Direct Win Predictions
Direct Win Predictions For Today
5th Jun 2023
No tips available for this date
Today's Tips Ranked
Wed 15 Jul 2026 • by win probability
High Conf.
80%
prob
Statistical Analysis
Wednesday • site avg 74.2% • evidence-based
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
Over 1.5
UCL Qualifiers
6:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 83/100
The stated probability of 90% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 1.5 is running in line with the site average (80.6%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5
Australia NPL Northern NSW
11:00 am
Strong case
Score: 74/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (63%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Lyon vs Servette
Over 2.5
Club Friendly
5:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (63%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Club Friendly is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (87.5%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Over 2.5
Club Friendly
5:30 pm
Strong case
Score: 76/100
The stated probability of 80% sits comfortably above the threshold at which this site's tips have historically performed well. Over 2.5 has tracked below the site-wide average over 90 days (63%). This reduces the overall confidence rating. Club Friendly is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (87.5%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
1
Brazil Catarinense U20
7:00 pm
Supported
Score: 73/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Brazil Catarinense U20 is one of the stronger-performing competitions in the historical record (100%). Provides additional support for this tip. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
1
Iceland Besta deild Women
8:15 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
1
Brazil Catarinense 2
11:30 pm
Supported
Score: 68/100
A stated probability of 50% is below the site's average threshold. Treat as speculative. 1 is running in line with the site average (78.4%). No significant deviation either way. Wednesdays have a measurably higher success rate in the historical data. This provides a minor additional positive signal.
Analysis based on historical win rate data and stated probability. Not financial advice. Please bet responsibly.
Tip Explainers
Click any question to see the data behind it
Univ Craiova vs ML Vitebsk
Over 1.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 90% to this outcome. Historically, Over 1.5 tips have settled at 80.6% over the last 90 days (36 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
80.6% on Over 1.5
90% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 1.5 tips have returned 29 wins from 36 settled tips (80.6%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.2%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Charlestown Azzurri vs Weston Bears
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 63% over the last 90 days (54 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
63% on Over 2.5
80% probability
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 34 wins from 54 settled tips (63%). This is below our site-wide average of 74.2%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Lyon vs Servette
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 63% over the last 90 days (54 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 87.5% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
63% on Over 2.5
80% probability
87.5% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 34 wins from 54 settled tips (63%). This is below our site-wide average of 74.2%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Patro Eisden vs St Truiden
Over 2.5
Our model assigns a win probability of 80% to this outcome. Historically, Over 2.5 tips have settled at 63% over the last 90 days (54 tips graded). In Club Friendly, our record stands at 87.5% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
63% on Over 2.5
80% probability
87.5% in Club Friendly
Over the last 90 days, Over 2.5 tips have returned 34 wins from 54 settled tips (63%). This is below our site-wide average of 74.2%. The recommendation is still made but with reduced confidence weighting.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Criciuma U20 vs Concordia U20
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). In Brazil Catarinense U20, our record stands at 100% over the same period. These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1
50% probability
100% in Brazil Catarinense U20
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 192 wins from 245 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.2%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Breidablik W vs Vikingur Reykjavik W
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 192 wins from 245 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.2%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Hercilio Luz vs Gremio Juventus
1
Our model assigns a win probability of 50% to this outcome. Historically, 1 tips have settled at 78.4% over the last 90 days (245 tips graded). These factors together support the recommendation.
78.4% on 1
50% probability
Over the last 90 days, 1 tips have returned 192 wins from 245 settled tips (78.4%). This is above our site-wide average of 74.2%, indicating this market type performs particularly well in our analysis.
Key team news is the most likely disruptor: confirmed absences of first-choice players, particularly the goalkeeper or main striker, can shift the probability significantly. Late lineup changes, pitch conditions, or updated injury reports published closer to kickoff should be checked before placing any bet. Odds movement at the bookmaker (shortening or lengthening of the price after publication) may also signal late information entering the market.
