Successful Soccer Predictions
Successful Soccer Predictions
29th Mar 2023
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 25 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 75% • evidence-based
Kalmar vs Mjallby
Over 1.5
Sweden Allsvenskan
4:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 81/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way.
Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1
Brazil Catarinense 2
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
1
Latvia Nakotnes Liga
3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
1
Russia Premier League
6:45 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Neptunas vs Siauliai 2
1
Lithuania I Lyga
3:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Levanger vs Ull/Kisa
1
Norway Div 2 G2
1:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu
1
China League Two
12:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Kalmar vs Mjallby
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (41 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 32 wins from 41 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Neptunas vs Siauliai 2
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levanger vs Ull/Kisa
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (233 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 233 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes | 1 @1.30 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Lugano vs Dukagjini | 1 @1.20 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Partizan vs UNA Strassen | 1 @1.18 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 22 Jul 2026 • Australia NPL ACT Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles | 1 @1.34 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 22 Jul 2026 • Copa Do Brasil Women Botafogo W vs Bragantino W | 2 @1.45 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 22 Jul 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U | 1 @1.18 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 22 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Lillestrom vs Viking | Over 1.5 @1.13 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 22 Jul 2026 • Argentina Reserve League River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2 | 1 @1.37 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 22 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga | 2 @1.33 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 22 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W | 2 @1.32 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Goteborg vs Levadia | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
1-1 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan | Over 2.5 @1.38 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch | 1 @1.35 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu | 1 @1.09 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps | 1 @1.13 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta | 2 @1.23 |
0-4 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch | 2 @1.17 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord | 1 @1.28 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor | 1 @1.20 |
1-0 ✔
|
75%
Excellent
Won (117)
75%
Lost (39)
25%
117W
39L
117
Won
39
Lost
156
Settled
X2
Top market
2W
/
0L
• 2 tips
100%
1
Top market
61W
/
19L
• 80 tips
76.3%
2
Top market
15W
/
5L
• 20 tips
75%
Over 2.5
Top market
18W
/
6L
• 24 tips
75%
Over 1.5
Top market
14W
/
5L
• 19 tips
73.7%
1X
Solid
7W
/
4L
• 11 tips
63.6%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 85% | 86% | 75% | 70% | 74% | 74% | 77% |
| 1X | 69% | 100% | 82% | 78% | 86% | 100% | — | 83% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 80% | 58% | 60% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 70% | 70% | 83% | 67% | 100% | — | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 70% | 72% | 68% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 81.8%100%
81.8%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 77.8%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-11.1pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
233 tips
Accuracy
78.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
183W / 50L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
57 tips
Accuracy
68.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
39W / 18L
3
2
Volume
49 tips
Accuracy
77.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
38W / 11L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
41 tips
Accuracy
78%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
32W / 9L
5
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
81.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
30W / 7L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
78.6%
Accuracy
22
Won
6
Lost
2
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul 2026 | Twente vs Ferencvaros Europa League Qualifiers | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes Conference League Qualifiers | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul 2026 | FCSB vs Auda Conference League Qualifiers | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Bate vs Sion Conference League Qualifiers | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Besiktas vs Midtjylland Europa League Qualifiers | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Lugano vs Dukagjini Conference League Qualifiers | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 23 Jul 2026 | Partizan vs UNA Strassen Conference League Qualifiers | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles Australia NPL ACT | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Botafogo W vs Bragantino W Copa Do Brasil Women | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U Ecuador Liga Pro | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Lillestrom vs Viking Norway Eliteserien | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul 2026 | River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2 Argentina Reserve League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Basaksehir vs Inter Turku Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga Conference League Qualifier | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 22 Jul 2026 | Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W Argentina Primera Women | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Goteborg vs Levadia Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb UCL Qualifiers | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan China FA Cup | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan Super League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu China FA Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena Copa Colombia | 1 | − Void |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps UCL Qualifiers | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Marupe vs Metta Latvia Nakotnes liga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Canadian Premier League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 18 Jul 2026 | FC Slonim vs Isloch Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Viking vs Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Throttur vs Volsungor Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Uni X Labs vs Baranovici Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Shelbourne W vs Cork City W Ireland National League Women | 1 | − Void |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78.4% • range ±1.7%
Steady
76.3%
0-30d
79.3%
30-60d
79.7%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 77.5% • range ±4.6%
Steady
75%
0-30d
74.1%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5
avg 79.4% • range ±4.8%
Steady
73.7%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 66.4% • range ±7.5%
Variable
75%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
64.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 80% • range ±12.7%
Volatile
63.6%
0-30d
88.9%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
75%
30-day win rate
156 verified tips
77.8%
7-Day Rate
117
Tips Won
39
Tips Lost
156
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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