W W L
Data-Backed Primary Pick
2
Prediction: Man City to win
Result: WON
1.19
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
Low Value (-EV)
Implied: 84% | Model: 70%
🔥 Goal Volatility
High Action (Over Favored)
Avg 3.05 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Cold Streak
Burnley has lost 5 in a row
Supporting BetsExtras
Over 1.5 Goals90%
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes6%
Home Win & BTTS No5%
Draw & BTTS Yes12%
Draw & BTTS No10%
Away Win & BTTS Yes37%
Away Win & BTTS No30%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.57%
Home Win & Under 2.54%
Draw & Over 2.513%
Draw & Under 2.59%
Away Win & Over 2.540%
Away Win & Under 2.527%
Head to HeadRecord
0
Burnley
0
Draws
10
Man City
Supports Pick Man City won 10 of 10 meetings.
Key Stats DuelComparison
BUR
Metric
MAN
1
Goals For
1.9
2.2
Goals Against
1
10%
Clean Sheets
40%
1-2-7
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
10%
60%
Team RatingsGrades
Burnley
Overall
1.6
Scoring
3.3
Defence
2.7
Man City
Overall
6.6
Scoring
6.3
Defence
6.7
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
27.09.25PL
Manchester City
5
Burnley
1
31.01.24PL
Manchester City
3
Burnley
1
11.08.23PL
Burnley
0
Manchester City
3
18.03.23FAC
Manchester City
6
Burnley
0
02.04.22PL
Burnley
0
Manchester City
2
16.10.21PL
Manchester City
2
Burnley
0
03.02.21PL
Burnley
0
Manchester City
2
28.11.20PL
Manchester City
5
Burnley
0
30.09.20EFL
Burnley
0
Manchester City
3
22.06.20PL
Manchester City
5
Burnley
0
Recent Matches
Burnley
19.04.26PL
Nottingham
4
Burnley
1
L
11.04.26PL
Burnley
0
Brighton
2
L
21.03.26PL
Fulham
3
Burnley
1
L
14.03.26PL
Burnley
0
Bournemouth
0
D
03.03.26PL
Everton
2
Burnley
0
L
28.02.26PL
Burnley
3
Brentford
4
L
21.02.26PL
Chelsea
1
Burnley
1
D
14.02.26FAC
Burnley
1
Mansfield
2
L
11.02.26PL
Crystal Palace
2
Burnley
3
W
07.02.26PL
Burnley
0
West Ham
2
L
Man City
19.04.26PL
Manchester City
2
Arsenal
1
W
12.04.26PL
Chelsea
0
Manchester City
3
W
04.04.26FAC
Manchester City
4
Liverpool
0
W
22.03.26EFL
Arsenal
0
Manchester City
2
W
17.03.26CL
Manchester City
1
Real Madrid
2
L
14.03.26PL
West Ham
1
Manchester City
1
D
11.03.26CL
Real Madrid
3
Manchester City
0
L
07.03.26FAC
Newcastle
1
Manchester City
3
W
04.03.26PL
Manchester City
2
Nottingham
2
D
28.02.26PL
Leeds
0
Manchester City
1
W
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Wednesday, 22nd April 2026, Burnley host Man City in Premier League. We recommend Man City to win as the standout selection.

Burnley arrive going through a difficult run, having recorded 1 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Man City are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Burnley, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Man City's 10, with 0 draws from 10 encounters. Both teams have scored in 20% of those meetings.

Our verdict: man city to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Getting the better of the bookies means you have to be willing to dig into the facts. This Premier League match is a great place to start your betting day. You have to put your feelings aside and look strictly at what the numbers say.

The home team’s season record gives us the starting odds, but their latest games are what really matter the most. Those recent matches show us exactly how well they are scoring and defending right now, not three months ago. The away team brings a completely different set of stats to the table.

We have to see if their long-term form matches up with how they played last week to find any hidden value that the public missed. Plus, past games between these two teams always tell a unique story. Looking at their head-to-head history often highlights who normally controls the pace of the game.

Adding those past trends to how they are playing today makes picking the outcome much easier and way less stressful. Taking all of this into account, 2 is the absolute best bet, especially since it is paying out at @1.19. Once the match begins, we just sit back and relax.

The final score will show if our math was on point. Take a look at the rest of our daily tips to keep winning.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Burnley vs Man City? +
Our selection is 2 — Man City to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 70%.
What is Burnley's current form? +
Burnley have won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches.
How has Man City been performing recently? +
Man City have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Burnley lead with 0 wins versus Man City's 10, with 0 draws across 10 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 20%.
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