Latest Winnings
| 13 Jul 2026 • China League One Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi | 1X @1.16 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W | 1 @1.35 |
1-0 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Brazil Catarinense U20 Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20 | 1 @1.28 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild karla Breidablik vs Keflavik | 1X @1.17 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Paraguay Division Intermedia Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary | Over 1.5 @1.32 |
1-3 ✔
|
| 13 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera Women Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W | 1X @1.17 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 11 Jul 2026 • Chile Primera Division Women Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W | 1 @1.17 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 11 Jul 2026 • Finland Veikkausliiga Gnistan vs Mariehamn | 1 @1.36 |
4-2 ✔
|
| 11 Jul 2026 • 2026 World Cup Norway vs England | Over 1.5 @1.20 |
1-2 ✔
|
| 11 Jul 2026 • Lithuania Toplyga Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys | 1 @1.33 |
3-0 ✔
|
| 11 Jul 2026 • China League One Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu | 1 @1.33 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 10 Jul 2026 • Argentina Primera B Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos | 1 @1.44 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 10 Jul 2026 • World Cup 2026 Spain vs Belgium | 1X @1.17 |
2-1 ✔
|
| 10 Jul 2026 • Euro U19 Women Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W | 2 @1.35 |
0-1 ✔
|
| 10 Jul 2026 • South Korea WK League Seoul W vs Suwon FC W | X2 @1.13 |
0-3 ✔
|
| 09 Jul 2026 • Europa League Qualifier CSKA Sofia vs Derry City | 1 @1.22 |
3-2 ✔
|
| 09 Jul 2026 • Club Friendly Unterhaching vs Regensburg | Over 2.5 @1.41 |
2-0 ✔
|
| 09 Jul 2026 • Finland Kakkonen C Musa vs Grlfk | Over 2.5 @1.36 |
3-1 ✔
|
| 09 Jul 2026 • Iceland Besta deild Women Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W | 1 @1.30 |
7-3 ✔
|
| 08 Jul 2026 • USA USL League Two Delaware vs Eagle FC | 1 @1.16 |
4-1 ✔
|
74.2%
Excellent
Won (118)
74.2%
Lost (41)
25.8%
118W
41L
118
Won
41
Lost
159
Settled
1X
Top market
11W
/
3L
• 14 tips
78.6%
2
Top market
17W
/
5L
• 22 tips
77.3%
1
Top market
60W
/
20L
• 80 tips
75%
Over 1.5
Top market
14W
/
5L
• 19 tips
73.7%
Over 2.5
Solid
14W
/
7L
• 21 tips
66.7%
X2
Solid
2W
/
1L
• 3 tips
66.7%
Win Rate Grid
Market type × day of week • last 180 days
| Market | Mon | Tue | Wed | Thu | Fri | Sat | Sun | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 68% | 84% | 86% | 72% | 71% | 74% | 74% | 76% |
| 1X | 69% | 100% | 82% | 88% | 83% | 100% | — | 84% |
| 2 | 92% | 75% | 75% | 64% | 60% | 67% | 80% | 72% |
| BTTS | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 63% | 75% | 88% | 67% | 100% | — | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 68% | 67% | 67% | 60% | 75% | 75% | 68% |
| X2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 43% |
Key:
<42%
42-54%
55-64%
65-74%
>=75%
League Momentum
7-day rate vs 30-day baseline • hottest first
Argentina Primera Women
0%baseline 100%100%
100%
recent
➡
+0pp
Club Friendly
0%baseline 87.5%100%
87.5%
recent
➡
+0pp
Finland Veikkausliiga
0%baseline 80%100%
80%
recent
➡
+0pp
Iceland Besta deild karla
0%baseline 66.7%100%
66.7%
recent
➡
+0pp
Latvia Virsliga
0%baseline 60%100%
60%
recent
➡
+0pp
World Cup 2026
0%baseline 78.9%100%
78.9%
recent
➡
+0pp
pp = percentage points vs 30-day baseline. Grey marker = baseline position.
Market Depth Index
Volume vs accuracy • where confidence is highest • last 90 days
Each market is scored on two factors: how often it is published (volume) and how often it succeeds (accuracy). Markets with high depth on both measures represent the strongest areas of the site's analytical record.
1
1
Volume
245 tips
Accuracy
78.4%
High confidence -- published frequently and delivers.
STRONG
192W / 53L
2
2
Volume
54 tips
Accuracy
77.8%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
42W / 12L
3
Over 2.5
Volume
54 tips
Accuracy
63%
Low volume, decent returns. Early evidence of edge.
SOLID
34W / 20L
4
1X
Volume
38 tips
Accuracy
84.2%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
32W / 6L
5
Over 1.5
Volume
36 tips
Accuracy
80.6%
Selective publishing with strong returns. Targeted edge.
STRONG
29W / 7L
6
X2
Volume
7 tips
Accuracy
42.9%
Below average returns. Published selectively as a result.
WATCH
3W / 4L
Min. 3 settled tips required to appear.
