Successful Soccer Predictions
Successful Soccer Predictions
28th Jul 2026
|
4:00 pm
Lithuania I Lyga
Dainava Alytus vs Transinvest 2
|
1-1
|
1 | 1.22 | Stats Analysis |
|
7:00 pm
UCL Qualifiers
Dinamo Zagreb vs Thun
|
2-2
|
1 | 1.41 | Stats Analysis |
|
6:00 pm
Conference League Qualifiers
Riga vs Vardar
|
1-2
|
1 | 1.32 | Stats Analysis |
|
5:00 pm
Lithuania I Lyga
Zalgiris 2 vs FK Minija
|
1-0
|
2 | 1.31 | Stats Analysis |
|
9:00 pm
ACN Women
Nigeria W vs Malawi W
|
2-3
|
1 | 1.13 | Stats Analysis |
|
7:30 pm
Lebanon Premier League
Jwayya vs Al Ansar
|
1-2
|
2 | 1.33 | Stats Analysis |
|
6:00 pm
Conference League Qualifiers
Apollon vs Dila Gori
|
3-0
|
1 | 1.35 | Stats Analysis |
Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 5 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 75.9% • evidence-based
Aarhus vs Sabah Baku
Over 1.5
Champions League Qualifier
5:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 84/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (83.3% vs 75.9%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Arsenal vs Betis
1X
Club Friendly
7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (80%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (92.3%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Chelsea vs Juventus
Over 2.5
Club Friendly
12:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.7%). No significant deviation either way. Club Friendly is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (92.3%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze
Over 1.5
Europa League Qualifier
7:15 pm
Strong case
Score: 80/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (83.3% vs 75.9%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny
1X
Russian Cup
6:45 pm
Strong case
Score: 79/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (80%). No significant deviation either way.
Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg
1
Russian Cup
4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola
1
Finland Ykkonen
4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
1
Copa Betano Do Brasil
11:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Aarhus vs Sabah Baku
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 40 wins from 48 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Arsenal vs Betis
1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 80% over the last 90 days (35 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 92.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
80% on 1X
80% probability
92.3% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 28 wins from 35 settled tips (80%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Chelsea vs Juventus
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.7% over the last 90 days (60 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 92.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.7% on Over 2.5
80% probability
92.3% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 43 wins from 60 settled tips (71.7%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.9%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ferencvaros vs Gornik Zabrze
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 75% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on Over 1.5
80% probability
75% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 40 wins from 48 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny
1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 80% over the last 90 days (35 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80% on 1X
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 28 wins from 35 settled tips (80%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (252 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 252 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (252 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 252 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (252 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 197 wins from 252 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.9%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II | 1 @1.19 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Luxembourg BGL Ligue UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport | 1 @1.42 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional Independiente vs Aurora | Over 1.5 @1.12 |
1-1 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sparta Prague vs Lyon | Over 1.5 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris | 1 @1.19 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Club Friendly Bournemouth vs Genoa | Over 2.5 @1.42 |
10-1 ✔
|
| 04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga FarDU vs TerDU | 1 @1.23 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas | 2 @1.20 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Ukraine Premier League Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka | 1 @1.15 |
5-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Ireland Division 1 Cork City vs Athlone | 1 @1.41 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Poland Ekstraklasa Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin | Over 1.5 @1.29 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Sweden Allsvenskan Halmstad vs Sirius | 2 @1.33 |
0-2 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 03 Aug 2026 • Norway D3 Group 4 Vindbjart vs Odd 2 | 1 @1.38 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. | 1 @1.41 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Leevon PPK vs Rezekne | 1 @1.17 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Swiss Super League Thun vs Young Boys | Over 2.5 @1.34 |
0-6 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Brasileiro Women Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W | 1 @1.21 |
4-0 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes Liga Valmiera vs RFS 2 | 1 @1.18 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 01 Aug 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia | 1 @1.19 |
3-0 ✔
|
75.9%
Excellent
Won (132)
75.9%
Lost (42)
24.1%
132W
42L
132
Won
42
Lost
174
Settled
Over 2.5
Top market
19W
/
5L
• 24 tips
79.2%
2
Top market
15W
/
4L
• 19 tips
78.9%
Over 1.5
Top market
18W
/
5L
• 23 tips
78.3%
1
Top market
73W
/
23L
• 96 tips
76%
1X
Average
6W
/
5L
• 11 tips
54.5%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 70% | 81% | 85% | 74% | 73% | 74% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 71% | 100% | 75% | 78% | 86% | 100% | — | 82% |
| 2 | 88% | 64% | 80% | 58% | 67% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 75% | 73% | 85% | 75% | 100% | — | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 71% | 75% | 68% | 71% | 70% | 75% | 71% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Club Friendly
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.3%100%
66.7%
recent
⬇
-6.6pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
252 tips
Accuracy
78.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
197W / 55L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
60 tips
Accuracy
71.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
43W / 17L
3
2
Volume
57 tips
Accuracy
75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
43W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
48 tips
Accuracy
83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
40W / 8L
5
1X
Volume
35 tips
Accuracy
80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
28W / 7L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
86.7%
Accuracy
26
Won
4
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026 | Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II Uzbekistan Pro Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Bohemians WFC W vs Galway United W Ireland N'League Women | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 4 Aug 2026 | UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport Luxembourg BGL Ligue | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Independiente vs Aurora Bolivia Division Profesional | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Sparta Prague vs Lyon Champions League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris Champions League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | Bournemouth vs Genoa Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 4 Aug 2026 | FarDU vs TerDU Uzbekistan Pro Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Transinvest 2 vs Babrungas Lithuania I Lyga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Shakhtar Donetsk vs Kudrivka Ukraine Premier League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cork City vs Athlone Ireland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Tukums 2000 2 vs Alberts JDFS Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 2 | ✗ Lost |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Cracovia vs Pogon Szczecin Poland Ekstraklasa | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Halmstad vs Sirius Sweden Allsvenskan | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | HB Torshavn vs NSI Runavik Faroe Islands PL | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 3 Aug 2026 | Vindbjart vs Odd 2 Norway D3 Group 4 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. Ecuador Liga Pro | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo Argentina Primera B | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Leevon PPK vs Rezekne Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Thun vs Young Boys Swiss Super League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W Brasileiro Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Valmiera vs RFS 2 Latvia Nakotnes Liga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 1 Aug 2026 | Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy Swiss Challenge League | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20 Brazil Paulista U20 | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo Croatia HNL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | KTP vs SJK Akatemia Finland Ykkosliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City Australia Victoria PL 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Wil vs Xamax Swiss Challenge League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 31 Jul 2026 | Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom Norway Eliteserien | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78.4% • range ±2%
Steady
76%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
79.1%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 76.9% • range ±2.9%
Steady
78.9%
0-30d
73.1%
30-60d
78.6%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 70.1% • range ±9.1%
Variable
79.2%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
61.1%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 81.3% • range ±9.5%
Variable
78.3%
0-30d
73.3%
30-60d
92.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
1X
avg 75.9% • range ±22.8%
Volatile
54.5%
0-30d
73.3%
30-60d
100%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
75.9%
30-day win rate
174 verified tips
82.6%
7-Day Rate
132
Tips Won
42
Tips Lost
174
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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