Estonia Meistriliiga // Friday, 17th July 2026 //
FLO
Flora
D L W W L
VS
NOM
Nomme Utd
W L W L W
Data-Backed Primary Pick
1
Prediction: Flora to win
1.28
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
Low Value (-EV)
Implied: 78% | Model: 62%
🔥 Goal Volatility
High Action (Over Favored)
Avg 3.9 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Mixed Form
No active dominant streaks
Supporting BetsExtras
Over 2.5 Goals100% Over 1.5 Goals100% BTTS — Yes80%
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes46%
Home Win & BTTS No11%
Draw & BTTS Yes4%
Draw & BTTS No1%
Away Win & BTTS Yes30%
Away Win & BTTS No8%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.557%
Home Win & Under 2.50%
Draw & Over 2.55%
Draw & Under 2.50%
Away Win & Over 2.538%
Away Win & Under 2.50%
Head to HeadRecord
6
Flora
1
Draws
0
Nomme Utd
Supports Pick Flora won 6 of the last 7 meetings (1 draws).
Key Stats DuelComparison
FLO
Metric
NOM
2.5
Goals For
1.7
1.3
Goals Against
2.3
30%
Clean Sheets
0%
6-1-3
W — D — L
4-0-6
Win Rate Comparison
60%
40%
Team RatingsGrades
Flora
Overall
6.3
Scoring
8.3
Defence
5.7
Nomme Utd
Overall
4.0
Scoring
5.7
Defence
2.3
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd
0
Flora
4
10.03.26CUP
Flora
3
Nomme Utd
1
07.03.26ML
Flora
3
Nomme Utd
0
05.10.24ML
Nomme Utd
0
Flora
4
18.08.24ML
Flora
1
Nomme Utd
0
29.06.24ML
Nomme Utd
1
Flora
1
01.03.24ML
Flora
2
Nomme Utd
0
Recent Matches
Flora
14.07.26CL
Iberia 1999
2
Flora
2
D
08.07.26CL
Flora
2
Iberia 1999
3
L
02.07.26ML
Kuressaare
0
Flora
3
W
28.06.26ML
Levadia
1
Flora
2
W
21.06.26ML
Flora
1
Paide
2
L
16.06.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
1
Flora
2
W
13.06.26ML
Flora
1
Levadia
3
L
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd
0
Flora
4
W
23.05.26CUP
Paide
1
Flora
5
W
16.05.26ML
Narva
0
Flora
3
W
Nomme Utd
11.07.26ML
Nomme Utd
3
Kuressaare
2
W
03.07.26ML
Nomme Utd
1
Kalju
3
L
20.06.26ML
Harju JK Laagri
1
Nomme Utd
3
W
17.06.26ML
Nomme Utd
1
Levadia
2
L
13.06.26ML
Narva
1
Nomme Utd
2
W
29.05.26ML
Nomme Utd
0
Flora
4
L
20.05.26ML
Kuressaare
2
Nomme Utd
1
L
15.05.26ML
Tammeka
3
Nomme Utd
1
L
10.05.26ML
Nomme Utd
2
Paide
3
L
02.05.26ML
Parnu JK Vaprus
2
Nomme Utd
3
W
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Friday, 17th July 2026, Flora host Nomme Utd at A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) in Estonia Meistriliiga. We recommend Flora to win as the standout selection.

Flora arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 6 wins, 1 draws and 3 defeats from their last 10 outings.

Nomme Utd are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 4W 0D 6L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Flora, who lead the head-to-head with 6 wins to Nomme Utd's 0, with 1 draws from 7 encounters. Both teams have scored in 29% of those meetings.

Our verdict: flora to win at odds of 1.28 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Football is unpredictable, but it is not random — and confusing those two ideas is how most people lose money. Beneath the upsets there are patterns: in-form teams beat out-of-form ones more often than not, home advantage is real but varies wildly by club, and certain styles simply trouble certain opponents. Spotting those patterns before kick-off is the entire job. Here is what we found in this Estonia Meistriliiga match.

The home side carries 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games into this one. We note it without leaning on it too heavily, because what carries real weight is the character of those recent home games. Are the forwards in a confident groove? Is the midfield dictating play or being run ragged? Is the defence giving the keeper a calm platform to work from? Five recent matches, studied closely, answer that far better than any league table can, and A. Le Coq Arena (Tallinn) will amplify whichever version shows up.

The visitors bring 3 wins, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and that recent travelling record paints the truest picture of their current mentality on the road. Some teams hit a purple patch away from home for a spell; others lose their nerve the moment they leave familiar surroundings. The recent away form is the tell.

Once both pictures are clear, the smart position stands out. We are backing 1 at @1.28, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 5:00 pm.

That is the read, patterns and all. Take a look at everything else we have previewed today before you lock in a final bet — the strongest tickets are rarely a single line.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Flora vs Nomme Utd? +
Our selection is 1 — Flora to win, priced at approximately 1.28. Tip confidence rating: 62%.
What is Flora's current form? +
Flora have won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches.
How has Nomme Utd been performing recently? +
Nomme Utd have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws and 6 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Flora lead with 6 wins versus Nomme Utd's 0, with 1 draws across 7 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 3.9 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 29%.
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