Successful Soccer Predictions
Successful Soccer Predictions
8th Apr 2023
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 23 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 75.8% • evidence-based
Besiktas vs Midtjylland
Over 1.5
Europa League Qualifiers
7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X
Europa League Qualifiers
7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (83.3% vs 75.8%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1
Conference League Qualifiers
8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1
Conference League Qualifiers
7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
FCSB vs Auda
1
Conference League Qualifiers
6:45 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
1
Conference League Qualifiers
6:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Bate vs Sion
2
Conference League Qualifiers
6:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Besiktas vs Midtjylland
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.5% over the last 90 days (39 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.5% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 31 wins from 39 settled tips (79.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on 1X
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 36 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FCSB vs Auda
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bate vs Sion
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 37 wins from 48 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 21 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Goteborg vs Levadia | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
1-1 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan | Over 2.5 @1.38 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch | 1 @1.35 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu | 1 @1.09 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps | 1 @1.13 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta | 2 @1.23 |
0-4 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch | 2 @1.17 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord | 1 @1.28 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor | 1 @1.20 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup Uni X Labs vs Baranovici | 2 @1.33 |
1-4 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 1 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • China Super League Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port | Over 2.5 @1.35 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Ireland FA Cup Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City | 1X @1.10 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Slovenia PRVA Liga Celje vs Mura | Over 2.5 @1.46 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City | 1 @1.39 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Throttur Vogar | 1 @1.30 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vestri vs Qarabag | Over 2.5 @1.41 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Derry City vs CSKA Sofia | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier RFS vs Glentoran | 1 @1.42 |
2-0 ✔
|
75.8%
Excellent
Won (119)
75.8%
Lost (38)
24.2%
119W
38L
119
Won
38
Lost
157
Settled
X2
Top market
2W
/
0L
• 2 tips
100%
1X
Top market
10W
/
3L
• 13 tips
76.9%
Over 2.5
Top market
20W
/
6L
• 26 tips
76.9%
1
Top market
59W
/
18L
• 77 tips
76.6%
2
Top market
13W
/
5L
• 18 tips
72.2%
Over 1.5
Top market
15W
/
6L
• 21 tips
71.4%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 85% | 87% | 75% | 70% | 74% | 74% | 77% |
| 1X | 69% | 100% | 82% | 88% | 86% | 100% | — | 84% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 70% | 67% | 88% | 67% | 100% | — | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 70% | 72% | 68% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 85.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+14.3pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
230 tips
Accuracy
79.1%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
182W / 48L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
57 tips
Accuracy
68.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
39W / 18L
3
2
Volume
48 tips
Accuracy
77.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
37W / 11L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
39 tips
Accuracy
79.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
31W / 8L
5
1X
Volume
36 tips
Accuracy
83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
30W / 6L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
89.3%
Accuracy
25
Won
3
Lost
2
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul 2026 | Goteborg vs Levadia Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb UCL Qualifiers | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan China FA Cup | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan Super League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu China FA Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena Copa Colombia | 1 | − Void |
| 21 Jul 2026 | Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps UCL Qualifiers | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Marupe vs Metta Latvia Nakotnes liga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Canadian Premier League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 18 Jul 2026 | FC Slonim vs Isloch Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Viking vs Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Throttur vs Volsungor Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Uni X Labs vs Baranovici Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Shelbourne W vs Cork City W Ireland National League Women | 1 | − Void |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port China Super League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City Ireland FA Cup | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Celje vs Mura Slovenia PRVA Liga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City Australia Victoria PL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Flora vs Nomme Utd Estonia Meistriliiga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren China Super League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Haukar vs Throttur Vogar Iceland Division 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Vestri vs Qarabag Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Europa League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | RFS vs Glentoran Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Levadia vs Caernarfon Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Zalgiris vs Petrovac Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Afturelding vs Leiknir Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 79% • range ±2.3%
Steady
76.6%
0-30d
79.3%
30-60d
81.1%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 77% • range ±4.4%
Steady
72.2%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
77.8%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1X
avg 84.2% • range ±5.6%
Steady
76.9%
0-30d
88.2%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5
avg 79.8% • range ±6.6%
Variable
71.4%
0-30d
84.6%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 2.5
avg 68.1% • range ±6.9%
Variable
76.9%
0-30d
63.2%
30-60d
64.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
75.8%
30-day win rate
157 verified tips
89.3%
7-Day Rate
119
Tips Won
38
Tips Lost
157
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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