Quality Football Prediction

Quality Football Prediction



Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 11 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 6:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Yarmouk vs Burgan
Over 1.5 Kuwait Division 1 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union
Over 2.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
1 Kuwait Division 1 6:25 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
1 Copa Sudamericana 11:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkonen 4:30 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 77.6% • evidence-based
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Yarmouk vs Burgan
Over 1.5 Kuwait Division 1 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus
Over 1.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.8%). No significant deviation either way.
Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union
Over 2.5 Champions League Qualifier 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (69.4%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty
1 Kuwait Division 1 6:25 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20
1 Brazil Paulista U20 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Paulista U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip.
Boca Juniors vs Recoleta
1 Copa Sudamericana 11:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia
1 Finland Ykkonen 4:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.6%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Kauno Zalgiris vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.8% over the last 90 days (52 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 52 settled tips (80.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Yarmouk vs Burgan Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.8% over the last 90 days (52 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 52 settled tips (80.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Sabah Baku vs Aarhus Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.8% over the last 90 days (52 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.8% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 42 wins from 52 settled tips (80.8%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bodo Glimt vs Royale Union Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.4% over the last 90 days (62 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.4% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 43 wins from 62 settled tips (69.4%). This is below our site-wide average of 77.6%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Al Sulaibikhat vs Sporty 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Ibrachina U20 vs Santo Andre U20 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). In Brazil Paulista U20, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability 100% in Brazil Paulista U20
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Boca Juniors vs Recoleta 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Rovaniemi vs KuPS Akatemia 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.6% over the last 90 days (266 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.6% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 209 wins from 266 settled tips (78.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 77.6%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

08 Aug 2026 • Lithuania TOPLYGA Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann 1 @1.25
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Israel Toto Cup Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa 2 @1.42
0-1
08 Aug 2026 • Ireland N'League Women Shelbourne W vs Peamount W 1 @1.30
2-0
08 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional The Strongest vs Independiente 1 @1.16
1-2
08 Aug 2026 • Kansallinen Liiga Women Aland Utd W vs Ilves W 1 @1.36
3-0
08 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Super League Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum 1 @1.18
5-0
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Salzburg vs Pafos 1X @1.15
1-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Twente vs Dun Streda 1 @1.20
6-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Lugano vs NSI Runavik 1 @1.13
2-0
06 Aug 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Debrecen vs Copenhagen Over 1.5 @1.20
0-3
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Benfica vs Hearts 1 @1.14
6-1
06 Aug 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Lech Poznan vs Klaksvik 1 @1.16
1-0
05 Aug 2026 • Champions League Qualifier Aarhus vs Sabah Baku Over 1.5 @1.23
2-1
05 Aug 2026 • Copa Betano Do Brasil Cruzeiro vs Chapecoense-SC 1 @1.36
2-0
05 Aug 2026 • Finland Ykkonen Tampere Utd vs KPV Kokkola 1 @1.15
6-0
05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Krasnodar vs Akhmat Grozny 1X @1.19
1-1
05 Aug 2026 • Russian Cup Spartak Moscow vs Orenburg 1 @1.38
5-1
04 Aug 2026 • Uzbekistan Pro Liga Kattaqurgon vs Pakhtakor II 1 @1.19
2-0
04 Aug 2026 • Luxembourg BGL Ligue UNA Strassen vs Victoria Rosport 1 @1.42
4-0
04 Aug 2026 • Bolivia Division Profesional Independiente vs Aurora Over 1.5 @1.12
1-1

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 156 settled tips
77.6%
Excellent
Won (121) 77.6%
Lost (35) 22.4%
121W
35L
121
Won
35
Lost
156
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
Over 1.5 Top market
16W / 4L • 20 tips
80%
1 Top market
71W / 20L • 91 tips
78%
Over 2.5 Top market
14W / 4L • 18 tips
77.8%
2 Top market
13W / 4L • 17 tips
76.5%
1X Top market
7W / 3L • 10 tips
70%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 70% 81% 86% 75% 73% 74% 74% 77%
1X 71% 100% 71% 80% 86% 100% 81%
2 88% 64% 80% 58% 67% 72% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 82% 75% 69% 82% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 67% 71% 71% 65% 71% 70% 75% 69%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
62.5%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Nakotnes liga
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 33.3%100%
33.3%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 72.2%100%
60%
recent
-12.2pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 88.9%100%
75%
recent
-13.9pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 71.4%100%
33.3%
recent
-38.1pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 266 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 209W / 57L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 62 tips
Accuracy 69.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 43W / 19L
3
2
Volume 58 tips
Accuracy 75.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 44W / 14L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 52 tips
Accuracy 80.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 42W / 10L
5
1X
Volume 38 tips
Accuracy 78.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 30W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
8 Aug 2026Kauno Zalgiris vs Hegelmann
Lithuania TOPLYGA
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Sakhnin vs Maccabi Haifa
Israel Toto Cup
2✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Shelbourne W vs Peamount W
Ireland N'League Women
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026PSV vs Sittard
Eredivisie
1✗ Lost
8 Aug 2026The Strongest vs Independiente
Bolivia Division Profesional
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026Aland Utd W vs Ilves W
Kansallinen Liiga Women
1✓ Won
8 Aug 2026FK Sarajevo vs Radnik Bijeljina
Bosnia WWIN Liga BiH
1✗ Lost
8 Aug 2026Neftchi Fargona vs Qizilqum
Uzbekistan Super League
1✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Salzburg vs Pafos
Europa League Qualifier
1X✓ Won
6 Aug 2026Twente vs Dun Streda
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 78.7% • range ±3.4%
Steady
78%
0-30d
75.6%
30-60d
82.4%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 76.6% • range ±4.6%
Steady
76.5%
0-30d
72%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 69.9% • range ±6.3%
Variable
77.8%
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
65.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 77% • range ±9.1%
Variable
70%
0-30d
72.7%
30-60d
88.2%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.7% • range ±10.4%
Variable
80%
0-30d
72.2%
30-60d
92.9%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

X2 avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
0-30d
66.7%
30-60d
33.3%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


77.6%
30-day win rate
156 verified tips
75%
7-Day Rate
121
Tips Won
35
Tips Lost
156
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.