UEFA Europa League // Thursday, 16th April 2026
CEL
Celta Vigo
L L W L W
1-3
FRE
Freiburg
W W L W W
Data-Backed Primary Pick
Over 1.5
Prediction: over 1.5 goals
Result: WON
1.26
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
High Value (+EV)
Implied: 79% | Model: 93%
🔥 Goal Volatility
High Action (Over Favored)
Avg 3.1 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Mixed Form
No active dominant streaks
Supporting BetsExtras
Over 1.5 Goals80%
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes21%
Home Win & BTTS No17%
Draw & BTTS Yes8%
Draw & BTTS No6%
Away Win & BTTS Yes26%
Away Win & BTTS No22%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.523%
Home Win & Under 2.515%
Draw & Over 2.58%
Draw & Under 2.56%
Away Win & Over 2.529%
Away Win & Under 2.519%
Head to HeadRecord
0
Celta Vigo
0
Draws
1
Freiburg
Supports Pick Over 1.5 in 100% of H2H.
Key Stats DuelComparison
CEL
Metric
FRE
1.4
Goals For
1.8
1.7
Goals Against
1.3
20%
Clean Sheets
20%
4-2-4
W — D — L
5-1-4
Win Rate Comparison
40%
50%
Team RatingsGrades
Celta Vigo
Overall
4.6
Scoring
4.7
Defence
4.3
Freiburg
Overall
5.3
Scoring
6.0
Defence
5.7
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
09.04.26Europa League
Freiburg
3
Celta Vigo
0
Recent Matches
Celta Vigo
12.04.26La Liga
Celta Vigo
0
Real Oviedo
3
L
09.04.26Europa League
Freiburg
3
Celta Vigo
0
L
05.04.26La Liga
Valencia
2
Celta Vigo
3
W
22.03.26La Liga
Celta Vigo
3
Alaves
4
L
19.03.26Europa League
Lyon
0
Celta Vigo
2
W
15.03.26La Liga
Betis
1
Celta Vigo
1
D
12.03.26Europa League
Celta Vigo
1
Lyon
1
D
06.03.26La Liga
Celta Vigo
1
Real Madrid
2
L
01.03.26La Liga
Girona
1
Celta Vigo
2
W
26.02.26Europa League
Celta Vigo
1
PAOK
0
W
Freiburg
12.04.26Bundesliga
Mainz
0
Freiburg
1
W
09.04.26Europa League
Freiburg
3
Celta Vigo
0
W
04.04.26Bundesliga
Freiburg
2
Bayern Munich
3
L
22.03.26Bundesliga
St. Pauli
1
Freiburg
2
W
19.03.26Europa League
Freiburg
5
Genk
1
W
15.03.26Bundesliga
Freiburg
0
Union Berlin
1
L
12.03.26Europa League
Genk
1
Freiburg
0
L
07.03.26Bundesliga
Freiburg
3
Bayer Leverkusen
3
D
01.03.26Bundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
2
Freiburg
0
L
22.02.26Bundesliga
Freiburg
2
B. Monchengladbach
1
W
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Thursday, 16th April 2026, Celta Vigo host Freiburg in UEFA Europa League. We recommend over 1.5 goals as the standout selection.

Celta Vigo arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 4 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Freiburg are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 5W 1D 4L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Celta Vigo, who lead the head-to-head with 0 wins to Freiburg's 1, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: over 1.5 goals at odds of 1.26 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Getting the better of the bookies means you have to be willing to dig into the facts. This UEFA Europa League match is a great place to start your betting day. You have to put your feelings aside and look strictly at what the numbers say.

The home team’s season record gives us the starting odds, but their latest games are what really matter the most. Those recent matches show us exactly how well they are scoring and defending right now, not three months ago. The away team brings a completely different set of stats to the table.

We have to see if their long-term form matches up with how they played last week to find any hidden value that the public missed. Plus, past games between these two teams always tell a unique story. Looking at their head-to-head history often highlights who normally controls the pace of the game.

Adding those past trends to how they are playing today makes picking the outcome much easier and way less stressful. Taking all of this into account, Over 1.5 is the absolute best bet, especially since it is paying out at @1.26. Once the match begins, we just sit back and relax.

The final score will show if our math was on point. Take a look at the rest of our daily tips to keep winning.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Celta Vigo vs Freiburg? +
Our selection is Over 1.5 — over 1.5 goals, priced at approximately 1.26. Tip confidence rating: 93%.
What is Celta Vigo's current form? +
Celta Vigo have won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches.
How has Freiburg been performing recently? +
Freiburg have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws and 4 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Celta Vigo lead with 0 wins versus Freiburg's 1, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.1 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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