Direct Win Predictions

Direct Win Predictions For Today


23rd Jul 2026

7:00 pm Europa League Qualifiers
Twente vs Ferencvaros
VS
1X 1.11 Stats Analysis
6:30 pm Conference League Qualifiers
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
VS
1 1.30 Stats Analysis
6:45 pm Conference League Qualifiers
FCSB vs Auda
VS
1 1.21 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Conference League Qualifiers
Bate vs Sion
VS
2 1.25 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Europa League Qualifiers
Besiktas vs Midtjylland
VS
Over 1.5 1.21 Stats Analysis
7:30 pm Conference League Qualifiers
Lugano vs Dukagjini
VS
1 1.20 Stats Analysis
8:00 pm Conference League Qualifiers
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
VS
1 1.18 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Thu 23 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Besiktas vs Midtjylland
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
90%
prob
Solid Pick
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1 Conference League Qualifiers 8:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1 Conference League Qualifiers 7:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
FCSB vs Auda
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:45 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:30 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Bate vs Sion
2 Conference League Qualifiers 6:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Thursday • site avg 75.8% • evidence-based
Besiktas vs Midtjylland
Over 1.5 Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (79.5%). No significant deviation either way.
Twente vs Ferencvaros
1X Europa League Qualifiers 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (83.3% vs 75.8%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen
1 Conference League Qualifiers 8:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Lugano vs Dukagjini
1 Conference League Qualifiers 7:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
FCSB vs Auda
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:45 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes
1 Conference League Qualifiers 6:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Bate vs Sion
2 Conference League Qualifiers 6:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 57/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Besiktas vs Midtjylland Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 79.5% over the last 90 days (39 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.5% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 31 wins from 39 settled tips (79.5%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Twente vs Ferencvaros 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on 1X 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 36 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Partizan vs UNA Strassen 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lugano vs Dukagjini 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
FCSB vs Auda 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (230 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 182 wins from 230 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bate vs Sion 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 37 wins from 48 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

21 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Goteborg vs Levadia Over 1.5 @1.19
1-2
21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5 @1.20
1-1
21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan Over 2.5 @1.38
2-2
21 Jul 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch 1 @1.35
2-1
21 Jul 2026 • China FA Cup Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu 1 @1.09
4-1
21 Jul 2026 • UCL Qualifiers Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps 1 @1.13
3-0
18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta 2 @1.23
0-4
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch 2 @1.17
0-1
18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord 1 @1.28
2-1
18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor 1 @1.20
1-0
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup Uni X Labs vs Baranovici 2 @1.33
1-4
17 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse 1 @1.19
2-1
17 Jul 2026 • China Super League Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port Over 2.5 @1.35
2-2
17 Jul 2026 • Ireland FA Cup Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City 1X @1.10
4-1
17 Jul 2026 • Slovenia PRVA Liga Celje vs Mura Over 2.5 @1.46
2-2
17 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City 1 @1.39
2-0
17 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Throttur Vogar 1 @1.30
2-1
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vestri vs Qarabag Over 2.5 @1.41
0-3
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Over 1.5 @1.20
1-2
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier RFS vs Glentoran 1 @1.42
2-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 157 settled tips
75.8%
Excellent
Won (119) 75.8%
Lost (38) 24.2%
119W
38L
119
Won
38
Lost
157
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
X2 Top market
2W / 0L • 2 tips
100%
1X Top market
10W / 3L • 13 tips
76.9%
Over 2.5 Top market
20W / 6L • 26 tips
76.9%
1 Top market
59W / 18L • 77 tips
76.6%
2 Top market
13W / 5L • 18 tips
72.2%
Over 1.5 Top market
15W / 6L • 21 tips
71.4%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 85% 87% 75% 70% 74% 74% 77%
1X 69% 100% 82% 88% 86% 100% 84%
2 92% 75% 75% 64% 60% 71% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 78% 70% 67% 88% 67% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 69% 70% 72% 68% 67% 75% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 85.7%100%
100%
recent
+14.3pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 230 tips
Accuracy 79.1%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 182W / 48L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 68.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 18L
3
2
Volume 48 tips
Accuracy 77.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 37W / 11L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 39 tips
Accuracy 79.5%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 8L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 6L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
89.3%
Accuracy
25
Won
3
Lost
2
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
21 Jul 2026Goteborg vs Levadia
Conference League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
21 Jul 2026Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
UCL Qualifiers
Over 1.5✓ Won
21 Jul 2026Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
China FA Cup
Over 2.5✓ Won
21 Jul 2026Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
Uzbekistan Super League
1✓ Won
21 Jul 2026Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
China FA Cup
1✓ Won
21 Jul 2026Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
Copa Colombia
1− Void
21 Jul 2026Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
UCL Qualifiers
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Marupe vs Metta
Latvia Nakotnes liga
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
1✗ Lost
18 Jul 2026FC Slonim vs Isloch
Belarusian Cup
2✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 79% • range ±2.3%
Steady
76.6%
0-30d
79.3%
30-60d
81.1%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 77% • range ±4.4%
Steady
72.2%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
77.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 84.2% • range ±5.6%
Steady
76.9%
0-30d
88.2%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 79.8% • range ±6.6%
Variable
71.4%
0-30d
84.6%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 68.1% • range ±6.9%
Variable
76.9%
0-30d
63.2%
30-60d
64.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75.8%
30-day win rate
157 verified tips
89.3%
7-Day Rate
119
Tips Won
38
Tips Lost
157
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