Public Results Record
Last 30 graded tips • updated after every result
70%
Accuracy
21
Won
9
Lost
0
Void
30
Total
| Date | Match | Market | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul 2026 | Ningbo Professional vs Foshan Nanshi China League One | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Honka vs HJS Finland Kakkonen B | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 13 Jul 2026 | San Lorenzo W vs San Luis W Argentina Primera Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Barra FC U20 vs Carlos Renaux U20 Brazil Catarinense U20 | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Breidablik vs Keflavik Iceland Besta deild karla | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Dep Capiata vs Atl Tembetary Paraguay Division Intermedia | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 13 Jul 2026 | Gimnasia L.P. W vs Huracan W Argentina Primera Women | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | U Espanola W vs S. Wanderers W Chile Primera Division Women | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Huachipato W vs Deportes Temuco W Chile Primera Division Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Gnistan vs Mariehamn Finland Veikkausliiga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Chengdu Rongcheng vs Chongqing Tonglianglong China Super League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Norway vs England 2026 World Cup | Over 1.5 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Kauno Zalgiris vs FK Panevezys Lithuania Toplyga | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 11 Jul 2026 | Guangdong GZ-Power vs Shijiazhuang Gongfu China League One | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Leiknir vs Grotta Iceland Division 1 | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Arsenal Sarandi vs Defensores Unidos Argentina Primera B | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Spain vs Belgium World Cup 2026 | 1X | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Lokomotiv Moscow U19 vs Konoplev Academy U19 Russia Youth League | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Germany U19 W vs Spain U19 W Euro U19 Women | 2 | ✓ Won |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Oakleigh Cannons vs Avondale Australia NPL Victoria | Over 2.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 10 Jul 2026 | Seoul W vs Suwon FC W South Korea WK League | X2 | ✓ Won |
| 9 Jul 2026 | CSKA Sofia vs Derry City Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Unterhaching vs Regensburg Club Friendly | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Kalju vs Linfield Conference League Qualifier | Over 1.5 | ✗ Lost |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Dyn. Kyiv vs U. Cluj Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Musa vs Grlfk Finland Kakkonen C | Over 2.5 | ✓ Won |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Hafnarfjordur W vs Throttur W Iceland Besta deild Women | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 9 Jul 2026 | Sheriff Tiraspol vs Aluminij Europa League Qualifier | 1 | ✗ Lost |
| 8 Jul 2026 | Delaware vs Eagle FC USA USL League Two | 1 | ✓ Won |
| 8 Jul 2026 | FAR Rabat vs Stade Marocain Morocco Coupe Du Trone | 1 | ✓ Won |
All results logged before kickoff. Void tips excluded from accuracy calculation. Click any match for full details.
Market Consistency Tracker
Rolling 30-day windows over 90 days • steadiest markets first
A high win rate is only part of the picture. This tracker shows whether each market delivers consistently or in streaks. Steady markets produce more predictable returns over time.
2
avg 77.9% • range ±3.1%
Steady
77.3%
0-30d
75%
30-60d
81.3%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1
avg 78.2% • range ±3.3%
Steady
75%
0-30d
81.5%
30-60d
78%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
1X
avg 84.5% • range ±4.5%
Steady
78.6%
0-30d
87.5%
30-60d
87.5%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 2.5
avg 62.9% • range ±4.8%
Steady
66.7%
0-30d
65%
30-60d
57.1%
60-90d
Win rate has been consistent across all three rolling windows. Reliable market for planning.
Over 1.5
avg 77.8% • range ±13.1%
Volatile
73.7%
0-30d
92.9%
30-60d
66.7%
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
X2
avg 50% • range ±16.7%
Volatile
66.7%
0-30d
33.3%
30-60d
—
60-90d
Wide spread across rolling windows. Strong runs followed by weaker periods. Streak-dependent.
Steady = <=12pp spread. Variable = 13-25pp. Volatile = >25pp. Min. 5 tips per window to display. Windows run oldest to newest (left to right).
74.2%
30-day win rate
159 verified tips
71.4%
7-Day Rate
118
Tips Won
41
Tips Lost
159
Settled
MORE TIPS FOR TODAY
- Over 1.5 Predictions
- BTTS Predictions
- Biggest Odds Predictions
- Over 2.5 Goals Predictions
- Zero Risk Football Prediction
- High Risk Football Prediction
- Home Win Prediction
- Away Win Prediction
- 12 and GG Prediction
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