UCL Qualifiers // Tuesday, 14th July 2026 //
LAR
Larne
W W W W D
VS
TRE
Tre Flori
L L D W W
Data-Backed Primary Pick
1
Prediction: Larne to win
1.19
Bettor EdgeInsights
📊 Value Calculator
Low Value (-EV)
Implied: 84% | Model: 61%
🔥 Goal Volatility
Tight Game (Under Favored)
Avg 1.28 combined goals per match.
⚡ Momentum Radar
Hot Streak
Larne has won 4 in a row
Supporting BetsExtras
Under 2.5 Goals79% BTTS — No83% Larne Clean Sheet67%
Smart CombinationsMultiples
Result & BTTS
Home Win & BTTS Yes7%
Home Win & BTTS No34%
Draw & BTTS Yes2%
Draw & BTTS No13%
Away Win & BTTS Yes7%
Away Win & BTTS No37%
Result & Goals
Home Win & Over 2.59%
Home Win & Under 2.532%
Draw & Over 2.53%
Draw & Under 2.512%
Away Win & Over 2.59%
Away Win & Under 2.535%
Head to HeadRecord
1
Larne
0
Draws
0
Tre Flori
Supports Pick Larne won 1 of the last 1 meetings (0 draws).
Key Stats DuelComparison
LAR
Metric
TRE
1.8
Goals For
0
0.8
Goals Against
0
67%
Clean Sheets
0%
5-2-2
W — D — L
6-2-2
Win Rate Comparison
56%
60%
Team RatingsGrades
Larne
Overall
6.2
Scoring
5.9
Defence
7.4
Tre Flori
Overall
6.6
Scoring
0.0
Defence
10.0
Match LogArchives
Head to Head
07.07.26CL
Tre Fiori
0
Larne
1
Recent Matches
Larne
07.07.26CL
Tre Fiori
0
Larne
1
W
29.06.26CF
H&W Welders
1
Larne
2
W
23.06.26CF
Larne
1
Connahs Q.
0
W
20.06.26CF
Stranraer
0
Larne
0
D
25.04.26NIFL
Larne
8
Dungannon
0
W
17.04.26NIFL
Glentoran
0
Larne
0
D
11.04.26NIFL
Linfield
0
Larne
2
W
07.04.26NIFL
Larne
1
Coleraine
4
L
04.04.26CUP
Coleraine
2
Larne - L (AET)
1
Tre Flori
07.07.26CL
Tre Fiori
0
Larne
1
L
23.05.26COP
Tre Fiori
1
La Fiorita
3
L
26.04.26CAM
Tre Fiori
1
Pennarossa
1
D
19.04.26CAM
Faetano
0
Tre Fiori
1
W
12.04.26CAM
Tre Fiori
3
Libertas
0
W
08.04.26CAM
Murata
0
Tre Fiori
3
W
22.03.26CAM
Tre Fiori
0
La Fiorita
0
D
18.03.26COP
Tre Fiori
1
Virtus
0
W
14.03.26CAM
Tre Fiori
4
Virtus
1
W
08.03.26CAM
Tre Fiori
3
Cailungo
2
W
Match AnalysisWriteup

On Tuesday, 14th July 2026, Larne host Tre Flori at Inver Park (Larne) in UCL Qualifiers. We recommend Larne to win as the standout selection.

Larne arrive showing mixed form, having recorded 5 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from their last 9 outings.

Tre Flori are inconsistent on the road, with a record of 6W 2D 2L across 10 matches.

Historical meetings favour Larne, who lead the head-to-head with 1 wins to Tre Flori's 0, with 0 draws from 1 encounters. Both teams have scored in 0% of those meetings.

Our verdict: larne to win at odds of 1.19 represents the most compelling value in this fixture.


Football is unpredictable, but it is not random — and confusing those two ideas is how most people lose money. Beneath the upsets there are patterns: in-form teams beat out-of-form ones more often than not, home advantage is real but varies wildly by club, and certain styles simply trouble certain opponents. Spotting those patterns before kick-off is the entire job. Here is what we found in this UCL Qualifiers match.

The home side carries 4 wins, 1 draw from their last 5 games into this one. We note it without leaning on it too heavily, because what carries real weight is the character of those recent home games. Are the forwards in a confident groove? Is the midfield dictating play or being run ragged? Is the defence giving the keeper a calm platform to work from? Five recent matches, studied closely, answer that far better than any league table can, and Inver Park (Larne) will amplify whichever version shows up.

The visitors bring 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses from their last 5 games, and that recent travelling record paints the truest picture of their current mentality on the road. Some teams hit a purple patch away from home for a spell; others lose their nerve the moment they leave familiar surroundings. The recent away form is the tell.

Once both pictures are clear, the smart position stands out. We are backing 1 at @1.19, which our model rates near 50,30,20%. Kick-off is 8:00 pm.

That is the read, patterns and all. Take a look at everything else we have previewed today before you lock in a final bet — the strongest tickets are rarely a single line.

Quick AnswersFAQ
What is the recommended bet for Larne vs Tre Flori? +
Our selection is 1 — Larne to win, priced at approximately 1.19. Tip confidence rating: 61%.
What is Larne's current form? +
Larne have won 5, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 9 matches.
How has Tre Flori been performing recently? +
Tre Flori have recorded 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats from 10 recent games.
What does the head-to-head record show? +
Larne lead with 1 wins versus Tre Flori's 0, with 0 draws across 1 meetings.
How many goals are expected in this match? +
Recent fixtures involving these sides average 1.2 goals per game. The head-to-head BTTS rate stands at 0%.
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