Successful Soccer Predictions
Successful Soccer Predictions
20th Jan 2026
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 6 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 77.1% • evidence-based
Debrecen vs Copenhagen
Over 1.5
Conference League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (82%). No significant deviation either way.
Rakow vs Hammarby
Over 1.5
Conference League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (82%). No significant deviation either way.
Braga vs Din Minsk
Over 2.5
Conference League Qualifier
7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Salzburg vs Pafos
1X
Europa League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Europa League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (66.7%). Factor this into your assessment.
Benfica vs Hearts
1
Europa League Qualifier
8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 69/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Europa League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (66.7%). Factor this into your assessment.
Lugano vs NSI Runavik
1
Conference League Qualifier
7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik
1
Europa League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 65/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Europa League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (66.7%). Factor this into your assessment.
Twente vs Dun Streda
1
Conference League Qualifier
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Debrecen vs Copenhagen
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 82% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 73.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
82% on Over 1.5
90% probability
73.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 41 wins from 50 settled tips (82%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Rakow vs Hammarby
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 82% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 73.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
82% on Over 1.5
90% probability
73.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 41 wins from 50 settled tips (82%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Braga vs Din Minsk
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.5% over the last 90 days (61 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 73.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
70.5% on Over 2.5
80% probability
73.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 43 wins from 61 settled tips (70.5%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.1%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Salzburg vs Pafos
1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 66.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1X
80% probability
66.7% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Benfica vs Hearts
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (255 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 66.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1
60% probability
66.7% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 200 wins from 255 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lugano vs NSI Runavik
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (255 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 73.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1
50% probability
73.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 200 wins from 255 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (255 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 66.7% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1
50% probability
66.7% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 200 wins from 255 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Twente vs Dun Streda
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (255 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 73.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1
50% probability
73.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 200 wins from 255 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.1%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 05 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Aarhus vs Sabah Baku | Over 1.5 @1.23 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 05 Aug 2026 • Copa Betano Do Brasil Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC | 1 @1.36 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 05 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola | 1 @1.15 |
6-0 ✔
|
| 05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny | 1X @1.19 |
1-1 ✔
|
| 05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg | 1 @1.38 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II | 1 @1.19 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Luxembourg BGL Ligue UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport | 1 @1.42 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional Independiente vs Aurora | Over 1.5 @1.12 |
1-1 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sparta Prague vs Lyon | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris | 1 @1.19 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Club Friendly Bournemouth vs Genoa | Over 2.5 @1.42 |
10-1 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga FarDU vs TerDU | 1 @1.23 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas | 2 @1.20 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka | 1 @1.15 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Ireland Division 1 Cork City vs Athlone | 1 @1.41 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Poland Ekstraklasa Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin | Over 1.5 @1.29 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Sweden Allsvenskan Halmstad vs Sirius | 2 @1.33 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Norway D3 Group 4 Vindbjart vs Odd 2 | 1 @1.38 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. | 1 @1.41 |
5-0 ✔
|
77.1%
Excellent
Won (135)
77.1%
Lost (40)
22.9%
135W
40L
135
Won
40
Lost
175
Settled
Over 1.5
Top market
18W
/
4L
• 22 tips
81.8%
2
Top market
15W
/
4L
• 19 tips
78.9%
Over 2.5
Top market
18W
/
5L
• 23 tips
78.3%
1
Top market
76W
/
23L
• 99 tips
76.8%
1X
Solid
7W
/
4L
• 11 tips
63.6%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 86% | 74% | 73% | 74% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 71% | 78% | 86% | 100% | — | 81% |
| 2 | 88% | 64% | 80% | 58% | 67% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 75% | 69% | 85% | 75% | 100% | — | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 71% | 71% | 68% | 71% | 70% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.3%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-6.6pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 83.3%100%
33.3%
recent
⬇
-50pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
255 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
200W / 55L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
61 tips
Accuracy
70.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
43W / 18L
3
2
Volume
57 tips
Accuracy
75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
43W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
50 tips
Accuracy
82%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
41W / 9L
5
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
80%
Accuracy
24
Won
6
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Aug 2026 | Chelsea vs Juventus Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Aarhus vs Sabah Baku Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC Copa Betano Do Brasil | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola Finland Ykkonen | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny Russian Cup | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Arsenal vs Betis Club Friendly | 1X | ✗ Lost |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg Russian Cup | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze Europa League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II Uzbekistan Pro Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W Ireland N'League Women | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 4 Aug 2026 | UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport Luxembourg BGL Ligue | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Independiente vs Aurora Bolivia Division Profesional | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Sparta Prague vs Lyon Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris Champions League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Bournemouth vs Genoa Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | FarDU vs TerDU Uzbekistan Pro Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas Lithuania I Lyga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka Ukraine Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cork City vs Athlone Ireland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Halmstad vs Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Faroe Islands PL | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Vindbjart vs Odd 2 Norway D3 Group 4 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. Ecuador Liga Pro | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Leevon PPK vs Rezekne Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Thun vs Young Boys Swiss Super League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W Brasileiro Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Valmiera vs RFS 2 Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78.8% • range ±1.8%
Steady
76.8%
0-30d
80.4%
30-60d
79.1%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 76.1% • range ±4.1%
Steady
78.9%
0-30d
70.8%
30-60d
78.6%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5
avg 83.5% • range ±7.9%
Variable
81.8%
0-30d
76.5%
30-60d
92.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 2.5
avg 70.7% • range ±8.6%
Variable
78.3%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 79% • range ±18.2%
Volatile
63.6%
0-30d
73.3%
30-60d
100%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
77.1%
30-day win rate
175 verified tips
80.9%
7-Day Rate
135
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
175
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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