Direct Win Predictions
Direct Win Predictions For Today
6th May 2023
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Fri 17 Jul 2026 • by win probability
Statistical Analysis
Friday • site avg 75.7% • evidence-based
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1X
Ireland FA Cup
7:45 pm
Strong case
Score: 82/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. 1X has outperformed the site-wide average over 90 days (83.3% vs 75.7%). The historical edge is statistically meaningful.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5
China Super League
1:00 pm
Strong case
Score: 74/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (64.9%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Celje vs Mura
Over 2.5
Slovenia PRVA Liga
7:15 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (64.9%). This reduces the overall confidence rating.
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1
Bulgaria EFBET League
7:15 pm
Supported
Score: 70/100
At 60%, the stated probability is in the workable range but does not represent a high-conviction signal. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1
China Super League
12:35 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Flora vs Nomme Utd
1
Estonia Meistriliiga
5:00 pm
Supported
Score: 62/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way. Estonia Meistriliiga has been a difficult competition in the historical record (50%). Factor this into your assessment.
Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City
1
Australia Victoria PL
11:30 am
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1
Iceland Division 2
8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 67/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (79.2%). No significant deviation either way.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Shamrock Rovers vs Cork City
1X
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, 1X tips have settled at 83.3% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
83.3% on 1X
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1X tips have returned 30 wins from 36 settled tips (83.3%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Yunnan Yukun vs Shanghai Port
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 64.9% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). In China Super League, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
64.9% on Over 2.5
80% probability
80% in China Super League
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 37 wins from 57 settled tips (64.9%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.7%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Celje vs Mura
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 64.9% over the last 90 days (57 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
64.9% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 37 wins from 57 settled tips (64.9%). This is below our site-wide average of 75.7%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Levski Sofia vs Dunav Ruse
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 60% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on 1
60% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 245 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Beijing Guoan vs Liaoning Tieren
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). In China Super League, our record stands at 80% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on 1
50% probability
80% in China Super League
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 245 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Flora vs Nomme Utd
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). In Estonia Meistriliiga, our record stands at 50% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on 1
50% probability
50% in Estonia Meistriliiga
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 245 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Melbourne Knights vs Brunswick City
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 245 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Haukar vs Throttur Vogar
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 79.2% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
79.2% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 194 wins from 245 settled tips (79.2%). This is above our site-wide average of 75.7%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Vestri vs Qarabag | Over 2.5 @1.41 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Derry City vs CSKA Sofia | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier RFS vs Glentoran | 1 @1.42 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina | 1 @1.45 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Levadia vs Caernarfon | 1 @1.20 |
5-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk | 1 @1.25 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Conference League Qualifier Zalgiris vs Petrovac | 1 @1.37 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 16 Jul 2026 • Iceland Division 1 Afturelding vs Leiknir | 1 @1.37 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Patro Eisden vs St Truiden | Over 2.5 @1.33 |
0-4 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W | 1 @1.18 |
4-1 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Lyon vs Servette | Over 2.5 @1.49 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Australia NPL Northern NSW Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears | Over 2.5 @1.43 |
0-5 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense U20 Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20 | 1 @1.39 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 15 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense 2 Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus | 1 @1.23 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • China League One Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi | 1X @1.16 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W | 1 @1.35 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense U20 Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20 | 1 @1.28 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Breidablik vs Keflavik | 1X @1.17 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Paraguay Division Intermedia Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary | Over 1.5 @1.32 |
1-3 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W | 1X @1.17 |
2-1 ✔
|
75.7%
Excellent
Won (128)
75.7%
Lost (41)
24.3%
128W
41L
128
Won
41
Lost
169
Settled
1
Top market
68W
/
20L
• 88 tips
77.3%
1X
Top market
10W
/
3L
• 13 tips
76.9%
2
Top market
16W
/
5L
• 21 tips
76.2%
Over 2.5
Top market
18W
/
6L
• 24 tips
75%
Over 1.5
Top market
14W
/
6L
• 20 tips
70%
X2
Solid
2W
/
1L
• 3 tips
66.7%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 84% | 87% | 75% | 71% | 74% | 74% | 77% |
| 1X | 69% | 100% | 82% | 88% | 83% | 100% | — | 84% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 67% | 80% | 72% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 63% | 67% | 88% | 67% | 100% | — | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 68% | 72% | 68% | 60% | 75% | 75% | 69% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Europa League Qualifier
0%baseline 66.7%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+33.3pp
Conference League Qualifier
0%baseline 83.3%100%
100%
recent
⬆
+16.7pp
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 90%100%
90%
recent
➡
+0pp
Finland Veikkausliiga
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 77.8%100%
77.8%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
245 tips
Accuracy
79.2%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
194W / 51L
2
Over 2.5
Volume
57 tips
Accuracy
64.9%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
37W / 20L
3
2
Volume
52 tips
Accuracy
78.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
41W / 11L
4
Over 1.5
Volume
37 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
29W / 8L
5
1X
Volume
36 tips
Accuracy
83.3%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
30W / 6L
6
X2
Volume
6 tips
Accuracy
50%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
3W / 3L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
83.3%
Accuracy
25
Won
5
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul 2026 | Vestri vs Qarabag Europa League Qualifier | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Derry City vs CSKA Sofia Europa League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | RFS vs Glentoran Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Ferencvaros vs Vojvodina Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Levadia vs Caernarfon Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Pyunik Yerevan vs Marsaxlokk Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Zalgiris vs Petrovac Conference League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 16 Jul 2026 | Afturelding vs Leiknir Iceland Division 1 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Patro Eisden vs St Truiden Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W Iceland Besta deild Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Lyon vs Servette Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk UCL Qualifiers | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears Australia NPL Northern NSW | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20 Brazil Catarinense U20 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 15 Jul 2026 | Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus Brazil Catarinense 2 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi China League One | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Honka vs HJS Finland Kakkonen B | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 13 Jul 2026 | San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W Argentina Primera Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20 Brazil Catarinense U20 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Breidablik vs Keflavik Iceland Besta deild karla | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W Argentina Primera Women | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W Chile Primera Division Women | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W Chile Primera Division Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Gnistan vs Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Norway vs England 2026 World Cup | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys Lithuania Toplyga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu China League One | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Leiknir vs Grotta Iceland Division 1 | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
1
avg 79% • range ±2%
Steady
77.3%
0-30d
81.3%
30-60d
78.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
2
avg 81% • range ±5.3%
Steady
76.2%
0-30d
80%
30-60d
86.7%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1X
avg 84.2% • range ±5.6%
Steady
76.9%
0-30d
88.2%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 64% • range ±9%
Variable
75%
0-30d
60%
30-60d
57.1%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
Over 1.5
avg 79.4% • range ±11.6%
Variable
70%
0-30d
93.3%
30-60d
75%
60-90d
Some variation across rolling windows. Performance is directional but not uniform.
X2
avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
66.7%
0-30d
33.3%
30-60d
—
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
75.7%
30-day win rate
169 verified tips
80.6%
7-Day Rate
128
Tips Won
41
Tips Lost
169
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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