Quality Football Prediction

Quality Football Prediction


15th Jul 2026

5:30 pm Club Friendly
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
0-4
Over 2.5 1.33 Stats Analysis
8:15 pm Iceland Besta deild Women
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
4-1
1 1.18 Stats Analysis
5:30 pm Club Friendly
Lyon vs Servette
2-1
Over 2.5 1.49 Stats Analysis
6:30 pm UCL Qualifiers
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
1-0
Over 1.5 1.15 Stats Analysis
11:00 am Australia NPL Northern NSW
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
0-5
Over 2.5 1.43 Stats Analysis
7:00 pm Brazil Catarinense U20
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
1-0
1 1.39 Stats Analysis
11:30 pm Brazil Catarinense 2
Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
1-0
1 1.23 Stats Analysis

Today's Tips Ranked
Tue 21 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers 7:00 pm
90%
prob
High Conf.
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
Over 2.5 China FA Cup 12:35 pm
80%
prob
Solid Pick
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
1 UCL Qualifiers 5:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
1 Uzbekistan Super League 4:00 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
1 China FA Cup 12:35 pm
50%
prob
Solid Pick
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia 9:00 pm
50%
prob

Statistical Analysis
Tuesday • site avg 74.8% • evidence-based
Goteborg vs Levadia
Over 1.5 Conference League Qualifier 6:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 84/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Conference League Qualifier is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (83.3%). Provides additional support for this tip. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb
Over 1.5 UCL Qualifiers 7:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan
Over 2.5 China FA Cup 12:35 pm
Strong case
Score: 75/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (66.1%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps
1 UCL Qualifiers 5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch
1 Uzbekistan Super League 4:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu
1 China FA Cup 12:35 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena
1 Copa Colombia 9:00 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.1%). No significant deviation either way. Tuesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.

Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.


Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Goteborg vs Levadia Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). In Conference League Qualifier, our record stands at 83.3% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability 83.3% in Conference League Qualifier
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (37 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on Over 1.5 90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 29 wins from 37 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Wuhan Three Lions vs Shandong Taishan Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 66.1% over the last 90 days (59 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
66.1% on Over 2.5 80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 39 wins from 59 settled tips (66.1%). This is below our site-wide average of 74.8%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Mjallby vs Lincoln Red Imps 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Pakhtakor vs Xorazm Urganch 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Shanghai Shenhua vs Qingdao Hainiu 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Santa Fe vs U. Magdalena 1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.1% over the last 90 days (235 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.1% on 1 50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 186 wins from 235 settled tips (79.1%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.8%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.

Latest Winnings

18 Jul 2026 • Latvia Nakotnes liga Marupe vs Metta 2 @1.23
0-4
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup FC Slonim vs Isloch 2 @1.17
0-1
18 Jul 2026 • Norway Eliteserien Viking vs Sandefjord 1 @1.28
2-1
18 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Throttur vs Volsungor 1 @1.20
1-0
18 Jul 2026 • Belarusian Cup Uni X Labs vs Baranovici 2 @1.33
1-4
17 Jul 2026 • Bulgaria EFBET League Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse 1 @1.19
2-1
17 Jul 2026 • China Super League Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port Over 2.5 @1.35
2-2
17 Jul 2026 • Ireland FA Cup Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City 1X @1.10
4-1
17 Jul 2026 • Slovenia PRVA Liga Celje vs Mura Over 2.5 @1.46
2-2
17 Jul 2026 • Australia Victoria PL Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City 1 @1.39
2-0
17 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 2 Haukar vs Throttur Vogar 1 @1.30
2-1
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vestri vs Qarabag Over 2.5 @1.41
0-3
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Over 1.5 @1.20
1-2
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier RFS vs Glentoran 1 @1.42
2-0
16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina 1 @1.45
3-0
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Levadia vs Caernarfon 1 @1.20
5-0
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk 1 @1.25
1-0
16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zalgiris vs Petrovac 1 @1.37
2-1
16 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Afturelding vs Leiknir 1 @1.37
3-2
15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Patro Eisden vs St Truiden Over 2.5 @1.33
0-4

Verified Win Rate
Last 30 days • 159 settled tips
74.8%
Excellent
Won (119) 74.8%
Lost (40) 25.2%
119W
40L
119
Won
40
Lost
159
Settled
18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware

Performance by Market
1X Top market
11W / 3L • 14 tips
78.6%
Over 2.5 Top market
20W / 6L • 26 tips
76.9%
1 Top market
58W / 19L • 77 tips
75.3%
2 Top market
14W / 5L • 19 tips
73.7%
Over 1.5 Top market
14W / 6L • 20 tips
70%
X2 Solid
2W / 1L • 3 tips
66.7%

Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
Market MonTueWedThuFriSatSun Total
1 68% 84% 87% 75% 70% 74% 74% 76%
1X 69% 100% 82% 88% 86% 100% 84%
2 92% 75% 75% 64% 60% 71% 80% 73%
BTTS
Over 1.5 78% 63% 67% 88% 67% 100% 78%
Over 2.5 69% 68% 72% 68% 67% 75% 75% 70%
X2 43%
Key: <42% 42-54% 55-64% 65-74% >=75%

League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 83.3%100%
100%
recent
+16.7pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 82.4%100%
82.4%
recent
+0pp

pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.


Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days

Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.

1
1
Volume 235 tips
Accuracy 79.1%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG 186W / 49L
2
Over 2.5
Volume 59 tips
Accuracy 66.1%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 39W / 20L
3
2
Volume 51 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 40W / 11L
4
1X
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 83.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 31W / 6L
5
Over 1.5
Volume 37 tips
Accuracy 78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG 29W / 8L
6
X2
Volume 6 tips
Accuracy 50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID 3W / 3L

Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.


Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
86.2%
Accuracy
25
Won
4
Lost
1
Void
30
Total
Date Match Market Result
18 Jul 2026Marupe vs Metta
Latvia Nakotnes liga
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Cavalry vs HFX Wanderers
Canadian Premier League
1✗ Lost
18 Jul 2026FC Slonim vs Isloch
Belarusian Cup
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Viking vs Sandefjord
Norway Eliteserien
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Throttur vs Volsungor
Iceland Division 1
1✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Uni X Labs vs Baranovici
Belarusian Cup
2✓ Won
18 Jul 2026Shelbourne W vs Cork City W
Ireland National League Women
1− Void
17 Jul 2026Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
Bulgaria EFBET League
1✓ Won
17 Jul 2026Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
China Super League
Over 2.5✓ Won
17 Jul 2026Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
Ireland FA Cup
1X✓ Won

All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.


Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first

A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.

1 avg 79.1% • range ±3%
Steady
75.3%
0-30d
80.7%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

2 avg 79.3% • range ±4.8%
Steady
73.7%
0-30d
81%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

1X avg 84.4% • range ±5.2%
Steady
78.6%
0-30d
85.7%
30-60d
88.9%
60-90d

Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.

Over 2.5 avg 64.8% • range ±10.3%
Variable
76.9%
0-30d
61.1%
30-60d
56.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Over 1.5 avg 81.7% • range ±10.9%
Variable
70%
0-30d
91.7%
30-60d
83.3%
60-90d

Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.

Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).


74.8%
30-day win rate
159 verified tips
86.2%
7-Day Rate
119
Tips Won
40
Tips Lost
159
Settled
Full Results →


MORE TIPS FOR TODAY


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18+Gambling can be addictive. Please gamble responsibly and only bet what you can afford to lose.