Sweet Football Prediction

Sweet Football Predictions


13th Aug 2026

7:45 pm Europa League Qualifier
Hearts vs Benfica
VS
Over 2.5 1.45 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm Conference League Qualifier
Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris
VS
1 1.27 Stats Analysis
4:00 pm Georgia Liga 3
Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri
VS
1 1.36 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Conference League Qualifier
Tromso vs CFR Cluj
VS
1 1.43 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Georgia Liga 3
Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi
VS
1 1.19 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Conference League Qualifier
Midtjylland vs Bohemians
VS
1 1.18 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Conference League Qualifier
Din Minsk vs Braga
VS
2 1.34 Stats Analysis
6:30 pm Europa League Qualifier
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun
VS
Over 2.5 1.45 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 13 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 6:30 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Hearts vs Benfica
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 7:45 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi
1 Georgia Liga 3 6:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Midtjylland vs Bohemians
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
60%
prob
Solid Pick
Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri
1 Georgia Liga 3 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Tromso vs CFR Cluj
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Din Minsk vs Braga
2 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
30%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 77.6% • evidence-based
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 6:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Hearts vs Benfica
Over 2.5 Europa League Qualifier 7:45 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi
1 Georgia Liga 3 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Midtjylland vs Bohemians
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (70%). Factor this into your assessment.
Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris
1 Conference League Qualifier 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (70%). Factor this into your assessment.
Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri
1 Georgia Liga 3 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Tromso vs CFR Cluj
1 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 66/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.5%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (70%). Factor this into your assessment.
Din Minsk vs Braga
2 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 58/100
A stated probability of 30% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (75.4%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier has been a difficult competition in the historical record (70%). Factor this into your assessment.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.9% over the last 90 days (64 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 75% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.9% on Over 2.5 80% probability 75% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 46 wins from 64 settled tips (71.9%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.6%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hearts vs Benfica Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.9% over the last 90 days (64 tips graded). In Europa League Qualifier, our record stands at 75% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
71.9% on Over 2.5 80% probability 75% in Europa League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 46 wins from 64 settled tips (71.9%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.6%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (261 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 261 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Midtjylland vs Bohemians 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (261 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 70% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 60% probability 70% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 261 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (261 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 70% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 60% probability 70% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 261 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Gonio vs Iveria Khashuri 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (261 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 261 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tromso vs CFR Cluj 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.5% over the last 90 days (261 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 70% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.5% on 1 50% probability 70% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 205 wins from 261 settled tips (78.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Din Minsk vs Braga 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 30% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 75.4% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 70% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
75.4% on 2 30% probability 70% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 43 wins from 57 settled tips (75.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 77.6%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

11 Aug 2026 • Copa Sudamericana Boca Juniors vs Recoleta 1 @1.28
3-1
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 @1.17
1-2
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union Over 2.5 @1.44
3-2
11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Yarmouk vs Burgan Over 1.5 @1.27
3-1
11 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia 1 @1.31
2-1
11 Aug 2026 • Kuwait Division 1 Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty 1 @1.12
3-0
11 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sabah Baku vs Aarhus Over 1.5 @1.20
4-0
10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong PSV vs FC Volendam Over 2.5 @1.53
3-2
10 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Alashkert vs BKMA 1 @1.25
3-0
10 Aug 2026 • Norway Div 3 G1 Baerum Sportsklubb vs KFUM Oslo 2 1 @1.24
5-1
10 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong AZ vs Eindhoven Over 2.5 @1.39
3-2
10 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands Premier League NSI Runavik vs Skala Itrottarfelag 1 @1.38
4-0
10 Aug 2026 • Latvia Virsliga RFS vs Grobina Over 2.5 @1.34
6-1
08 Aug 2026 • Lithuania TOPLYGA Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann 1 @1.25
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa 2 @1.42
0-1
08 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Peamount W 1 @1.30
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Independiente 1 @1.16
1-2
08 Aug 2026 • Kansallinen Liiga Women Aland Utd W vs Ilves W 1 @1.36
3-0
08 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum 1 @1.18
5-0
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Salzburg vs Pafos 1X @1.15
1-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 165 settled tips
77.6%
Excellent
Won (128) 77.6%
Lost (37) 22.4%
128W
37L
128
Won
37
Lost
165
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 2.5 Top market
18W / 4L • 22 tips
81.8%
Over 1.5 Top market
18W / 5L • 23 tips
78.3%
1 Top market
75W / 21L • 96 tips
78.1%
2 Top market
13W / 4L • 17 tips
76.5%
1X Solid
4W / 3L • 7 tips
57.1%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 75% 73% 74% 74% 77%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 80% 58% 67% 72% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 75% 80% 69% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 72% 72% 71% 65% 71% 70% 75% 71%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 88.9%100%
100%
recent
+11.1pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 71.4%100%
71.4%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 72.2%100%
60%
recent
-12.2pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 261 tips
Accuracy 78.5%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 205W / 56L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 64 tips
Accuracy 71.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 46W / 18L
3
2
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 80.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 11L
5
1X
Volume 38 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
76.7%
Accuracy
23
Won
7
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
11 Aug 2026Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
Brazil Paulista U20
1✗ Lost
11 Aug 2026Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
Copa Sudamericana
1✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Champions League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union
Champions League Qualifier
Over 2.5✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Yarmouk vs Burgan
Kuwait Division 1
Over 1.5✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
Finland Ykkonen
1✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
Kuwait Division 1
1✓ Won
11 Aug 2026Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Champions League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
10 Aug 2026Jong PSV vs FC Volendam
Eerste Divisie
Over 2.5✓ Won
10 Aug 2026Fakel Voronezh vs Akhmat Grozny
Russia Premier League
Over 1.5✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 74.6% • range ±2.1%
Steady
76.5%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
72.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 78.7% • range ±3.4%
Steady
78.1%
0-30d
75.6%
30-60d
82.4%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 71.7% • range ±7.5%
Variable
81.8%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.6% • range ±9.6%
Variable
78.3%
0-30d
73.7%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 74.6% • range ±15.6%
Volatile
57.1%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


77.6%
30-day win rate
165 verified tips
78.1%
7-Day Rate
128
Tips Won
37
Tips Lost
165
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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