Get Expert Football Predictions

Are you tired of pouring over stats and match previews, only to see your football bets go the wrong way?

Here at Surewinsfortoday, our team of passionate football analysts dedicates itself to one goal: helping you win more bets. Check out some of our high-confidence direct win predictions for today’s matches:

For years, we’ve been analyzing historical data, team performance, and other essential factors to develop a proven system for generating highly accurate direct win predictions.

Our expertise leverages in-depth statistical analysis and the knowledge of our veteran analysts to provide you with a trustworthy edge on the pitch. ​If you want to improve your winning chances, we can be your source for consistent wins.

Direct Win Predictions

Don’t see a match you’re interested in? Our comprehensive predictions list covers a wide range of today’s fixtures across major leagues. With Surewinsfortoday, you can:

  • Increase your win rate
  • Boost your confidence
  • Experience the winning feeling

Here’s what some of our satisfied readers are saying:

Thanks to Surewinsfortoday’s accurate predictions, my weekend football betting has become significantly more enjoyable and profitable!” – John S.

“I used to spend hours researching matches, but Surewinsfortoday’s insights have saved me tons of time and helped me win more bets.” – Sarah K.

Our passionate team of analysts has thoroughly analyzed the data, factoring in everything from past performance and team form to player fitness and head-to-head records.

This dedication allows us to identify high-confidence picks with a strong chance of success. Don’t just take our word for it, our proven track record speaks volumes.

This season alone, our direct win predictions have boasted a 72% accuracy rate, helping countless users celebrate victories and maximize their winnings. Beyond today’s picks, we offer a wide range of football betting resources, including:

  • Weekend football predictions
  • Football betting tips
  • Football accumulators

Today’s Sure Wins With Big Odds

Also, we’re all about empowering you to make informed decisions and maximize your returns.

That’s why our team of dynamic analysts scours the data, uncovering high-confidence direct win picks with attractive odds that could lead to huge returns

We exceed the obvious and discover hidden betting gems. Today, we’ve identified several underdog bets with the potential for high payouts.

These aren’t necessarily “sure wins,” but our analysis suggests they offer a strong chance of success at odds that could deliver a substantial Return on Investment (ROI). A glimpse into today’s sure wins with big odds has been posted above.

You can also explore our comprehensive list of today’s predictions featuring a variety of high-value picks with big odds across different leagues.

Here’s what sets us apart:

  • Expert Analysis: Our predictions are backed by in-depth statistical analysis, not just squats.
  • Value-Driven Approach: We focus on identifying picks with a strong chance of success at favorable odds, maximizing your potential return.
  • Transparency and Trust: We explain the reasoning behind our picks, empowering you to make an informed decision

Bookmark Surewinsfortoday and get access to:

  • Exclusive early access to our daily high-odds predictions.
  • Detailed analysis for each pick, giving you valuable insights into the reasoning behind our selections.
18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.