Football Tips Today

Football Tips Today


16th May 2026

--:-- Bundesliga
Bayern Munich vs FC Koln
5-1
1 1.15 Stats Analysis
--:-- Norway Eliteserien
Viking vs Start
6-3
1 1.19 Stats Analysis
--:-- Lithuania TopLyga
Kauno Zalgiris vs Siauliai
0-0
1 1.22 Stats Analysis
--:-- Portugal Liga
Sporting CP vs Gil Vicente
3-0
Over 2.5 1.40 Stats Analysis
--:-- Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Neom SC
2-0
1 1.18 Stats Analysis
--:-- Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Kholood
3-0
1 1.20 Stats Analysis
--:-- AFC Champions League 2
Al Nassr vs Gamba Osaka
0-1
1 1.47 Stats Analysis
--:-- Bahrain Premier League
Al Muharraq vs Aali Club
1-0
1 1.18 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 29 Aug 2026 • by win probability
Solid Pick
58%
prob
Solid Pick
57%
prob
Solid Pick
52%
prob
Speculative
48%
prob
Speculative
47%
prob
Speculative
46%
prob
Speculative
22%
prob
Speculative
16%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 78.8% • evidence-based
Supported
Score: 71/100
At 58%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal.
Supported
Score: 70/100
A stated probability of 57% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Supported
Score: 69/100
A stated probability of 52% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 48% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 47% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 46% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Marginal
Score: 58/100
A stated probability of 22% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 16% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Club Africain vs Hamam-Sousse
Our model assigns a win probability of 58% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 58%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Celtic vs Falkirk
Our model assigns a win probability of 57% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 57%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Galatasaray vs Goztepe
Our model assigns a win probability of 52% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 52%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ordabasy vs Kyzylzhar
Our model assigns a win probability of 48% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 48%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
LASK vs Altach
Our model assigns a win probability of 47% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 47%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Juventus vs Parma
Our model assigns a win probability of 46% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 46%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Limavady vs Linfield
Our model assigns a win probability of 22% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 22%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto
Our model assigns a win probability of 16% to this outcome. These factors together support the recommendation.
We do not yet have a statistically significant sample for this market type tips (minimum 5 required). The recommendation is based primarily on the stated win probability of 16%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

25 Aug 2026 • Argentina Primera B Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo 1 @1.42
2-0
25 Aug 2026 • South Africa Premiership Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune 1 @1.31
2-0
25 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Afturelding vs Grotta 1 @1.39
2-0
25 Aug 2026 • Czech MOL Cup Zapy vs Bohemians 2 @1.34
2-3
25 Aug 2026 • Sweden Superettan Oster vs Sundsvall 1X @1.11
1-0
25 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Sabah Baku vs Hapoel Beer Sheva Over 1.5 @1.11
5-2
25 Aug 2026 • Chile Women Premier League Deportes Temuco W vs Recoleta W Over 2.5 @1.40
2-1
24 Aug 2026 • Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania 1 @1.12
4-0
24 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Jong Utrecht vs Heracles Over 2.5 @1.48
1-6
24 Aug 2026 • Paraguay Copa De Primera Libertad Asuncion vs San Lorenzo 1 @1.29
1-0
24 Aug 2026 • Denmark Superliga Brondby vs Silkeborg 1 @1.41
3-1
24 Aug 2026 • Russia FNL Pari NN vs SKA Khabarovsk 1 @1.28
4-2
24 Aug 2026 • Colombia Primera B Patriotas vs Atletico FC 1 @1.23
2-0
24 Aug 2026 • Esiliiga B Levadia U19 vs Legion 1 @1.22
1-0
23 Aug 2026 • Egypt Premier League Al Ahly vs Enppi 1 @1.27
3-2
23 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal FC Porto vs Arouca 1 @1.29
2-0
23 Aug 2026 • Denmark Superliga Midtjylland vs Randers FC 1 @1.52
1-0
23 Aug 2026 • Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Zrinjski vs Zeljeznicar 1 @1.34
2-0
23 Aug 2026 • La Liga Elche vs Barcelona 2 @1.28
0-5
23 Aug 2026 • Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH Borac Banja Luka vs Celik Zenica 1 @1.24
2-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 189 settled tips
78.8%
Excellent
Won (149) 78.8%
Lost (40) 21.2%
149W
40L
149
Won
40
Lost
189
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
1 Top market
90W / 22L • 112 tips
80.4%
2 Top market
16W / 4L • 20 tips
80%
Over 1.5 Top market
16W / 5L • 21 tips
76.2%
Over 2.5 Top market
22W / 7L • 29 tips
75.9%
1X Top market
5W / 2L • 7 tips
71.4%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 73% 81% 87% 76% 75% 73% 72% 77%
1X 72% 93% 73% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 82% 71% 81% 57% 75% 72% 86% 74%
BTTS
Over 1.5 69% 82% 75% 78% 75% 100% 78%
Over 2.5 73% 75% 69% 65% 73% 73% 83% 72%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Brazil Paulista U20
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 20%100%
20%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 63.2%100%
63.2%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 81.8%100%
81.8%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 291 tips
Accuracy 78%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 227W / 64L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 75 tips
Accuracy 73.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 55W / 20L
3
2
Volume 64 tips
Accuracy 79.7%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 51W / 13L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 77.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 13L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 75%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 9L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
82.8%
Accuracy
24
Won
5
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
25 Aug 2026CSKA Sofia II vs Ludogorets II
Bulgaria Vtora Liga
1✗ Lost
25 Aug 2026Arsenal Sarandi vs Ituzaingo
Argentina Primera B
1✓ Won
25 Aug 2026Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune
South Africa Premiership
1✓ Won
25 Aug 2026Afturelding vs Grotta
Iceland Division 1
1✓ Won
25 Aug 2026Zapy vs Bohemians
Czech MOL Cup
2✓ Won
25 Aug 2026Oster vs Sundsvall
Sweden Superettan
1X✓ Won
25 Aug 2026Sabah Baku vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
Champions League Qualifier
Over 1.5✓ Won
25 Aug 2026Deportes Temuco W vs Recoleta W
Chile Women Premier League
Over 2.5✓ Won
24 Aug 2026Inter Palmira W vs Atl. Nacional W
Colombia Liga Women
2✗ Lost
24 Aug 2026Young Africans vs JKT Tanzania
Tanzania Ligi Kuu Bara
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

Over 1.5 avg 78.2% • range ±1.9%
Steady
76.2%
0-30d
78.3%
30-60d
80%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 77.5% • range ±3.8%
Steady
80.4%
0-30d
72.8%
30-60d
79.2%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 78.7% • range ±4.8%
Steady
80%
0-30d
73.3%
30-60d
82.8%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 72.4% • range ±7.1%
Variable
75.9%
0-30d
77.8%
30-60d
63.6%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 72.9% • range ±15.3%
Volatile
71.4%
0-30d
58.3%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


78.8%
30-day win rate
189 verified tips
80%
7-Day Rate
149
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
189
Settled
Full Results →


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