Quality Football Prediction

Quality Football Prediction



Today's Tips Ranked
Sat 1 Aug 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy
Over 2.5 Swiss Challenge League 5:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Thun vs Young Boys
Over 2.5 Swiss Super League 7:30 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo
1 Argentina Primera B 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Valmiera vs RFS 2
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 12:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1 Bulgaria EFBET League 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
1 Brasileiro Women 7:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
U. Catolica vs Tecnico U.
1 Ecuador Liga Pro 10:30 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Saturday • site avg 75% • evidence-based
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy
Over 2.5 Swiss Challenge League 5:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Thun vs Young Boys
Over 2.5 Swiss Super League 7:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 is running in line with the site average (71.9%). No significant deviation either way.
Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo
1 Argentina Primera B 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Valmiera vs RFS 2
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 12:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne
1 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia
1 Bulgaria EFBET League 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W
1 Brasileiro Women 7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.
U. Catolica vs Tecnico U.
1 Ecuador Liga Pro 10:30 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (77.4%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Aarau vs Lausanne Ouchy Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.9% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.9% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 41 wins from 57 settled tips (71.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Thun vs Young Boys Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 71.9% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
71.9% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 41 wins from 57 settled tips (71.9%). This is broadly in line with our site-wide average of 75%.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Talleres (R.E) vs Ituzaingo 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (239 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 239 settled tips (77.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Valmiera vs RFS 2 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (239 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 239 settled tips (77.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Leevon PPK vs Rezekne 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (239 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 239 settled tips (77.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levski Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (239 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 239 settled tips (77.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Cruzeiro W vs Botafogo RJ W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (239 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 239 settled tips (77.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 77.4% over the last 90 days (239 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.4% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 185 wins from 239 settled tips (77.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 75%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

31 Jul 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20 2 @1.28
1-2
31 Jul 2026 • Croatia HNL Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo 1 @1.27
2-0
31 Jul 2026 • Finland Ykkosliiga KTP vs SJK Akatemia 1 @1.23
2-1
31 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL 2 Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City 1 @1.31
3-2
31 Jul 2026 • Swiss Challenge League Wil vs Xamax Over 2.5 @1.45
1-2
31 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom 1 @1.25
4-0
31 Jul 2026 • Australia NSW League One Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans 2 @1.40
1-2
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Ajax vs Vojvodina 1 @1.17
4-1
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Noah vs Zimbru Chisinau 1 @1.29
2-1
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Braga vs Zeleznicar Pancevo 1 @1.15
4-0
30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Sheriff Tiraspol 1 @1.37
1-0
30 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Atletic Escaldes vs Vaduz Over 1.5 @1.19
0-2
30 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Twente Over 1.5 @1.13
2-2
29 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers FC Copenhagen vs Polissya Zhytomyr Over 1.5 @1.19
2-1
29 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Thor/KA W 1 @1.16
2-0
29 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Hoffenheim vs Holstein Kiel Over 2.5 @1.42
3-1
29 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Bayern Leverkusen vs Genk Over 2.5 @1.42
4-0
29 Jul 2026 • Indonesia President Cup Persebaya vs PSMS Medan 1 @1.22
1-0
28 Jul 2026 • Lebanon Premier League Jwayya vs Al Ansar 2 @1.33
1-2
28 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Apollon vs Dila Gori 1 @1.35
3-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 164 settled tips
75%
Excellent
Won (123) 75%
Lost (41) 25%
123W
41L
123
Won
41
Lost
164
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
X2 Top market
2W / 0L • 2 tips
100%
Over 2.5 Top market
19W / 4L • 23 tips
82.6%
2 Top market
13W / 4L • 17 tips
76.5%
Over 1.5 Top market
16W / 5L • 21 tips
76.2%
1 Top market
67W / 23L • 90 tips
74.4%
1X Average
6W / 5L • 11 tips
54.5%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 67% 80% 85% 74% 73% 74% 74% 76%
1X 71% 100% 75% 78% 86% 100% 82%
2 92% 70% 80% 58% 67% 71% 80% 74%
BTTS
Over 1.5 78% 70% 73% 85% 75% 100% 80%
Over 2.5 67% 70% 75% 68% 71% 75% 75% 71%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 62.5%100%
66.7%
recent
+4.2pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 75%100%
75%
recent
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 73.3%100%
66.7%
recent
-6.6pp
UCL Qualifiers
0%baseline 42.9%100%
0%
recent
-42.9pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 239 tips
Accuracy 77.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 185W / 54L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 57 tips
Accuracy 71.9%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 41W / 16L
3
2
Volume 53 tips
Accuracy 77.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 41W / 12L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 44 tips
Accuracy 81.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 36W / 8L
5
1X
Volume 35 tips
Accuracy 80%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 28W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
70%
Accuracy
21
Won
9
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
31 Jul 2026Bandeirante U20 vs Ibrachina U20
Brazil Paulista U20
2✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Dinamo Zagreb vs Slaven Belupo
Croatia HNL
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026KTP vs SJK Akatemia
Finland Ykkosliiga
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Essendon Royals SC vs Altona City
Australia Victoria PL 2
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Wil vs Xamax
Swiss Challenge League
Over 2.5✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Bodo Glimt vs Lillestrom
Norway Eliteserien
1✓ Won
31 Jul 2026Prospect United vs Blacktown Spartans
Australia NSW League One
2✓ Won
30 Jul 2026Panathinaikos vs Paks
Conference League Qualifier
1✗ Lost
30 Jul 2026Gyor vs Bissen
Conference League Qualifier
1✗ Lost
30 Jul 2026Ajax vs Vojvodina
Conference League Qualifier
1✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77.9% • range ±3.1%
Steady
74.4%
0-30d
78.6%
30-60d
80.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 74.2% • range ±6.3%
Variable
76.5%
0-30d
79.3%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 86.2% • range ±11.9%
Variable
76.2%
0-30d
82.4%
30-60d
100%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 2.5 avg 69.6% • range ±12.1%
Variable
82.6%
0-30d
68%
30-60d
58.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 80.7% • range ±22.8%
Volatile
54.5%
0-30d
87.5%
30-60d
100%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


75%
30-day win rate
164 verified tips
69.8%
7-Day Rate
123
Tips Won
41
Tips Lost
164
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.