Direct Win Predictions
Direct Win Predictions For Today
16th Jul 2026
|
9:00 pm
Europa League Qualifier
Vestri vs Qarabag
|
0-3
|
Over 2.5 | 1.41 | Stats Analysis |
|
6:30 pm
Europa League Qualifier
Derry City vs CSKA Sofia
|
1-2
|
Over 1.5 | 1.20 | Stats Analysis |
|
5:30 pm
Conference League Qualifier
RFS vs Glentoran
|
2-0
|
1 | 1.42 | Stats Analysis |
|
7:15 pm
Europa League Qualifier
Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina
|
3-0
|
1 | 1.45 | Stats Analysis |
|
5:30 pm
Conference League Qualifier
Levadia vs Caernarfon
|
5-0
|
1 | 1.20 | Stats Analysis |
|
5:00 pm
Conference League Qualifier
Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk
|
1-0
|
1 | 1.25 | Stats Analysis |
|
6:00 pm
Conference League Qualifier
Zalgiris vs Petrovac
|
2-1
|
1 | 1.37 | Stats Analysis |
|
8:15 pm
Iceland Division 1
Afturelding vs Leiknir
|
3-2
|
1 | 1.37 | Stats Analysis |
Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 22 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 74.8% • evidence-based
Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 1.5
Norway Eliteserien
6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1
Ecuador Liga Pro
10:30 pm
Supported
Score: 72/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
1
Argentina Reserve League
11:00 pm
Supported
Score: 65/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Argentina Reserve League has been a difficult competition in the historical record (60%). Factor this into your assessment. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
1
Australia NPL ACT
10:30 am
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
1
Conference League Qualifier
6:45 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
2
Copa Do Brasil Women
11:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
2
Argentina Primera Women
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 62/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way. Argentina Primera Women is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
2
Conference League Qualifier
8:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 59/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (78%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Lillestrom vs Viking
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). In Argentina Reserve League, our record stands at 60% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
60% in Argentina Reserve League
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Basaksehir vs Inter Turku
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (229 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1
50% probability
83.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 180 wins from 229 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Botafogo W vs Bragantino W
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 2
20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 50 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lanus W vs San Lorenzo W
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). In Argentina Primera Women, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 2
20% probability
100% in Argentina Primera Women
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 50 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zeleznicar Pancevo vs Braga
2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 78% over the last 90 days (50 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78% on 2
20% probability
83.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 39 wins from 50 settled tips (78%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta | 2 @1.23 |
0-4 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch | 2 @1.17 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord | 1 @1.28 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor | 1 @1.20 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup Uni X Labs vs Baranovici | 2 @1.33 |
1-4 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse | 1 @1.19 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • China Super League Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port | Over 2.5 @1.35 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Ireland FA Cup Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City | 1X @1.10 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Slovenia PRVA Liga Celje vs Mura | Over 2.5 @1.46 |
2-2 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City | 1 @1.39 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 17 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Throttur Vogar | 1 @1.30 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vestri vs Qarabag | Over 2.5 @1.41 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Derry City vs CSKA Sofia | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier RFS vs Glentoran | 1 @1.42 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina | 1 @1.45 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Levadia vs Caernarfon | 1 @1.20 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk | 1 @1.25 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zalgiris vs Petrovac | 1 @1.37 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Afturelding vs Leiknir | 1 @1.37 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Patro Eisden vs St Truiden | Over 2.5 @1.33 |
0-4 ✔
|
74.8%
Excellent
Won (119)
74.8%
Lost (40)
25.2%
119W
40L
119
Won
40
Lost
159
Settled
1X
Top market
11W
/
3L
• 14 tips
78.6%
Over 2.5
Top market
20W
/
6L
• 26 tips
76.9%
1
Top market
58W
/
19L
• 77 tips
75.3%
2
Top market
14W
/
5L
• 19 tips
73.7%
Over 1.5
Top market
14W
/
6L
• 20 tips
70%
X2
Solid
2W
/
1L
• 3 tips
66.7%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 84% | 87% | 75% | 70% | 74% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 69% | 100% | 82% | 88% | 86% | 100% | — | 84% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 71% | 80% | 73% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 63% | 67% | 88% | 67% | 100% | — | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 68% | 72% | 68% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 70% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 83.3%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+16.7pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 82.4%100%
82.4%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
229 tips
Accuracy
78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
180W / 49L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
58 tips
Accuracy
67.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
39W / 19L
3
2
Volume
50 tips
Accuracy
78%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
39W / 11L
4
1X
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
83.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
31W / 6L
5
Over 1.5
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
86.2%
Accuracy
25
Won
4
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul 2026 | Marupe vs Metta Latvia Nakotnes liga | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers Canadian Premier League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 18 Jul 2026 | FC Slonim vs Isloch Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Viking vs Sandefjord Norway Eliteserien | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Throttur vs Volsungor Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Uni X Labs vs Baranovici Belarusian Cup | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 18 Jul 2026 | Shelbourne W vs Cork City W Ireland National League Women | 1 | − Void |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse Bulgaria EFBET League | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port China Super League | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City Ireland FA Cup | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Celje vs Mura Slovenia PRVA Liga | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City Australia Victoria PL | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Flora vs Nomme Utd Estonia Meistriliiga | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren China Super League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 17 Jul 2026 | Haukar vs Throttur Vogar Iceland Division 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Vestri vs Qarabag Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Europa League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | RFS vs Glentoran Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Levadia vs Caernarfon Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Zalgiris vs Petrovac Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Afturelding vs Leiknir Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Patro Eisden vs St Truiden Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W Iceland Besta deild Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Lyon vs Servette Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk UCL Qualifiers | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears Australia NPL Northern NSW | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20 Brazil Catarinense U20 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus Brazil Catarinense 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 78.6% • range ±2.5%
Steady
75.3%
0-30d
80.2%
30-60d
80.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 78.8% • range ±4%
Steady
73.7%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
81.8%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1X
avg 84.7% • range ±5.2%
Steady
78.6%
0-30d
86.7%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 66.8% • range ±7.9%
Variable
76.9%
0-30d
61.1%
30-60d
62.5%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 81.7% • range ±10.9%
Variable
70%
0-30d
91.7%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
X2
avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
66.7%
0-30d
33.3%
30-60d
—
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
74.8%
30-day win rate
159 verified tips
86.2%
7-Day Rate
119
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
159
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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