Quality Football Prediction

Quality Football Prediction



Today's Tips Ranked
Mon 27 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Valmiera vs Riga FC 2
Over 2.5 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 4:00 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari
1X Romania Super Liga 4:30 pm
80%
prob
High Conf.
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
Over 2.5 Latvia Virsliga 4:00 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
South Africa W vs Tanzania W
1 ACN Women 6:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
1 Kazakhstan Women League 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Bahia W vs Botafogo W
1 Brasileiro Women 11:00 pm
50%
prob
Speculative
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
2 Bulgaria EFBET League 5:00 pm
20%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Monday • site avg 76.7% • evidence-based
Valmiera vs Riga FC 2
Over 2.5 Latvia Nakotnes Liga 4:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (69.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari
1X Romania Super Liga 4:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 78/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X is running in line with the site average (80.6%). No significant deviation either way.
Tukums 2000 vs RFS
Over 2.5 Latvia Virsliga 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (69.6%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Latvia Virsliga has been a difficult competition in the historical record (50%). Factor this into your assessment.
South Africa W vs Tanzania W
1 ACN Women 6:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W
1 Kazakhstan Women League 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Bahia W vs Botafogo W
1 Brasileiro Women 11:00 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets
2 Bulgaria EFBET League 5:00 pm
Marginal
Score: 56/100
A stated probability of 20% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 2 is running in line with the site average (77.1%). No significant deviation either way.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Valmiera vs Riga FC 2 Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 39 wins from 56 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 76.7%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
CFR Cluj vs FC Voluntari 1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 80.6% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.6% on 1X 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 29 wins from 36 settled tips (80.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Tukums 2000 vs RFS Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 69.6% over the last 90 days (56 tips graded). In Latvia Virsliga, our record stands at 50% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
69.6% on Over 2.5 80% probability 50% in Latvia Virsliga
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 39 wins from 56 settled tips (69.6%). This is below our site-wide average of 76.7%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
South Africa W vs Tanzania W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (234 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 234 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Zhenis Astana W vs Yelimay Semey W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (234 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 234 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Bahia W vs Botafogo W 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.2% over the last 90 days (234 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.2% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 183 wins from 234 settled tips (78.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Dunav Ruse vs Ludogorets 2
Our model assigns a win probability of 20% to this outcome. Historically, 2 tips have settled at 77.1% over the last 90 days (48 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
77.1% on 2 20% probability
Over the last 90 days, 2 tips have returned 37 wins from 48 settled tips (77.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 76.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

25 Jul 2026 • Russia Premier League Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow 1 @1.34
3-0
25 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense 2 Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC 1 @1.38
3-0
25 Jul 2026 • Sweden Allsvenskan Kalmar vs Mjallby Over 1.5 @1.28
2-1
25 Jul 2026 • Lithuania I Lyga Neptunas vs Siauliai 2 1 @1.22
2-1
25 Jul 2026 • Norway Div 2 G2 Levanger vs Ull/Kisa 1 @1.21
3-0
24 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik 1 @1.24
5-1
24 Jul 2026 • Australia SA State League Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide 1 @1.35
5-1
24 Jul 2026 • Hungary NB 1 Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest Over 1.5 @1.21
2-1
24 Jul 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Guarani U20 vs Tanabi U20 1 @1.26
1-0
24 Jul 2026 • Russia Youth League CSKA Moscow U19 vs Ural U19 Over 2.5 @1.35
4-1
24 Jul 2026 • Brazil Paulista U20 Ibrachina U20 vs Velo Clube U20 1 @1.26
5-0
24 Jul 2026 • Australia NPL Victoria Preston Lions vs Bentleigh Greens 1 @1.31
1-0
23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Vaduz vs Atletic Escaldes 1 @1.30
4-0
23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Lugano vs Dukagjini 1 @1.20
1-0
23 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifiers Partizan vs UNA Strassen 1 @1.18
4-0
22 Jul 2026 • Australia NPL ACT Tuggeranong Utd vs Canberra White Eagles 1 @1.34
2-1
22 Jul 2026 • Copa Do Brasil Women Botafogo W vs Bragantino W 2 @1.45
0-2
22 Jul 2026 • Ecuador Liga Pro Ind. del Valle vs Tecnico U 1 @1.18
3-0
22 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Lillestrom vs Viking Over 1.5 @1.13
1-2
22 Jul 2026 • Argentina Reserve League River Plate 2 vs Barracas Central 2 1 @1.37
4-0

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 163 settled tips
76.7%
Excellent
Won (125) 76.7%
Lost (38) 23.3%
125W
38L
125
Won
38
Lost
163
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
X2 Top market
2W / 0L • 2 tips
100%
2 Top market
13W / 3L • 16 tips
81.3%
Over 2.5 Top market
19W / 5L • 24 tips
79.2%
1 Top market
68W / 21L • 89 tips
76.4%
Over 1.5 Top market
16W / 5L • 21 tips
76.2%
1X Solid
7W / 4L • 11 tips
63.6%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 85% 86% 75% 71% 74% 74% 77%
1X 69% 100% 82% 78% 86% 100% 83%
2 92% 75% 80% 58% 60% 71% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 78% 70% 70% 83% 75% 100% 79%
Over 2.5 69% 70% 72% 68% 69% 75% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifiers
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
+0pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 77.8%100%
66.7%
recent
-11.1pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 234 tips
Accuracy 78.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 183W / 51L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 56 tips
Accuracy 69.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 17L
3
2
Volume 48 tips
Accuracy 77.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 37W / 11L
4
Over 1.5
Volume 42 tips
Accuracy 78.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 33W / 9L
5
1X
Volume 36 tips
Accuracy 80.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 7L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
73.3%
Accuracy
22
Won
8
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
25 Jul 2026Spartak Moscow vs Rodina Moscow
Russia Premier League
1✓ Won
25 Jul 2026Metropolitano vs Fluminense-SC
Brazil Catarinense 2
1✓ Won
25 Jul 2026Kalmar vs Mjallby
Sweden Allsvenskan
Over 1.5✓ Won
25 Jul 2026Neptunas vs Siauliai 2
Lithuania I Lyga
1✓ Won
25 Jul 2026Shandong Taishan B vs Changchun Xidu
China League Two
1✗ Lost
25 Jul 2026Riga Mariners vs JFK Ventspils
Latvia Nakotnes Liga
1✗ Lost
25 Jul 2026Levanger vs Ull/Kisa
Norway Div 2 G2
1✓ Won
24 Jul 2026Vikingur Reykjavik vs Keflavik
Iceland Besta deild karla
1✓ Won
24 Jul 2026Adelaide Olympic vs South Adelaide
Australia SA State League
1✓ Won
24 Jul 2026Nyiregyhaza vs Ujpest
Hungary NB 1
Over 1.5✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 77.4% • range ±0.9%
Steady
76.4%
0-30d
78.3%
30-60d
77.4%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 79.1% • range ±2.7%
Steady
81.3%
0-30d
75.9%
30-60d
80%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 1.5 avg 81.1% • range ±4.8%
Steady
76.2%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 67.8% • range ±9.6%
Variable
79.2%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
64.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

1X avg 79.4% • range ±12.7%
Volatile
63.6%
0-30d
88.9%
30-60d
85.7%
60-90d

Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


76.7%
30-day win rate
163 verified tips
77.8%
7-Day Rate
125
Tips Won
38
Tips Lost
163
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.