Successful Soccer Predictions
Successful Soccer Predictions
18th Jul 2026
|
1:00 pm
Latvia Nakotnes liga
Marupe vs Metta
|
0-4
|
2 | 1.23 | Stats Analysis |
|
8:00 pm
Canadian Premier League
Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
|
1-1
|
1 | 1.36 | Stats Analysis |
|
2:30 pm
Belarusian Cup
FC Slonim vs Isloch
|
0-1
|
2 | 1.17 | Stats Analysis |
|
5:00 pm
Norway Eliteserien
Viking vs Sandefjord
|
2-1
|
1 | 1.28 | Stats Analysis |
|
5:00 pm
Iceland Division 1
Throttur vs Volsungor
|
1-0
|
1 | 1.20 | Stats Analysis |
|
5:30 pm
Belarusian Cup
Uni X Labs vs Baranovici
|
1-4
|
2 | 1.33 | Stats Analysis |
|
4:00 pm
Ireland National League Women
Shelbourne W vs Cork City W
|
VS
|
1 | 1.18 | Stats Analysis |
Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 21 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 74.8% • evidence-based
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5
Conference League Qualifier
6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 84/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5
UCL Qualifiers
7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
Over 2.5
China FA Cup
12:35 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (66.1%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
1
UCL Qualifiers
5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
1
Uzbekistan Super League
4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
1
China FA Cup
12:35 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1
Copa Colombia
9:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on Over 1.5
90% probability
83.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 66.1% over the last 90 days (59 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
66.1% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 39 wins from 59 settled tips (66.1%). This is below our site-wide average of 74.8%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta | 2 @1.23 |
0-4 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch | 2 @1.17 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord | 1 @1.28 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor | 1 @1.20 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup Uni X Labs vs Baranovici | 2 @1.33 |
1-4 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 1 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • China Super League Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port | Over 2.5 @1.35 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Ireland FA Cup Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City | 1X @1.10 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Slovenia PRVA Liga Celje vs Mura | Over 2.5 @1.46 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City | 1 @1.39 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Throttur Vogar | 1 @1.30 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vestri vs Qarabag | Over 2.5 @1.41 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Derry City vs CSKA Sofia | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier RFS vs Glentoran | 1 @1.42 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina | 1 @1.45 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Levadia vs Caernarfon | 1 @1.20 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk | 1 @1.25 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zalgiris vs Petrovac | 1 @1.37 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Afturelding vs Leiknir | 1 @1.37 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Patro Eisden vs St Truiden | Over 2.5 @1.33 |
0-4 ✔
|
74.8%
Excellent
Won (119)
74.8%
Lost (40)
25.2%
119W
40L
119
Won
40
Lost
159
Settled
1X
Top market
11W
/
3L
• 14 tips
78.6%
Over 2.5
Top market
20W
/
6L
• 26 tips
76.9%
1
Top market
58W
/
19L
• 77 tips
75.3%
2
Top market
14W
/
5L
• 19 tips
73.7%
Over 1.5
Top market
14W
/
6L
• 20 tips
70%
X2
Solid
2W
/
1L
• 3 tips
66.7%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 84% | 87% | 75% | 70% | 74% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 69% | 100% | 82% | 88% | 86% | 100% | — | 84% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 63% | 67% | 88% | 67% | 100% | — | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 68% | 72% | 68% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 83.3%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+16.7pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 82.4%100%
82.4%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
235 tips
Accuracy
79.1%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
186W / 49L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
59 tips
Accuracy
66.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
39W / 20L
3
2
Volume
51 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
40W / 11L
4
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
83.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
31W / 6L
5
Over 1.5
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
86.2%
Accuracy
25
Won
4
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | Marupe vs Metta Latvia Nakotnes liga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Canadian Premier League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 18 Jul 2026 | FC Slonim vs Isloch Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Viking vs Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Throttur vs Volsungor Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Uni X Labs vs Baranovici Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Shelbourne W vs Cork City W Ireland National League Women | 1 | − Void |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port China Super League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City Ireland FA Cup | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Celje vs Mura Slovenia PRVA Liga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City Australia Victoria PL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Flora vs Nomme Utd Estonia Meistriliiga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren China Super League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Haukar vs Throttur Vogar Iceland Division 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Vestri vs Qarabag Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Europa League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | RFS vs Glentoran Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Levadia vs Caernarfon Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Zalgiris vs Petrovac Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Afturelding vs Leiknir Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Patro Eisden vs St Truiden Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W Iceland Besta deild Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Lyon vs Servette Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk UCL Qualifiers | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears Australia NPL Northern NSW | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20 Brazil Catarinense U20 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus Brazil Catarinense 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 79.1% • range ±3%
Steady
75.3%
0-30d
80.7%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 79.3% • range ±4.8%
Steady
73.7%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1X
avg 84.4% • range ±5.2%
Steady
78.6%
0-30d
85.7%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 64.8% • range ±10.3%
Variable
76.9%
0-30d
61.1%
30-60d
56.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 81.7% • range ±10.9%
Variable
70%
0-30d
91.7%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
74.8%
30-day win rate
159 verified tips
86.2%
7-Day Rate
119
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
159
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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