90 Accurate Football Predictions

90 Accurate Football Predictions


17th Aug 2026

6:00 pm Israel Toto Cup
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
VS
Over 2.5 1.51 Stats Analysis
4:00 pm Latvian Cup
Auda vs Grobina
VS
1 1.40 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Iceland Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik
VS
Over 2.5 1.47 Stats Analysis
7:15 pm Bulgaria EFBET League
Arda vs Lok Sofia
VS
1X 1.18 Stats Analysis
4:30 pm Finland W Kansallinen Liiga
HJK W vs KUPS W
VS
1 1.43 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Denmark Superliga
Brondby vs Sonderjyske
VS
1 1.36 Stats Analysis
5:00 pm Czech CHNL
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem
VS
Over 1.5 1.19 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Iceland Division 1
Grindavik vs Grotta
VS
Over 2.5 1.40 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Mon 17 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem
Over 1.5 Czech CHNL 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Grindavik vs Grotta
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Arda vs Lok Sofia
1X Bulgaria EFBET League 7:15 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Over 2.5 Israel Toto Cup 6:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Auda vs Grobina
1 Latvian Cup 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
HJK W vs KUPS W
1 Finland W Kansallinen Liiga 4:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Brondby vs Sonderjyske
1 Denmark Superliga 6:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Monday • site avg 75.3% • evidence-based
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem
Over 1.5 Czech CHNL 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Grindavik vs Grotta
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Arda vs Lok Sofia
1X Bulgaria EFBET League 7:15 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Over 2.5 Israel Toto Cup 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.6%). No significant deviation either way.
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (69.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Auda vs Grobina
1 Latvian Cup 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way.
HJK W vs KUPS W
1 Finland W Kansallinen Liiga 4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way.
Brondby vs Sonderjyske
1 Denmark Superliga 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.4% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 45 wins from 56 settled tips (80.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Grindavik vs Grotta Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (69 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 69 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Arda vs Lok Sofia 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (35 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on 1X 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 27 wins from 35 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (69 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 69 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (69 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 48 wins from 69 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.3%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Auda vs Grobina 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (268 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 268 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
HJK W vs KUPS W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (268 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 268 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Brondby vs Sonderjyske 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (268 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 268 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

15 Aug 2026 • Costa Rica Primera Division Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC 1 @1.37
2-1
15 Aug 2026 • Eredivisie Excelsior vs PSV Over 2.5 @1.36
1-2
15 Aug 2026 • Kazakhstan Premier League Ordabasy vs Altai 1 @1.20
3-1
15 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga KTP vs KaPa 1 @1.21
2-1
15 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Ararat Armenia vs Van 1 @1.21
2-0
14 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes 1 @1.26
3-2
14 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu 1 @1.40
3-1
14 Aug 2026 • Coppa Italia Fiorentina vs Benevento 1 @1.23
4-1
14 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Ekranas vs FK Minija 2 @1.22
0-5
14 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Hviti 1 @1.27
3-1
14 Aug 2026 • Ireland FAI Cup Waterford vs Athlone 1 @1.40
2-1
14 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Almere vs Jong PSV Over 2.5 @1.33
3-1
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris 1 @1.27
4-0
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Tromso vs CFR Cluj 1 @1.43
2-1
13 Aug 2026 • Georgia Liga 3 Tbilisi 2025 vs Khobi 1 @1.19
4-0
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Midtjylland vs Bohemians 1 @1.18
3-2
13 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vikingur Reykjavik vs Thun Over 2.5 @1.45
3-2
12 Aug 2026 • UEFA Super Cup PSG vs Aston Villa Over 1.5 @1.20
2-1
12 Aug 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Grindavik/Njardvik W 1 @1.35
1-0
12 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier GKS Katowice vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Over 1.5 @1.29
2-1

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 174 settled tips
75.3%
Excellent
Won (131) 75.3%
Lost (43) 24.7%
131W
43L
131
Won
43
Lost
174
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
45W / 11L • 56 tips
80.4%
1 Top market
209W / 59L • 268 tips
78%
1X Top market
27W / 8L • 35 tips
77.1%
2 Top market
43W / 14L • 57 tips
75.4%
Over 2.5 Solid
48W / 21L • 69 tips
69.6%
X2 Solid
3W / 2L • 5 tips
60%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 76% 74% 73% 74% 76%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 81% 54% 69% 72% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 75% 80% 73% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 72% 72% 68% 64% 73% 73% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
80%
recent
+11.6pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 268 tips
Accuracy 78%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 209W / 59L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 69 tips
Accuracy 69.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 48W / 21L
3
2
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 75.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 80.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 11L
5
1X
Volume 35 tips
Accuracy 77.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
15 Aug 2026Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC
Costa Rica Primera Division
1✓ Won
15 Aug 2026Excelsior vs PSV
Eredivisie
Over 2.5✓ Won
15 Aug 2026Ordabasy vs Altai
Kazakhstan Premier League
1✓ Won
15 Aug 2026KTP vs KaPa
Finland Ykkosliiga
1✓ Won
15 Aug 2026Ararat Armenia vs Van
Armenia Premier League
1✓ Won
15 Aug 2026Jippo vs SJK Akatemia
Finland Ykkosliiga
1✗ Lost
15 Aug 2026HJS vs GrIFK
Finland Kakkonen B
1✗ Lost
15 Aug 2026Etar vs Rilski Sportist
Bulgaria Vtora Liga
1✗ Lost
14 Aug 2026Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes
Liga Portugal
1✓ Won
14 Aug 2026Galatasaray vs Corum
Turkey Super Lig
1✗ Lost

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 76.7% • range ±2%
Steady
75%
0-30d
76.2%
30-60d
78.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 78.2% • range ±2.7%
Steady
76.2%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
81.6%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 68.5% • range ±9.5%
Variable
70.8%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
57.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.6% • range ±11.1%
Variable
82.6%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
92.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 71.8% • range ±18.4%
Volatile
50%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
86.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75.3%
30-day win rate
174 verified tips
75%
7-Day Rate
131
Tips Won
43
Tips Lost
174
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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