Quality Football Prediction

Quality Football Prediction


17th Aug 2026

6:00 pm Israel Toto Cup
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
VS
Over 2.5 1.51 Stats Analysis
4:00 pm Latvian Cup
Auda vs Grobina
VS
1 1.40 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Iceland Division 1
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik
VS
Over 2.5 1.47 Stats Analysis
7:15 pm Bulgaria EFBET League
Arda vs Lok Sofia
VS
1X 1.18 Stats Analysis
4:30 pm Finland W Kansallinen Liiga
HJK W vs KUPS W
VS
1 1.43 Stats Analysis
6:00 pm Denmark Superliga
Brondby vs Sonderjyske
VS
1 1.36 Stats Analysis
5:00 pm Czech CHNL
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem
VS
Over 1.5 1.19 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Iceland Division 1
Grindavik vs Grotta
VS
Over 2.5 1.40 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Mon 17 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem
Over 1.5 Czech CHNL 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Grindavik vs Grotta
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Arda vs Lok Sofia
1X Bulgaria EFBET League 7:15 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Over 2.5 Israel Toto Cup 6:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Auda vs Grobina
1 Latvian Cup 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
HJK W vs KUPS W
1 Finland W Kansallinen Liiga 4:30 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Brondby vs Sonderjyske
1 Denmark Superliga 6:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Monday • site avg 75.3% • evidence-based
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem
Over 1.5 Czech CHNL 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Grindavik vs Grotta
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Arda vs Lok Sofia
1X Bulgaria EFBET League 7:15 pm
Strong case
Score: 77/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way.
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem
Over 2.5 Israel Toto Cup 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.4%). No significant deviation either way.
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik
Over 2.5 Iceland Division 1 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (70.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Auda vs Grobina
1 Latvian Cup 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
HJK W vs KUPS W
1 Finland W Kansallinen Liiga 4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.
Brondby vs Sonderjyske
1 Denmark Superliga 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.7%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Trinec vs Usti nad Labem Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.4% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 45 wins from 56 settled tips (80.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Grindavik vs Grotta Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.4% over the last 90 days (71 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 71 settled tips (70.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Arda vs Lok Sofia 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (35 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on 1X 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 27 wins from 35 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hap. Ramat Gan vs Beitar Jerusalem Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.4% over the last 90 days (71 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 71 settled tips (70.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
IR Reykjavik vs Njardvik Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 70.4% over the last 90 days (71 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
70.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 50 wins from 71 settled tips (70.4%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75.3%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Auda vs Grobina 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 273 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
HJK W vs KUPS W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 273 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Brondby vs Sonderjyske 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.7% over the last 90 days (273 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.7% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 212 wins from 273 settled tips (77.7%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.3%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL HB Torshavn vs Toftir 1 @1.25
2-0
16 Aug 2026 • Turkey Super Lig Besiktas vs Eyupspor 1 @1.35
1-0
16 Aug 2026 • Faroe Islands PL NSI Runavik vs Streymur 1 @1.24
4-2
16 Aug 2026 • Estonia Meistriliiga Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus Over 2.5 @1.38
3-1
16 Aug 2026 • Brasileiro Women Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W 2 @1.28
1-5
16 Aug 2026 • Hungary NB 1 Puskas Academy vs Paks Over 2.5 @1.42
3-2
15 Aug 2026 • Costa Rica Primera Division Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC 1 @1.37
2-1
15 Aug 2026 • Eredivisie Excelsior vs PSV Over 2.5 @1.36
1-2
15 Aug 2026 • Kazakhstan Premier League Ordabasy vs Altai 1 @1.20
3-1
15 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga KTP vs KaPa 1 @1.21
2-1
15 Aug 2026 • Armenia Premier League Ararat Armenia vs Van 1 @1.21
2-0
14 Aug 2026 • Liga Portugal Sporting CP vs Vitoria Guimaraes 1 @1.26
3-2
14 Aug 2026 • China Super League Shandong Taishan vs Qingdao Hainiu 1 @1.40
3-1
14 Aug 2026 • Coppa Italia Fiorentina vs Benevento 1 @1.23
4-1
14 Aug 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Ekranas vs FK Minija 2 @1.22
0-5
14 Aug 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Hviti 1 @1.27
3-1
14 Aug 2026 • Ireland FAI Cup Waterford vs Athlone 1 @1.40
2-1
14 Aug 2026 • Eerste Divisie Almere vs Jong PSV Over 2.5 @1.33
3-1
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Hajduk Split vs Zalgiris 1 @1.27
4-0
13 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Tromso vs CFR Cluj 1 @1.43
2-1

Verified Win Rate
Last 7 days • 56 settled tips
75%
Excellent
Won (42) 75%
Lost (14) 25%
42W
14L
42
Won
14
Lost
56
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
19W / 4L • 23 tips
82.6%
2 Top market
16W / 5L • 21 tips
76.2%
1 Top market
80W / 26L • 106 tips
75.5%
Over 2.5 Top market
19W / 7L • 26 tips
73.1%
1X Average
3W / 3L • 6 tips
50%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 76% 74% 73% 72% 76%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 81% 54% 69% 72% 83% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 75% 80% 73% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 72% 72% 68% 64% 73% 73% 83% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 68.4%100%
80%
recent
+11.6pp
Champions League Qualifier
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 42.9%100%
42.9%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
Lithuania I Lyga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 40%100%
40%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 273 tips
Accuracy 77.7%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 212W / 61L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 71 tips
Accuracy 70.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 50W / 21L
3
2
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 80.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 45W / 11L
5
1X
Volume 35 tips
Accuracy 77.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 27W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 5 tips
Accuracy 60%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 2L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
16 Aug 2026HB Torshavn vs Toftir
Faroe Islands PL
1✓ Won
16 Aug 2026Flora vs Kuressaare
Estonia Meistriliiga
1✗ Lost
16 Aug 2026Besiktas vs Eyupspor
Turkey Super Lig
1✓ Won
16 Aug 2026NSI Runavik vs Streymur
Faroe Islands PL
1✓ Won
16 Aug 2026Kalju vs Parnu JK Vaprus
Estonia Meistriliiga
Over 2.5✓ Won
16 Aug 2026Botafogo RJ W vs Sao Paulo W
Brasileiro Women
2✓ Won
16 Aug 2026Lazio vs Mantova
Coppa Italia
1✗ Lost
16 Aug 2026Puskas Academy vs Paks
Hungary NB 1
Over 2.5✓ Won
15 Aug 2026Alajulense vs Puntarenas FC
Costa Rica Primera Division
1✓ Won
15 Aug 2026Excelsior vs PSV
Eredivisie
Over 2.5✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

2 avg 77.1% • range ±1.4%
Steady
76.2%
0-30d
76.2%
30-60d
78.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1 avg 78% • range ±3%
Steady
75.5%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
81.6%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 69.3% • range ±9.5%
Variable
73.1%
0-30d
76.9%
30-60d
57.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.6% • range ±11.1%
Variable
82.6%
0-30d
70%
30-60d
92.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 71.8% • range ±18.4%
Volatile
50%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
86.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75.3%
30-day win rate
182 verified tips
75%
7-Day Rate
137
Tips Won
45
Tips Lost
182
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.